MLB Run Line System - Solid SDQL Results
I've been playing this SDQL system on a different forum with positive results through April and May ... YTD: 13-11 (+6.6 units) using a flat bet of 1 unit per play. I wanted to see if the system actually performed well outside of the SDQL database. Not bad so far.
Past results show that the system does best after May, so I thought I'd start playing it here too.
Bet the -1.5 Run Line for ...
Away Favorite
Total >= 8
.500 to .550 season winning percentage for Favorite.
.410 to .510 season winning percentage for Underdog.
Query: AF and total>=8 and 50<=WP<=55 and 41<=o:WP<=51
Based on SDQL results, the system is up 109 units over the past 10 seasons, and has an overall ROI of 12%. Average line is generally around +125 to +135, but it's consistently winning at over 50%.
Games RL Record RL Avg Line $ RL On Season
150 70-79 (47.0%) 109.1 -$440 2007
103 49-54 (47.6%) 122.3 +$620 2008
101 48-53 (47.5%) 128.3 +$805 2009
52 25-25 (50.0%) 120.5 +$503 2010
67 35-32 (52.2%) 134.2 +$1,436 2011
84 42-42 (50.0%) 124.4 +$898 2012
48 27-21 (56.2%) 128.8 +$1,326 2013
98 52-46 (53.1%) 130.3 +$2,158 2014
61 35-26 (57.4%) 129.0 +$1,949 2015
115 59-56 (51.3%) 123.5 +$1,667 2016
I broke it down by month to see the best entry point. Definitely performs best starting in June when the winning percentages are more meaningful. However, the results are positive for April and May too.
Games RL Record RL Avg Line $RL On Month
74 29-24 (54.7%) 122.9 +$1,112 4
119 41-49 (45.6%) 124.5 +$92 5
196 77-72 (51.7%) 126.7 +$2,487 6
229 82-87 (48.5%) 124.1 +$1,518 7
287 104-105 (49.8%) 123.3 +$2,267 8
275 102-94 (52.0%) 121.5 +$2,885 9
11 7-3 (70.0%) 117.8 +$561 10
Again, just flat betting one unit per play for now. Good luck if you decide to follow along!
Past results show that the system does best after May, so I thought I'd start playing it here too.
Bet the -1.5 Run Line for ...
Away Favorite
Total >= 8
.500 to .550 season winning percentage for Favorite.
.410 to .510 season winning percentage for Underdog.
Query: AF and total>=8 and 50<=WP<=55 and 41<=o:WP<=51
Based on SDQL results, the system is up 109 units over the past 10 seasons, and has an overall ROI of 12%. Average line is generally around +125 to +135, but it's consistently winning at over 50%.
Games RL Record RL Avg Line $ RL On Season
150 70-79 (47.0%) 109.1 -$440 2007
103 49-54 (47.6%) 122.3 +$620 2008
101 48-53 (47.5%) 128.3 +$805 2009
52 25-25 (50.0%) 120.5 +$503 2010
67 35-32 (52.2%) 134.2 +$1,436 2011
84 42-42 (50.0%) 124.4 +$898 2012
48 27-21 (56.2%) 128.8 +$1,326 2013
98 52-46 (53.1%) 130.3 +$2,158 2014
61 35-26 (57.4%) 129.0 +$1,949 2015
115 59-56 (51.3%) 123.5 +$1,667 2016
I broke it down by month to see the best entry point. Definitely performs best starting in June when the winning percentages are more meaningful. However, the results are positive for April and May too.
Games RL Record RL Avg Line $RL On Month
74 29-24 (54.7%) 122.9 +$1,112 4
119 41-49 (45.6%) 124.5 +$92 5
196 77-72 (51.7%) 126.7 +$2,487 6
229 82-87 (48.5%) 124.1 +$1,518 7
287 104-105 (49.8%) 123.3 +$2,267 8
275 102-94 (52.0%) 121.5 +$2,885 9
11 7-3 (70.0%) 117.8 +$561 10
Again, just flat betting one unit per play for now. Good luck if you decide to follow along!