MLB - Thursday, 4/12/18

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 4/12/18
    3 MLB Plays Thursday

    Cardinals -141 (Heritage)
    Yankees +100 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +165 (Heritage)


    YTD: 43-51-2, +1.63
  • Hot Jerry
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-16-13
    • 5545

    #2
    LT - BOL today !
    Comment
    • Rigbone
      SBR Hustler
      • 11-27-13
      • 62

      #3
      Wow! Cards are the biggest favorite I can ever remember you playing in a couple years of tailing LT. I’m guessing you have a pretty high variance on that game?
      Comment
      • JohnsonJeff428
        SBR Rookie
        • 04-07-18
        • 3

        #4
        like those LT
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by Rigbone
          Wow! Cards are the biggest favorite I can ever remember you playing in a couple years of tailing LT. I’m guessing you have a pretty high variance on that game?
          First item: I am experimenting for now by raising my max ML from -130 to -150. My model was backtested and the -131 to -150 range was actually profitable.

          Second item: Yes to nice variance, I get St. Louis 62% (-163).
          Comment
          • JohnsonJeff428
            SBR Rookie
            • 04-07-18
            • 3

            #6
            good luck
            Comment
            • Conqueror
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-08-13
              • 16778

              #7
              Originally posted by LT Profits
              First item: I am experimenting for now by raising my max ML from -130 to -150. My model was backtested and the -131 to -150 range was actually profitable.

              Second item: Yes to nice variance, I get St. Louis 62% (-163).
              Good news that is.
              I'm still skeptical though about playing a road favorite of -141 with a suspect bullpen. I like Cardinals FF than for the entire game. Just saying.
              Comment
              • Rich Boy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-01-09
                • 9714

                #8
                Not sure why the price of a line would matter. An edge is an edge at any price. In fact a 5% edge at -150 is more valuable than a 5% edge at +150 due to expected growth.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  2 MLB Additions

                  5 MLB Plays Thursday

                  Tigers / Indians OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                  Cardinals -141 (Heritage)
                  Yankees +100 (5 Dimes)
                  White Sox +165 (Heritage)
                  Angels -126 (Bookmaker)
                  Comment
                  • stackz125
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-03-16
                    • 6191

                    #10
                    Why yanks?

                    Pitching?
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by stackz125
                      Why yanks?

                      Pitching?
                      I have Yankees favored 53% (-113).

                      Starters are close but Yanks better bullpen and offense, especially with Hicks back.
                      Comment
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