MLB - Monday, 5/29/17

barryt · 05-29-17, 08:14 AM

Angels about -140 now 9am..that's a pass for me

unusialsusp5 · 05-29-17, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by barryt

Angels about -140 now 9am..that's a pass for me

excellent line shop by profits. he burns the midnight oil to get these. but, nolasco's last 5 starts have resulted in angel defeats. he's given up 16 er in has last 29 ip. tehran no prize either however. i'd pass on this selection.

CamNewtonOutfit · 05-29-17, 08:48 AM

SBR picks has this as under 9, whats your reasoning? Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)

Originally posted by LT Profits

4 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

YTD: 196-207-11, -4.00

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 10:05 AM

Originally posted by barryt

Angels about -140 now 9am..that's a pass for me

Back in the -120s as of 11am ET

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit

SBR picks has this as under 9, whats your reasoning? Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)

Santana is a prime regression candidate (1.80 ERA vs. 4.72 xFIP), Peacock is mediocre at best and Minnesota bullpen abused yesterday.

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 11:05 AM

1 MLB Addition

5 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Mariners +133 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

dirtycash66 · 05-29-17, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

4 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

YTD: 196-207-11, -4.00

Finally got out the hole and jumped right back in it...

kkwins84 · 05-29-17, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by dirtycash66

Finally got out the hole and jumped right back in it...

Yeah this man is a joke and so are the dummies that follow him...today is a new week better win now so u can pay your debt from last week Long Term debt followers

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 02:22 PM

Originally posted by kkwins84

Yeah this man is a joke and so are the dummies that follow him...today is a new week better win now so u can pay your debt from last week Long Term debt followers

Where have you been the last two seasons (especially two years ago)?

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 02:23 PM

Another MLB Addition

6 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Mariners +133 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Padres +197 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by dirtycash66

Finally got out the hole and jumped right back in it...

Yeah, an 0-7 day will do that to a person.

You've been around here long enough though to know that I will be fine.

kkwins84 · 05-29-17, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Where have you been the last two seasons (especially two years ago)?

Two years ago??? U sound like al bundy when he use to brag about scoring 3 touchdowns in one game for Polk high quit living in the past what have u done for me now???

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by kkwins84

Two years ago??? U sound like al bundy when he use to brag about scoring 3 touchdowns in one game for Polk high quit living in the past what have u done for me now???

Won last year too although only +5 units (rallying from low of -19.80). Besides, could not expect a repeat of unbelievable +93 in 2015. Bottom line though is model has not changed and it is still beating closers at a nice clip, as long as that continues I will be fine.

jjgold · 05-29-17, 02:51 PM

LT why not just take other side late and make free money?

If your beating lots of closers they could be arbs

ticklemepink1991 · 05-29-17, 02:56 PM

Matt Moore today, will he get rocked by left handed hitters again or settle in against a tough nats lineup? What is your take on that game LT?

CappinTerp · 05-29-17, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Won last year too although only +5 units (rallying from low of -19.80). Besides, could not expect a repeat of unbelievable +93 in 2015. Bottom line though is model has not changed and it is still beating closers at a nice clip, as long as that continues I will be fine.

LT.....I like you,you know alot about betting.....but I strongly disagree, about the value added in beating the closing line................................BOL. .....We all look at things differently and calibrate them,as we see them.

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

LT why not just take other side late and make free money?

If your beating lots of closers they could be arbs

Not interested in making a few bucks arbing when sitting on a +EV line.

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by ticklemepink1991

Matt Moore today, will he get rocked by left handed hitters again or settle in against a tough nats lineup? What is your take on that game LT?

Sorry it may be too late unless you could live bet but I get Nats 51% (-104) and 8.8

I have Washington 4.5, San Fran 4.3

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 04:54 PM

1 Last MLB Addition

7 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Mariners +133 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Padres +197 (Heritage)
Tigers / Royals UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

unusialsusp5 · 05-29-17, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by kkwins84

Two years ago??? U sound like al bundy when he use to brag about scoring 3 touchdowns in one game for Polk high quit living in the past what have u done for me now???

that was 4 touchdowns.

tradeout · 05-29-17, 06:51 PM

To ALL who don't get it:

LT Profits does NOT bet those phantom odds. This is just a fun record keeping - no cash bets involved. Kinda like jjgold's spreadsheet.

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by tradeout

To ALL who don't get it:

LT Profits does NOT bet those phantom odds. This is just a fun record keeping - no cash bets involved. Kinda like jjgold's spreadsheet.

I BET every single play that I post, I post them a few minutes after I get my bets in.

tradeout · 05-29-17, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I BET every single play that I post, I post them a few minutes after I get my bets in.

same way as you bet blue jays last week At bookmaker when the line was off the board for hours?

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 07:00 PM

Check line histories for all my plays and find one inaccuracy. (Other than the odd line that moved in the 5 minutes or so between betting and posting). I'll be waiting.

tradeout · 05-29-17, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Check line histories for all my plays and find one inaccuracy. (Other than the odd line that moved in the 5 minutes or so between betting and posting). I'll be waiting.

I just pointed out one (post #24)

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 07:02 PM

And you are wrong, line was up at time of my post. That is entire point of betting plays before 8:00am ET.

tradeout · 05-29-17, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

And you are wrong, line was up at time of my post. That is entire point of betting plays before 8:00am ET.

No incentive for me to lie about that. I am just pointing out the fact.

That line was not available at cris/bookmaker etc. hours before you posted, and pinnacle offered about 10 cent less for it.

It just happened so that I was unloading on the blue jays and checking for the better odds.

LT Profits · 05-29-17, 07:08 PM

Originally posted by tradeout

No incentive for me to lie about that. I am just pointing out the fact.

Just check ANY reliable line history site.

tradeout · 05-29-17, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Just check ANY reliable line history site.

why?

The line was off the board/ not available shortly after the opener at bookmaker

kkwins84 · 05-29-17, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by tradeout

why?
The line was off the board/ not available shortly
after the opener at bookmaker

No point in arguing with this man all he's gonna say is where were u when I won my 93 units two years ago? Has one fluke year and he thinks he's some kind of messiah of baseball. When he losses in every other sport he bets on. Fake news, fake odds Long Term Loser for president 2020!!!!

Dynasty3669 · 05-29-17, 09:09 PM

LT's NHL= -12.76u, NBA= -34.89u