WER System

[MoMoney2]

This is the other system that I have been playing this year with success. This system is based off of chasing at least a 3 game series. With every new series I will look at each teams W%, team ERA and team AVG Runs scored for the season thus far. I will then rank each team that has an advantage in ALL 3 of these areas. I only bet the top 3-5 teams that have the greatest advantage in ALL 3 of these statistical areas. I will then chase that team for the 3 or 4 game series. All series begin with a bet of 2% of my Bankroll. For games 2, 3 or 4 I will bet enough to profit 2.5% of of my Bankroll.

This system, like any Chase system can do damage to your Bankroll if you lose all 3 or 4 games in the series. You need a high win percentage for each series in order to turn a profit. So far I have won 94% of the series that I have played. Because of the 3 series that I have lost, this system has not profited as much as my Parlay system, but it has still turned a profit none the less. Play at your own risk.

I will be back Monday with the series that I will be playing.

[MoMoney2]

Here are the plays to start off the week. These are all teams that have an advantage in win %, better team ERA and the team is scoring more runs per game than their opponent. This is a standard Chase system that can be bet on the RL or ML. I will typically bet the ML unless odds get above -180 then I will often bet the RL instead.

HOU
LAD
ARZ
PIT
CHC

[MoMoney2]

Cleared 4 of 5 series on game 1, only the Cubs to chase for the next 2 games. Since LAD, ARZ and CHC were all over -180 favorites I bet each of them on the RL giving me better odds and payout.

HOU = W
LAD = W
ARZ = W
PIT = W
CHC = L

Game 1: 4-1 (+2.27 units)
Game 2: 0-0
Game 3: 0-0

Today CHC (-205). The RL is not out yet so I will wait on the odds, but I will most likely play the RL since the ML is so high.

[MoMoney2]

I am going to bet CHC on the -1 RL (-146). This will be a total of a 3.33 unit bet split between the RL and the ML to get the -1 RL odds.

[MoMoney2]

So all 5 series cleared, 4 of them on game 1 and one on game 2.
Game 1: 4-1 (80%)
Game 2: 1-0 (100%)
Game 3 0-0

Total Games: 5-1 (83.33%). Series: 5-0 (100%)


(+3.62 units)


I will be back on Thursday with the new series.

[crackerjack]

Interesting. Will be watching...

[MoMoney2]

Here are the plays heading into the weekend. ARZ series begins tonight as they have a 4 game series with STL so I wanted to get this posted early enough for that game. The following 5 series will all begin with 1 unit bets.

LAD
HOU
CLE
ARZ
PIT

MIA and WAS also make the cut according to my guidelines but I am only going to play them at .5 units as I don't feel as strongly about them. MIA is also in a 4 game series beginning tonight.

[MoMoney2]

2 games under our belt and 2 winners! Picked up 1.27 more units on these 2 games.

Game 1 Record: 6-1 (85.7%)
Game 2 Record: 1-0 (100%)
Game 3 Record: 0-0

Total Games = 7-1 (87.5%). Series: 7-0 (100%)

(+4.89 units)

[MoMoney2]

I will be gone this weekend but I will continue to play the rest of these series and update my record when I return on Sunday night. Games for tomorrow include:

LAD (-276)ML or (-135)RL. I will be playing the RL in this series as the line will be large all weekend.
HOU (-178)
CLE (-220)ML or (-115)RL. I will play the RL in this game and go from there.
PIT (-111)
WAS (-145) only a half unit bet to start the series.

[MoMoney2]

Ok here is the weekend recap. For Friday's games I had 3 of 4 series clear on game 1. Only PIT lost and WAS did not play. So between Thursday and Friday 5 of 6 series cleared on game 1 leaving us only PIT to Chase and WAS to get started on Saturday.

On Saturday both PIT (-115) and WAS (-126) lost meaning we would have to go to game 3 for the PIT series, first game 3 we needed so far, and game 2 for the WAS series.

Sunday we cleared game 3 with PIT (-165) and lost game 2 with WAS. WAS had a double header for the lost game on Friday giving us a chance to Chase game 3. WAS cleared in game 3 as well giving us a perfect 7-7 for the weekend series. Here are the numbers for all games since last Monday:

Game 1: 9-3 (75%)
Game 2: 1-2 (33%)
Game 3: 2-0 (100%)

TOTAL GAMES: 12-5 (70.6%) SERIES: 12-0 (100%)

(+10.47 units)............not bad for 1 week of games!

New series start tomorrow, be back then!

[MoMoney2]

Series starting Monday July 31st - Thursday August 3rd

WAS (-132)
HOU (-151)
NYY -1.5 (-101)

LAD, COL and LAA start tomorrow

[MoMoney2]

3 more series started and 3 more game 1 wins! WAS, HOU and NYY all get it done on game 1 increasing the record for game 1's to 12-3. Here is the updated record and numbers:

Game 1: 12-3 (80.0%)
Game 2: 1-2 (33.3%)
Game 3: 2-0 (100%)

TOTAL GAMES: 15-5 (75.0%). Series: 15-0 (100%)

(+12.87 units)

3 more new series starting tomorrow with LAA, COL and LAD.

[MoMoney2]

Today's games:

COL -126
LAD -1R (-138)
LAA -109

I am betting LAD on the -1 RL to get better odds.

Also, I am only betting LAA for .5 units because PHL has been hot and I don't have a ton of confidence in LAA. They fit the system so I will make it an official play, but only for .5 units.

[MoMoney2]

Another day and 2 more game 1 series wins!!!! I gambled a little taking LAD on the -1 RL instead of just taking the ML and it cost me a win to go 3-0 on the day. However, the Dodgers did still win so I managed a push which makes another day without a loss. Here are the updated numbers and stats:

Game 1: 14-3-1 (82.3%)
Game 2: 1-2 (33.3%)
Game 3: 2-0 (100%)

TOTAL GAMES: 17-5-1 (77.3%). Series 17-0 (100%)

(+17 units)

only series not closed out is LAD so I will be back tomorrow with that game.

[MoMoney2]

With LAD throwing Stewart today I don't like their situation. Yes LA can easily beat ATL and Teheran, but since I already cleared all other series I am going to just take my wins and wait for new series to begin tomorrow. Sometimes you just have to go with your gut and stay away.

I guess a 17-0 series record and a 77% winning percentage isn't enough to excite people on here. Maybe if I get the overall record to over an 80% winning percentage people might jump on board, lol.

I do do have to correct some of my numbers. I apologize for the mistake, I have a few different spreadsheets going and I got some numbers on the wrong sheet. I want to be transparent and honest, not trying to make the numbers look better than they really are. The win/loss records are correct, just my units won was incorrect. Here are the correct numbers:

Game 1: 14-3-1 (82.3%)
Game 2: 1-2 (33.3%)
Game 3: 2-0 (100%)

TOTAL GAMES: 17-5-1 (77.3%). Series: 17-0 (100%)

(+8.8 units)

For me 1 unit is $20 so in just a week and a half I am up $176........I will take it!

[Rambone]

I guess a 17-0 series record and a 77% winning percentage isn't enough to excite people on here. Maybe if I get the overall record to over an 80% winning percentage people might jump on board, lol.

I'm excited for you Mo, wish you had some picks for today's games. This week has been rough. Thanks for sharing.

[MoMoney2]

Happy I faded LAD tonight, would have been chasing tomorrow for the win. A few new series begin tomorrow. I am crunching the numbers now to see if any make the card. Back tomorrow with an update.

Hope everyone crushed it tonight!

[MoMoney2]

I'm excited for you Mo, wish you had some picks for today's games. This week has been rough. Thanks for sharing.

Thanks Rambone, hope we can both get some winners tomorrow!

[MoMoney2]

Only 1 series starting today, but 5 more starting tomorrow. For today I am taking BOS -1.5 (-135). Here are all the series that I will be playing this weekend:


ARZ
HOU
BOS
LAD
COL
PIT


Again, I typically play the ML until the odds get above -180 then I will often move to the RL.


Good luck to all

[MoMoney2]

Another game 1 win with BOS! The rest of the series start up tomorrow. Updated numbers:
Game 1: 15-3-1 (83.3%)
Game 2: 1-2 (33.3%)
Game 3: 2-0 (100%)
TOTAL GAMES: 18-5-1 (78.3%) Series: 18-0 (100%)
(+9.57 units)

[MoMoney2]

Here are my play for tonight. There are a few big favorites so I went with the -1 RL to reduce the juice and get better odds.

ARZ (+140)
HOU -1RL (-137)
LAD (-126)
COL (-155)
PIT -1RL (-145)

As always good luck to everyone, let's get some more winners!

[MoMoney2]

A perfect 5-0 last night, and all on game 1 of each series!!!! This brings the winning percentage to a crazy 82.14% on all games picked! Hopefully some people have jumped on and enjoyed the winning. Since all of my weekend series are complete I won't be back until Monday with more plays. Here are all of the updated numbers.......

Game 1: 20-3-1 (86.95%)
Game 2: 1-2 (33.3%)
Game 3: 2-0 (100%)

TOTAL GAMES = 23-5-1 (82.14%). SERIES: 23-0 (100%)

(+14.59 units)........This puts me up $291 in just 2 weeks, I WILL TAKE IT!

[MoMoney2]

Well there are 3 new series starting up today, and I will have 3 more starting up tomorrow. Hope to keep the hot streak going........here you go

CHC -1RL (-145)
MIL (-101)
WAS -1.5 RL (-135)

Currious if anyone has actually used this hot streak to make some money? That is the reason I decided to start posting on here, so it would be nice to hear if some people are taking advantage. #1 goal for me is to build a positive community/thread where everyone is benefiting. Let me know how you all are doing.

[gammagun]

Long time lurker here. Been following your posts Mo and taking your advice. It's helped me quite a bit. Thanks for sharing!

Keep up the good job and BOL to you Mo.

[bubba99]

Same here, don't do much posting but definitely keeping an eye on your system...keep up the good work and thank you!

[MoMoney2]

Gamma and Bubba,
happy to hear that you guys have made a few coins. Let's look to keep it rolling tonight!

Best of Luck!

[bryanoens]

#1 goal for me is to build a positive community/thread where everyone is benefiting. Let me know how you all are doing.

[MoMoney2]

Sorry for the delay, I was out golfing this morning. Yesterday we had our first losing day going 1-2 with WAS and MIL both nearly getting it done for us. Today begins 3 new series and we will be chasing both WAS and MIL. Here are today's plays and amounts:

NYY (+111) 1u - bet this last night figuring the public would force the line to move towards NY.
LAD (-129) 1u
HOU -1.5 (-150) - kills me to pay that juice for the RL.

WAS -1 (-107) 2u - I just though this was good value instead of the -153 for the ML.
MIL (+122) 1.5u - didn't have to bet the full 2u with the (+) ML.

[MoMoney2]

What a terrible day yesterday, going 0-5! For the first time, really since starting this system, we have to go to game 3 in a few series. We need a big day to get back on the money train. Here are the games I will be playing today, along with units played. I will update all records and numbers once these series are closed out.


Game 3's:
WAS -1 (-120) 4 units (I might play this on the ML if odds move a bit)
MIL (-152) 4 units


Game 2's:
NYY (waiting for a line to come out) 2 units
LAD (-114) 2 units
HOU -1.5 (-130) 2 units

[MoMoney2]

Yesterday saw us go 3-2, but the worst part was we lost our first series since I have started this thread with MIL. You could chase the 4th and final game of the series but when I started this I decided that I would not chase more than 3 games solely for bank roll management reasons. With the MIL loss I will have my first (-) group of series since I started, however if HOU can get the win today the overall losses will only be around 2 units.........Need an Astros win today!!!!!!

HOU (-156) 4 units

[MoMoney2]

Well HOU blows it in the 9th, BASTARDS! I don't think anyone would have guessed that the White Sox would sweep HOU!!!!! This makes 2 series losses in this segment of games. I lost 10.5 units during this time. Here are the up to date numbers:

Game 1: 21-8-1 (72.4%)
Game 2: 3-5 (37.5%)
Game 3: 3-2 (60.0%)

TOTAL GAMES: 27-15-1 (64.28%). Series: 27-2 (93.1%)

(+4.28 units)...........still a profit at least.

Getting back after it tomorrow with 5 new series.

[MoMoney2]

Sorry guys thought I posted earlier, none of the games have started though.


LAD -1.5 (-130)
WAS (-167)
HOU (-110)
KC (-137)
STL (-139)


All for 1 unit. Let's get back on the money train!!!

[MoMoney2]

Friday recap: 1-3 with the WAS game getting cancelled. We will still be on game 1 with WAS but move to game 2 with HOU, KC and LAD and STL cleared. Here are the plays and units:

LAD -1.5 (-115) 2U
KC (-144) 2U
HOU (-135)
WAS -1 (-154) 1U

[MoMoney2]

3-1 on the day yesterday with only HOU left to chase. What the hell is going on with them?


HOU (-139) 4U

[MoMoney2]

HOU clears on game 3 giving us a win in ALL 5 series. Here are all of the updated numbers:


Game 1: 23-11-1 (67.65%)
Game 2: 5-6 (45.45%)
Game 3: 4-2 (66.7%)


TOTAL GAMES: 32-19-1 (62.75%). SERIES 32-2 (94.12%)


+7.59 Units