MLB Leans~Tuesday 6/2

[Jimbo42]

What up!

Well I will start the thread this morning...Decent day yesterday .. went 2-1..Here is what I like for today....I am now headed to work so do not have time to go into all of this...

Booked:
Atlanta -117
Atlanta -1.5 +175

Baltimore +135
Baltimore -1.5 (big crumbs!)

LA Dodgers -120
LA Dodgers -1.5 +180

GL

[RkD KiD]

Twins -165

[jellobiafra]

CHC/ATL under 9


Good luck!

[khaliagent]

phillies-
huge action on the dog here as the public is hammering them on the ml....
they might actually be right on this one since we got peavy on the other side and you know all eyes on him right now.
I think he will fold under the pressure and lose this one on his own merit.
philly ml
phill RL

[khaliagent]

CHC/ATL under 9


Good luck!

what about the under in the :
mets/pirates 7.5
arz/lad 7.5

These unders look solid dont they?

[jellobiafra]

what about the under in the :
mets/pirates 7.5
arz/lad 7.5

These unders look solid dont they?

I like the under in the ARZ/LAD game. I'm actually leaning over in the NYM/PIT to be honest. That one is mostly just "gut". I also think the line on BAL/SEA is crazy and would hit the over there too if I played overs. I capped the whole day today on totals to post in that contest thread above for shits and giggles. When Willie posts the lines we are going off of, I'll post my leans on every game today.

What do you think about the under I posted? Like ? Dislike? Indifferent?

[khaliagent]

I like the under in the ARZ/LAD game. I'm actually leaning over in the NYM/PIT to be honest. That one is mostly just "gut". I also think the line on BAL/SEA is crazy and would hit the over there too if I played overs. I capped the whole day today on totals to post in that contest thread above for shits and giggles. When Willie posts the lines we are going off of, I'll post my leans on every game today.

What do you think about the under I posted? Like ? Dislike? Indifferent?

i cant really see the advantage in it imo.
I liked the others you posted alot better especially last night call.
Thats not to say that this wont hit its just that the others I knew you would hit.good luck.....will let you know later If I see a clear advantage on your under or any out there

[khaliagent]

i cant really see the advantage in it imo.
I liked the others you posted alot better especially last night call.
Thats not to say that this wont hit its just that the others I knew you would hit.good luck.....will let you know later If I see a clear advantage on your under or any out there

hey Jello,
your under 9 for chc/atl is as solid as a rock...in fact I will play it myself.
thanks and keep diggin for those unders.

[khaliagent]

CHC/ATL under 9


Good luck!

I know you guys like to make money so get on this jello under.
he knows his unders.
I give it a seal of approval.

[The Hook]

Its cold and rainy here in chicago which should spell a sox/A's under 9.5. Not to mention all of the trends to go with it.

Under is 8-1 in OAK last 9 overall.
Under is 8-1 in OAK last 9 on grassUnder is 7-1 in CHW last 8 vs. American League West
Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. <
Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings
Under is 22-5 in CHW last 27 games as a favorite.
Under is 19-7 in CHW last 26 home games

[Panekkkk]

Anybody feeling Padilla and TEX over the Yanks?

Padilla is a road warrior:

2.08 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, .129 BAA on the road is unreal.

He is lights out against righties with .195 BAA (A-Rod, Jeter) but not so much against lefties .342 BAA and much of Yanks offense are lefties

For some reason he is brutal in night games though 8.04 ERA, 1.85 WHIP

Other highlights:
Rangers are 4-0 in Padillas last 4 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200.
Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Burnett's numbers aren't so flashy, particularly at home. Huge value with the Rangers at +185. Any thoughts?

[cocknocker]

I've got the real Mafia thread going for today, gents. We have an uninvited guest amongst us.

[khaliagent]

anybody else see the kind of action philly is getting.
lots of bets coming their way.
The RL is looking solid.
this guy Bastardo is sporting a 3-2 with a 1.89 ERA in 11 games (seven starts) with Lehigh Valley and Double-A Reading. He has a 51:10 K:BB ratio over 47.2 which is worth a shot.
the pads are gonna do everything they can to make peavy look good for trade talks but subconciously peavy may not want to pitch like the ace he is for staying purposes.
the probabilities for philly hitting is hight considering the fact they got a freshie on the mound.
take the value small and go big on the RL

[jasont]

I was originally playing the under 9 on Braves/ Cubs, but no longer like it. Bullpens are shady on both sides, and 9's a fishy number, esp considering Wells is pitching and neither pitcher has faced the other team. Then again, I'm due for a losing day. GL All.

[khaliagent]

I was originally playing the under 9 on Braves/ Cubs, but no longer like it. Bullpens are shady on both sides, and 9's a fishy number, esp considering Wells is pitching and neither pitcher has faced the other team. Then again, I'm due for a losing day. GL All.

kawakami is much better at home then on the road and wells is a stud.
whats not to like?

[jasont]

kawakami is much better at home then on the road and wells is a stud.
whats not to like?

Exactly what you just posted, the line should be 8 atleast. I think the bats show up tonight. It'll be a no play or Braves ML for me. GL Anyways.

[khaliagent]

Exactly what you just posted, the line should be 8 atleast. I think the bats show up tonight. It'll be a no play or Braves ML for me. GL Anyways.

this is where we disagree.
I feel that with the shady bullpens the line is where it needs to be.
it is a fair line and to feel that the under will hit is to think that the starters will go deep in the game which is my basis.
good luck to you. and too be honest I dont like the game as much as before either with the public about 60% on the under as well.

[lilgame]

I've got the real Mafia thread going for today, gents. We have an uninvited guest amongst us.

PIRATES

[jasont]

this is where we disagree.
I feel that with the shady bullpens the line is where it needs to be.
it is a fair line and to feel that the under will hit is to think that the starters will go deep in the game which is my basis.
good luck to you. and too be honest I dont like the game as much as before either with the public about 60% on the under as well.

Tigers/ Red Sox O 9.5 at even money might be a better wager.

[khaliagent]

PIRATES

yeah they are worth a shot..
nice live dog with the total so low.
could it be that santana will fall back into the lack of run support blues?

[jasont]

Exactly what you just posted, the line should be 8 atleast. I think the bats show up tonight. It'll be a no play or Braves ML for me. GL Anyways.

hope this post helped/saved someone.