Red Sox have a 58 percent chance of winning tonight's game.

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65558

    #1
    Red Sox have a 58 percent chance of winning tonight's game.
    Sale in KC against the scorching hot Royals.

    All the simulations say Boston has a 58 percent chance of winning, but the line is +182/-192 right now.

    For those unfamiliar, Strahm the lefty for KC is an up an comer, sports a 3 and change ERA with a K an inning ratio.
    He ain't Koufax, but kid is good.

    60/40 (60 percent chance of winning) is 3:2 or -150
    58 percent chance of winning is about -148/+158

    I'm getting +182 on a +158 wager.

    Royals 3 units.
    300 gets 540 and change.

    I'm up 12* so far this year and I'm taking my shot, right here, right now.

    KC is hot, Sale is terrific by no means untouchable.
    KC at +182 in this spot can not be passed up in my opinion, if I'm wrong, so be it, but you have to take a shot sometime and I'm taking it.

    Pass, fade, or tail, it's all good to me.

    I'm out until later, peace all.
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