Won with the over in Tampa Bay to go to 5-3 +3.3 units on posted plays. I like the over at 8 in Milwaukee-St.Louis. The total looks high with 2 solid pitchers on the mound and Nelson's very good home ERA of 2.4. Nelson has had a good year, and has been very good at home, but he struggles in the division against the teams that see him the most. He has nearly a 6 ERA against the Cubs, Pirates, and Cardinals, and the Cardinals have hit him hard. Martinez is also struggling and has been bad on the road, neither team has a strong bullpen.
