MLB Plays 2017 - Sides and Totals

[mkracier]

Beginning of June time for the season to heat up!

Fair warning - I'm of the same mindset as No Coin (although I don't get as upset on like moves) and 2dabank when capping games and totals + I play a lot of percentages based off what I am saying both online and on twitter. Sorry to rant - obviously my numbers need to prove my worth.

Units are $100.

First play - Oakland ML +201: 73% of bets on Cleveland and this line has moved down from opening. Kluber first start off an injury and he's laying 200? This is only a half-unit play


Record: 0-0

[mkracier]

Damn A's! Only a half unit play for a reason

0-1 -0.5 units

Eyeing down a few unders for later including Red Sox orioles and twins angels.

Dbacks Marlins line has moved quite a bit as well with 81% of tickets on the Snakes and the line moving down

a few stats to bring to light:

1) This season MLB underdogs have gone 183-203 (+32.97 units) against divisional opponents & 151-223 (-38.47 units) in all other games.

2) When more than 85% of tickets have been placed on the over, #MLB unders have gone 157-124 (55.9%).

3) MLB System Update: Divisional dogs, 40% or less of tickets w/ high totals (8.5 or higher):43-41 (51.2%), 24% ROI
4) MLB Teams <40% ML betsMonday: +1.9 units wonTuesday: +0.8 Wednesday: -2.73Thursday: -2.25FRIDAY: +20.2 SATURDAY: +13.5 Sunday: -0.8

[mkracier]

Under 9 -110 in Boston-Baltimore - 1.1 units to win 1

0-1 -0.5 units

[mkracier]

As of now passing on the fish - line dropped too low not enough value although Greinke splits and Marlins bats are enticing

[mkracier]

Caught it back at +110 so going to play a unit on the Fish - 1 unit to win 1.1

[mkracier]

Tough night with Orioles giving up 4 in the Top of the 9th and Marlins blowing it in the eighth but that is how it goes sometimes ! Hopefully bounce back today. Will be on the lookout for teams with less than 40% of bets given the success on Fridays.

Record: 0-3 -2.6 units

[mkracier]

Under 10 Reds vs. Braves -110: 2.2 units to win 2

[mkracier]

Phillies ML -115 : 1.15 units to win 1

[mkracier]

Jays ML +110 : 1 unit to win 1.1

[mkracier]

Brewers ML +200 0.5 units to win 1 unit

[mkracier]

Sorry for the constant posts but Oakland ML +125 : 2 units to win 2.5 units

[mkracier]

Eyeing down the reds as a final play but to sum here:

Cincy under 10: 2.2 to win 2
phillies ML: 1.15 to win 1
Toronto ML: 1 to win 1.1
brewers ML: 0.5 to win 1

[mkracier]

Can't resist Oakland at +125 : 1 to win 1.25

[mkracier]

Frustrating night - especially the brewers who had that game. Not too sure why Nelson was taken out. 2 unit play hit with ease also...

Record: 2-6 -2.15 units

[mkracier]

Toronto under 9.5 -110 : 2.2 to win 2
Oakland ML: Even Money 2 to win 2

[mkracier]

Cash Toronto and hopefully Oakland holds on.

Few late night plays:

Mets under 9 +105- 1 unit to win 1.05
Angels ML even money - 1 unit to win 1
Mariners ML -110 - 1.1 units to win 1

[mkracier]

Adding Rangers ML for 1 unit at +160 to win 1.6

[bozeman]

I am on metz under too - gl with all the other plays

[mkracier]

I am on metz under too - gl with all the other plays

Cash it Boze! Started shaky but was never in doubt

[mkracier]

Will Update record after the late games cmon Angels and Mariners !

[bozeman]

YEAHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!

Almost 200 hundred bucks into my pocket!

Such an honor - first time ever my post gets nominated

[bozeman]

I see u killed it today, nearly everything landed how u wanted - congrats

[mkracier]

Another Saturday in the books! 5-1 on the day up 6.05 units!

Thread record: 7-7 +3.9 units

Will look at % and matchups shortly

[mkracier]

On the golf course but each for a unit:

Texas ML
Toronto ML
Cincy Under 9.5

[mkracier]

Sorry I have been super busy wasn't posting

went 1-2 on those plays and lost 1.1 units

Record: 8-9 +2.8 units

[mkracier]

Toronto is minimum 2 unit play for me just waiting to feel out the line. Also let's remember that we are looking at underdogs with <40% of bets, especially division games as this is when the dogs bark !!

[mkracier]

Toronto ML -120 3.6 units to win 3