Dark Data 2018

[Dark Data]

I think that was probably my last baseball play of the year.

Final win percentage: 58%
Line on average bet for all 256 bets: -108
Starting bankroll: $50,600
Ending bankroll: $100,441

[juicername]

Not betting playoffs?

[Dark Data]

Not betting playoffs?

I will have to see a line that is way off. Don't like the playoffs because fluky things happen and managers handle the games differently. Plus, NCAAF and NFL have now played enough games for me to roll my models out.

[acehole]

thanks DD for a damn good mlb season

[MikeyPicks1]

Pretty dang good, I wish I would've tailed more. Just so many flash in the pans in this game it's hard to know who has their stuff together. DD was on point this season though. Good job.

[Dark Data]

Thanks for the feedback. It was a good season.

I know that I don't usually respond to posts, and I hope people don't take it personally. I have found that when the door gets opened for chit-chat and virtual "high-fives" it just becomes a distraction. I only care about handicapping and betting, and I don't have time to talk much about even those things. I have a family. I try to do write-ups when I can on my website, but even that is hard to do when I am trying to load data into multiple models and run simulations. So anyway, thanks again.

[Dark Data]

10/2

NL Wildcard

Rockies +129

Rockies are averaging 9.58 runs per game vs lefties over the last 10 games. Lester has been hit hard in back to back games at home as recently as August. As the veteran tonight, the pressure is on him to carry the Cubs.

Model prediction: Rockies 4, Cubs 2

[Dark Data]

Win

Overall: 149-108

[Dark Data]

10/3

AL Wildcard

Yankees/A's over 8.5

Prediction: A's 6, Yankees 5

[Dark Data]

Win

Overall: 150-108

[Dark Data]

10/4

Dodgers -1 (-129)

Prediction
Braves 1
Dodgers 4

[Dark Data]

Win

Overall: 151-108

[oilcountry99]

I think that was probably my last baseball play of the year.

Final win percentage: 58%
Line on average bet for all 256 bets: -108
Starting bankroll: $50,600
Ending bankroll: $100,441

Nice job! Well Done, congratulations on your successful season

[Dark Data]

10/7

Dodgers -1 (-149)

Prediction
Dodgers 9
Braves 2

[Dark Data]

Overall: 151-109

[Dark Data]

10/8

Yankees -1 (-129)

Prediction
Red Sox 3
Yankees 6

[Dark Data]

10/8 (added)

Dodgers -1 (-121)

Prediction
Dodgers 6
Braves 4

[Dark Data]

Overall: 152-110

[Dark Data]

10/14

Astros -131

Prediction
Astros 5
Red Sox 3

[Dark Data]

Overall: 152-111

[Dark Data]

10/16

Astros -131

Prediction
Red Sox 5
Astros 8

[Dark Data]

10/16 (added)

Boston/Houston over 8 (Eovaldi/Keuchel)

Over is 13-3 in Boston's last 17 games. My model has a total of 13 runs in this one.

[Dark Data]

Tuesday: 1-1

Overall: 153-112

[Dark Data]

10/17

Boston/Houston over 8.5

Prediction: Boston 6, Houston 7

[Dark Data]

10/17

Boston/Houston over 8.5

Prediction: Boston 6, Houston 7

Win

Overall: 154-112

[Dark Data]

World Series Game 1

Red Sox -1 (-121)

Prediction
Dodgers 3
Red Sox 5

[Dark Data]

World Series Game 1

Red Sox -1 (-121)

Prediction
Dodgers 3
Red Sox 5

Win

Overall: 155-112

[MikeyPicks1]

Beast!

[Dark Data]

10/27

Red Sox +127

Prediction
Red Sox 4
Dodgers 2

[Dark Data]

10/27

Red Sox +127

Prediction
Red Sox 4
Dodgers 2

Win

Overall: 156-112

[Dark Data]

10/28

Final Game of World Series (tonight). Red Sox win series 4-1.

Red Sox +132

Prediction
Red Sox 5
Dodgers 2

[Dark Data]

10/28

Final Game of World Series (tonight). Red Sox win series 4-1.

Red Sox +132

Prediction
Red Sox 5
Dodgers 2

Win

Final Record: 157-112

....to be continued March 28, 2019

[nistor22]

Are you in for this season?

Win

Final Record: 157-112

....to be continued March 28, 2019