MLB Season Winners

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Boston is added as a official play

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

07/08 Plays:

Chicago Cubs (Hart) ML -108 (2 units)
**Colorado (De La Rosa) ML -173 (2.5 units)**
San Francisco (Sadowski) ML -121 (2 units)
Los Angeles (Kuroda) ML -140 (2 units)
Seattle (Vargas) ML -122 (2 units)
**Boston (Wakefield) ML -172 (2 units)**

**I will wait closer to game time for Boston & Colorado to see if the lines drop. Those 2 are no plays for me as of now due the juice on both games above -170. If they drop on or below the limit i will post them as official plays.**

Good Luck!


YTD:
ML Plays: 35-22, 61.40%,+18.44 units

07/08 Updated Plays:

Chicago Cubs (Hart) ML -108 (2 units)
**Colorado (De La Rosa) ML -173 (2.5 units)**
San Francisco (Sadowski) ML -121 (2 units)
Los Angeles (Kuroda) ML -140 (2 units)
Seattle (Vargas) ML -122 (2 units)
Boston (Wakefield) ML -169 (2 units)


YTD:
ML Plays: 35-22, 61.40%,+18.44 units

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

I'm not a big fan of the Cubs (no hitting, rookie pitcher) and the Mariners one I think is risky, cuz the Orioles are heating up. But I was already leaning towards Giants, Dodgers and Red Sox, but the last one does have a bad line and Red Sox have been cooling down a bit I think.

I dont take in consideration hot/cold teams when capping games. Then you find yourself guessing when things will turn around and that can cost you some dough. I go purely on the matchups that day and that day only except for prior stats and prior wins vs. losses etc. Just my 2 cents

[G's pks]

I dont take in consideration hot/cold teams when capping games. Then you find yourself guessing when things will turn around and that can cost you some dough. I go purely on the matchups that day and that day only except for prior stats and prior wins vs. losses etc. Just my 2 cents

Simple rule for hot/cold teams...ride hot teams avoid cold...

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

I'm not a big fan of the Cubs (no hitting, rookie pitcher) and the Mariners one I think is risky, cuz the Orioles are heating up. But I was already leaning towards Giants, Dodgers and Red Sox, but the last one does have a bad line and Red Sox have been cooling down a bit I think.

CUBBIES

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.

Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.

A lil risky with Hart but to much points toward the Cubs

SEATTLE

Vargas is 2-0, 1.67 at home. Baltimore hits .210 on the road vs lefties.

Seattle is 15-10 in game 3, 8-4 after a loss. Baltimore is 7-16 in game 3, 4-9 after a win.

Hernandez pitched in Seattle on June 2nd and allowed 5 ER on 10 H in 5 1/3 IP.

Home plate umpire, Brian Knight is 15-3 for the home team

Seattle has the edge in most statistical categories.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Simple rule for hot/cold teams...ride hot teams avoid cold...

In all due respect thats not a deciding factor when i make plays

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

07/08 updated plays:

chicago cubs (hart) ml -108 (2 units)
**colorado (de la rosa) ml -173 (2.5 units)**
san francisco (sadowski) ml -121 (2 units)
los angeles (kuroda) ml -140 (2 units)
seattle (vargas) ml -122 (2 units)
boston (wakefield) ml -169 (2 units)


ytd:
ml plays: 35-22, 61.40%,+18.44 units

The plays above are my final plays. Colorado is a no play for me. Play at your own risk.

Good luck!

[G's pks]

In all due respect thats not a deciding factor when i make plays

Well...I use it and according to my win percentage..it helps...

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Well...I use it and according to my win percentage..it helps...

Not sure what your win % has to do with hot and cold teams but thats neither here nor there. What do you consider a hot or cold team? Do you have a graph or formula for that?

[dreamjob]

I've lost quite a bit the last 2 days playing COL RL so I will lay off that myself. I know you have COL ML play at our own risk. I say no thanks.

[ragiche]

Whom do you like in the PIT/HOU game? I just only think that Hou have the edge here.But no stats to defend it.Would like to know what you see in this game? Eventhough you don't like this game a feedback would be much appreciated. Just came back from a business trip.

[G's pks]

Not sure what your win % has to do with hot and cold teams but thats neither here nor there. What do you consider a hot or cold team? Do you have a graph or formula for that?

Part of my filters...part of the elimination process... And it covers more than just wins and losses as far as hot/cold. I watch for teams with increasing/decreasing stats such as team BA, ERA, and quite a few others... I update my stats at the end of every series...and obviously if hot/cold stats cover over 10 of my filters that have helped me post a very high win percentage...Ah..yes they have helped...

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Whom do you like in the PIT/HOU game? I just only think that Hou have the edge here.But no stats to defend it.Would like to know what you see in this game? Eventhough you don't like this game a feedback would be much appreciated. Just came back from a business trip.

I would lean towards the Astros in that matchup. Pitt is terrible away from home against teams with a above .500 record at home. Pitt is terrible in conference matchups. etc..Pitt overall is 15-33 in 3 different Away statistical categories while houston is 21-15 in HOME statistical categories.

There is alot more but dont want to spend to much time with games i dont like either way.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Part of my filters...part of the elimination process... And it covers more than just wins and losses as far as hot/cold. I watch for teams with increasing/decreasing stats such as team BA, ERA, and quite a few others... I update my stats at the end of every series...and obviously if hot/cold stats cover over 10 of my filters that have helped me post a very high win percentage...Ah..yes they have helped...

GL2U

[ragiche]

Thanks ,MHM.This is all i want to know.I'm also leaning on the astros.Keep up the good work on this thread.It always pays off for you.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Have had quit a few questions regarding the Royals/Tigers matchup. I dont like the play either way but i definately do not like the Royals grienke or not...i might be wrong but these facts are enuf to scare me off of them:

Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Royals are 1-4 in Greinkes last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Royals are 1-4 in Greinkes last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Royals are 0-4 in Greinkes last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Tigers are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

[G's pks]

Keep up the good work... we have plenty of degenerates angry losers...glad to see you helping others win...

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Keep up the good work... we have plenty of degenerates angry losers...glad to see you helping others win...

[dreamjob]

Tailing all of your plays. Let's have a winning day.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Tailing all of your plays. Let's have a winning day.

Lets start on the right foot this afternoon

[ragiche]

I'm playing the Astros FF and game.With the FF innings a little bit larger than the game.Just in case though.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

I see alot of folks are on the royals game today with not much explanation on why. I actually didnt play this game but the over 8 in the game is the better play than the side and heres why:


Weather:

74 Degrees, Partly cloudy, 12-17 mph winds blowing out to left-center.

So we have the wind blowing out, and its a comfortable temperature. There is a check.


Pitching Analysis:

Greinke has pitched 2 games vs. Detroit this year and has been nothing short of spectacular. 2 complete games, 1 ER, 1BB, 18SO.

You cant really be any better than that, however, both games were in KC, and i expect the Tigers to get to him a little more this 3rd time around. The ticket here is the home plate umpire. Johnson has an O/U record of 10-4, and has a K:BB ratio of 1.39:1. This is among the lowest ratio's in the league. Greinke has 19BB and 120K's on the season so we can safely say he relies HEAVILY on the strikeout. He may get a little annoyed here when he doesn't get the borderline calls he is used to. Add to all this that Greinke tied his worst outing of the season on Friday allowing 9 hits and 4 runs in 6. I really don't see Greinke mowing the Tigers down again like he did earlier in the season.

Unfortunately for French, he is no Greinke, yet has to deal with the same ump who has a smaller than average strikezone. In his first ML start, he gave up 2 runs on 6 hits in 4 and 2/3. Though the Tigers haven't seen him, there's at least a scouting report out on him. Safe to say, we should see a healthy dose of Tigers bull pen. Chalk up a few runs there.

The Line:

We have a very reasonable total at 8... especially when you consider its an AL park. These 2 teams have averaged 9.25 runs per game in 8 games this season. If we can get 4 from each team we are a winner, and the fact that KC is favoured gives us a probably chance of having a complete 9 innings... unless of course the Tigers get to Greinke

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

07/08 Updated Plays:

Chicago Cubs (Hart) ML -108 (2 units)
**Colorado (De La Rosa) ML -173 (2.5 units)**
San Francisco (Sadowski) ML -121 (2 units)
Los Angeles (Kuroda) ML -140 (2 units)
Seattle (Vargas) ML -122 (2 units)
Boston (Wakefield) ML -169 (2 units)


YTD:
ML Plays: 35-22, 61.40%,+18.44 units

GL

[ragiche]

I will add your total play for today MHM.I like this total of yours. Playing Kc/Det 8.5. Thanks for sharing the stats bro.

[woodman663]

Cubs and Giants looking like they're down and out, so the hope's on the Mariners and the Dodgers now!

[dreamjob]

Don't forget Red Sox too.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

damn puter went out..be on in a few

[dreamjob]

Rough day for us yesterday. I was lucky and did a big bet with Tex ML and RRL last night and they took care of business. I like them today to give King Felix an ass kicking tonight. I got Tex ML +170 and -1.5 RRL +270 . The odds are just too juicy. I know today will be a bounce back day for you and the followers.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

07/08 Updated Plays:

Chicago Cubs (Hart) ML -108 (2 units)
**Colorado (De La Rosa) ML -173 (2.5 units)**
San Francisco (Sadowski) ML -121 (2 units)
Los Angeles (Kuroda) ML -140 (2 units)
Seattle (Vargas) ML -122 (2 units)
Boston (Wakefield) ML -169 (2 units)


YTD:
ML Plays: 35-22, 61.40%,+18.44 units

YTD:
ML Plays: 36-26, 58.1%,+10.62 units

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

07/09 Plays:

NY Mets RL +1.5, -115 (5 units)


YTD:
ML Plays: 36-26, 58.1%,+10.62 units

[waco66]

^^Mets suck yikes.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

07/10

I will have a large play today. My largest play in a while.

2 plays today:

Cubs (Harden) RL +1.5, -180 (7 units)
Twins (Blakburn) ML -123 (22 units)

GL

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Might be more later thats it for now

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

07/10

I will have a large play today. My largest play in a while.

2 plays today:

Cubs (Harden) RL +1.5, -180 (7 units)
Twins (Blakburn) ML -123 (22 units)

GL

edit:
Cubs RL +1.5, -155

[oda11]

Whoa, BIG day today for ya monsters! Good luck!