Saturday - Pair of 5's Sir

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 08:00 AM

What's up 5's?

How do you like OAK as a contrarian play tonight? Or have the A's been banished from the contrarian radar for now?

Pair of 5s Sir · 05-30-09, 08:35 AM

Selection

Gary Cederstrom is behind the plate in the Brewers/Reds event. Cederstrom has been clocked by myself over the past several games and is routinely tight with his zone. The statistical information is tilting under with a majority of the dough going under at 58%. The linesmakers put it at 8.5 with a game that has a combined ERA of
7. Additonally, Cederstrom is statistically biased toward the Under. The contrarians get down hard and early on this one with an Over play. Load up.

Take Cederstrom/Brewers Over 8.5 -105

TheLock · 05-30-09, 10:35 AM

Just got OVER 8 @ wsex @ Even money.

DRays kept me from having an 0-fer day yesterday.

Let's make some cash today Pair

Pair of 5s Sir · 05-30-09, 12:20 PM

Selection

Just punched it again, thanks Mr. Lock. It's double load up with both Harang and Bush getting ready to throw perfect games. Look at the spreadsheet to find out where I am on this one.

Over Brewers 8 (even)

Pair of 5s Sir · 05-30-09, 12:40 PM

The contrarian Mafia is designating the Brewers/Reds games as the "game that really really, can't go OVER". There is no way, this game goes OVER. Bush/Harang OVER? Do you finally get my point? Your thoughts are appreciated.

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 02:41 PM

Hey 5's, do you think the Brewers/Reds game could possibly go over tonight?

I just checked the spreadsheet. I guess you do!

Pair of 5s Sir · 05-30-09, 02:46 PM

Square money is pouring in on the Under. Both pitchers square up with no no in mind. Brewers not hitting well lately. Perfect contrarian set up. Now, if both pitchers throw one hitters, we probably won't be happy, but the contrarian situation is presented.

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 02:49 PM

I like it, but I think I'm going to be on the Reds instead. Just waiting and hoping to cash this under in the BOS/TOR game and the FLA -106 I am currently on. If I can close these, the kid will officially be on a heater of his own. Would be 5 in a row in bases.

You never answered my question about the A's tonight, btw. You see any value there?

Pair of 5s Sir · 05-30-09, 03:00 PM

Contrarian Radar

This one is for my man Jello, in the cheap seats. The Athletics get a look on the contrarian radar for this evening. The contrarian angle I love is off the double dip sweep. The number is a teaser at -145 for the Rangers. Also, the Athletic start the 3 streak to the losing side another contrarian indicator. Now, earlier in the season the A's were killing my selection pct. after several loses. I vowed not to go back to them, but Jello is causing me some consternation.

I will report later. All in all, I like.

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 03:30 PM

Guys, while I was booking the Reds +112 I noticed that the total for that game at BetJam is 7.5 -110.

Pair of 5s Sir · 05-30-09, 03:33 PM

Jello, that's right. Money is flying in on the Under as you can see. Perfect contrarian! Don't let that discourage you. Are you discouraged?

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 03:47 PM

I am not discouraged. (You crack me up 5's)

I am not on the total though. I have sworn off overs. Hate 'em.

I told you, I am on the Reds.... so I'm an interested bystander.

Let's cash them both guys.

TheLock · 05-30-09, 05:52 PM

I double punched the Over Cin/Mil

I'm not discouraged!!!

danrman · 05-30-09, 06:20 PM

looks like a winner early bra

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 06:27 PM

6 runs in the 1st..... LOL.

TheLock · 05-30-09, 06:54 PM

Still need 2 more runs but...*tiger woods fist pump*

Pair of 5s Sir · 05-30-09, 08:35 PM

It's Official

Provided an airplane does not crash into Sausage Stadium, the game that can't go over has gone over. I hope you contrarians were on the double punch.

I would love to hear from those who cashed. It's an ego thing.

Over Brewers 8.5 -105 (W)
Over Brewers 8 (even) (W)

TheLock · 05-31-09, 12:08 AM

Glad I double punched the over.