Bases 2018

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 04:15 PM

Friday (7.20.2018)
1* Mets/Yankees under 8 (+127)
1* Orioles/Jays under 8 (+127)

Penguin7 · 07-20-18, 05:06 PM

do you think your equity increases when selling points on most of your plays?

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 05:20 PM

Sunday (7.15.2018)
1* Jays/Red Sox over 11 (+140) - LOSER
1* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7 (+138) - WINNER
1* Diamondbacks/Braves first five under 4 (-105) - PUSH
1* Tigers/Astros under 7 (+115) - LOSER
1* Cubs/Padres under 8 (+105) - LOSER

1-3-1 -1.62u

144-147-19 +22.69u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by Penguin7

do you think your equity increases when selling points on most of your plays?

No question. I can only think of a few times this season when i regretted selling a run, but many times when i was glad that i did. Now, i realize that that isn't a very helpful or proven-out answer - "hey, i feel like it's working, and don't pay attention to the fact that i'm biased" - but i hope to sit down in August and go through all plays and try to estimate the "value" this strategy (comparing selling run record to if i'd play standard numbers). This probably will be my last couple of weeks of picks, so I'll have some time to do that once I shift my attention to college football prep.

Penguin7 · 07-20-18, 05:39 PM

thanks for the insight and good work this season!

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 05:46 PM

adding

1* Marlins/Rays over 8 (+100)

Friday (7.20.2018)
1* Mets/Yankees under 8 (+127)
1* Orioles/Jays under 8 (+127)
1* Marlins/Rays over 8 (+100)

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 05:46 PM

lean under in KC, Oakland, Anaheim, Seattle, waiting on umps

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by Penguin7

thanks for the insight and good work this season!

Absolutely, thank you for the question and the kind words! It's definitely something i think about. I should track it daily - wouldn't be that hard. I will next season.

Tonight, selling in Bronx and Toronto were no-brainers - 15/16c juice on 9 or +127 on 8 (chart says i'm getting 3-4 extra value there). The over in Tampa, not so much. I'm giving 6c of value on the chart. That said, i want to stick to a policy of not paying more than 5c juice on non-key numbers, and not more than 10-15c on 7/9/11. One thing i've learned over the years of doing this, the losses hurt more than the wins help. I want to be risk-averse, keep the juice low and the likelihood of a push high.

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 06:10 PM

adding

1* Tribe team total over 6 (-105)

Friday (7.20.2018)
1* Mets/Yankees under 8 (+127)
1* Orioles/Jays under 8 (+127)
1* Marlins/Rays over 8 (+100)
1* Tribe TT over 6 (-105)

BiffTFinancial · 07-20-18, 06:11 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

lean under in KC, Oakland, Anaheim, Seattle, waiting on umps

Pass on KC under

BiffTFinancial · 07-21-18, 07:17 AM

Friday (7.20.2018)
1* Mets/Yankees under 8 (+127) - LOSER
1* Orioles/Jays under 8 (+127) - LOSER
1* Marlins/Rays over 8 (+100) - WINNER
1* Tribe TT over 6 (-105) - WINNER

2-2 +0u

146-149-19 +22.69u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-21-18, 05:01 PM

Saturday (7.21.2018)
1* Rockies/Diamondbacks under 7 (+143)
1* Giants/A's over 9 (+160)
1* White Sox/Mariners under 8 (+125)

BiffTFinancial · 07-22-18, 07:41 AM

Saturday (7.21.2018)
1* Rockies/Diamondbacks under 7 (+143) - LOSEDR
1* Giants/A's over 9 (+160) - LOSER
1* White Sox/Mariners under 8 (+125) - WINNER

1-2 -0.75u

147-151-19 +21.94u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-22-18, 07:52 AM

Sunday (7.22.2018)
1* Orioles/Jays under 8 (+133)
1* Dodgers/Brewers over 9 (+110)

BiffTFinancial · 07-22-18, 08:14 AM

adding

1* Marlins/Rays under 7 (+107)
1* Tribe RL (+100)

Sunday (7.22.2018)
1* Orioles/Jays under 8 (+133)
1* Marlins/Rays under 7 (+107)
1* Dodgers/Brewers over 9 (+110)
1* Tribe RL (+100)

BOL to all today.

doitnow · 07-22-18, 08:45 AM

Bol today brotha, great season thus far!

BiffTFinancial · 07-23-18, 05:18 PM

Sunday (7.22.2018)
1* Orioles/Jays under 8 (+133) - LOSER
1* Marlins/Rays under 7 (+107) - LOSER
1* Dodgers/Brewers over 9 (+110) - WINNER
1* Tribe RL (+100) - LOSER

1-3 -1.9u
148-154-19 +20.04u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-23-18, 05:32 PM

Monday (7.23.2018)
1* Dodgers/Phillies under 7 (+165)
1* Twins/Jays over 10 (+105)
1* A's/Rangers under 10 (+110)

BiffTFinancial · 07-24-18, 07:13 AM

Monday (7.23.2018)
1* Dodgers/Phillies under 7 (+165) - LOSER
1* Twins/Jays over 10 (+105) - WINNER
1* A's/Rangers under 10 (+110) - LOSER

1-2 -0.95u

149-156-19 +19.09u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-24-18, 07:21 AM

Tuesday (7.24.2018)
1* Braves/Marlins under 7' (+116)

MontrealCrw · 07-24-18, 07:27 AM

Yep, on this one as well

BiffTFinancial · 07-24-18, 07:27 AM

adding

1* Dodgers/Phillies over 7' (-101)
1* Twins/Jays under 8 (+121)

Tuesday (7.24.2018)
1* Braves/Marlins under 7' (+116)
1* Dodgers/Phillies over 7' (-101)
1* Twins/Jays under 8 (+121)

BiffTFinancial · 07-24-18, 07:28 AM

Originally posted by MontrealCrw

Yep, on this one as well

Let's get it! Wish they'd post under 7 as an alt-total, but fine with this.

MontrealCrw · 07-24-18, 07:35 AM

Yeah I figured, 8 is everywhere but 7.5 should be good as well

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-18, 07:11 AM

Tuesday (7.24.2018)
1* Braves/Marlins under 7' (+116) - LOSER
1* Dodgers/Phillies over 7' (-101) - WINNER
1* Twins/Jays under 8 (+121) - WINNER

2-1 +1.21u

151-157-19 +20.3u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-18, 07:44 AM

Wednesday (7.25.2018)
1* Nationals/Brewers under 9 (-109)
1* Tigers/Royals over 10 (+137)

MontrealCrw · 07-25-18, 08:06 AM

Like both but I think BrewCrew Under is better...

Cheers

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-18, 05:34 PM

adding

1* Red Sox/Orioles under 8 (+135)
1* White Sox/Angels over 9 (+116)

Wednesday (7.25.2018)
1* Nationals/Brewers under 9 (-109) - LOSER
1* Tigers/Royals over 10 (+137) - WINNER
1* Red Sox/Orioles under 8 (+135)
1* White Sox/Angels over 9 (+116)

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-18, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by MontrealCrw

Like both but I think BrewCrew Under is better...

Cheers

That bottom of 9th was brutal. Oh well, bottom of 9th in KC brought me a W so i'd better not complain...

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-18, 07:58 AM

Wednesday (7.25.2018)
1* Nationals/Brewers under 9 (-109) - LOSER
1* Tigers/Royals over 10 (+137) - WINNER
1* Red Sox/Orioles under 8 (+135) - PPD
1* White Sox/Angels over 9 (+116) - WINNER

2-1-1 +1.44u

153-158-20 +21.74u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-18, 05:33 PM

Thursday MLB (7.26.2018)
1* Rays/Orioles under 8 (+109)
1* A's/Rangers over 11 (+102)

Penguin7 · 07-27-18, 12:21 AM

crushing it in here!

BiffTFinancial · 07-27-18, 07:19 AM

Thursday MLB (7.26.2018)
1* Rays/Orioles under 8 (+109) - WINNER
1* A's/Rangers over 11 (+102) - WINNER

2-0 +2.11u

153-157-19 +22.41u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-27-18, 07:20 AM

Originally posted by Penguin7

crushing it in here!

Thank you for the kind words!

BiffTFinancial · 07-27-18, 03:24 PM

Friday MLB (7.27.2018)
1* Royals/Yankees under 8 (+155)
1* Twins/Red Sox over 9 (+102)
1* Brewers/Giants over 8 (+120)