MLB - Monday, 5/29/17

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 196-207-11, -4.00

[barryt]

Angels about -140 now 9am..that's a pass for me

[unusialsusp5]

Angels about -140 now 9am..that's a pass for me

excellent line shop by profits. he burns the midnight oil to get these. but, nolasco's last 5 starts have resulted in angel defeats. he's given up 16 er in has last 29 ip. tehran no prize either however. i'd pass on this selection.

[CamNewtonOutfit]

SBR picks has this as under 9, whats your reasoning? Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)

4 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 196-207-11, -4.00

[LT Profits]

Angels about -140 now 9am..that's a pass for me

Back in the -120s as of 11am ET

[LT Profits]

SBR picks has this as under 9, whats your reasoning? Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)

Santana is a prime regression candidate (1.80 ERA vs. 4.72 xFIP), Peacock is mediocre at best and Minnesota bullpen abused yesterday.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

5 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Mariners +133 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

[dirtycash66]

4 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 196-207-11, -4.00

Finally got out the hole and jumped right back in it...

[kkwins84]

Finally got out the hole and jumped right back in it...

Yeah this man is a joke and so are the dummies that follow him...today is a new week better win now so u can pay your debt from last week Long Term debt followers

[LT Profits]

Yeah this man is a joke and so are the dummies that follow him...today is a new week better win now so u can pay your debt from last week Long Term debt followers

Where have you been the last two seasons (especially two years ago)?

[LT Profits]

Another MLB Addition

6 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Mariners +133 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Padres +197 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

[LT Profits]

Finally got out the hole and jumped right back in it...

Yeah, an 0-7 day will do that to a person. You've been around here long enough though to know that I will be fine.

[kkwins84]

Where have you been the last two seasons (especially two years ago)?

Two years ago??? U sound like al bundy when he use to brag about scoring 3 touchdowns in one game for Polk high quit living in the past what have u done for me now???

[LT Profits]

Two years ago??? U sound like al bundy when he use to brag about scoring 3 touchdowns in one game for Polk high quit living in the past what have u done for me now???

Won last year too although only +5 units (rallying from low of -19.80). Besides, could not expect a repeat of unbelievable +93 in 2015. Bottom line though is model has not changed and it is still beating closers at a nice clip, as long as that continues I will be fine.

[jjgold]

LT why not just take other side late and make free money?

If your beating lots of closers they could be arbs

[ticklemepink1991]

Matt Moore today, will he get rocked by left handed hitters again or settle in against a tough nats lineup? What is your take on that game LT?

[CappinTerp]

Won last year too although only +5 units (rallying from low of -19.80). Besides, could not expect a repeat of unbelievable +93 in 2015. Bottom line though is model has not changed and it is still beating closers at a nice clip, as long as that continues I will be fine.

LT.....I like you,you know alot about betting.....but I strongly disagree, about the value added in beating the closing line................................BOL. .....We all look at things differently and calibrate them,as we see them.

[LT Profits]

LT why not just take other side late and make free money?

If your beating lots of closers they could be arbs

Not interested in making a few bucks arbing when sitting on a +EV line.

[LT Profits]

Matt Moore today, will he get rocked by left handed hitters again or settle in against a tough nats lineup? What is your take on that game LT?

Sorry it may be too late unless you could live bet but I get Nats 51% (-104) and 8.8

I have Washington 4.5, San Fran 4.3

[LT Profits]

1 Last MLB Addition

7 MLB Plays Monday

Astros / Twins OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Mariners +133 (Heritage)
Brewers / Mets UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Padres +197 (Heritage)
Tigers / Royals UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Angels -113 (Bookmaker)

[unusialsusp5]

Two years ago??? U sound like al bundy when he use to brag about scoring 3 touchdowns in one game for Polk high quit living in the past what have u done for me now???

that was 4 touchdowns.

[tradeout]

To ALL who don't get it:

LT Profits does NOT bet those phantom odds. This is just a fun record keeping - no cash bets involved. Kinda like jjgold's spreadsheet.

[LT Profits]

To ALL who don't get it:

LT Profits does NOT bet those phantom odds. This is just a fun record keeping - no cash bets involved. Kinda like jjgold's spreadsheet.

I BET every single play that I post, I post them a few minutes after I get my bets in.

[tradeout]

I BET every single play that I post, I post them a few minutes after I get my bets in.

same way as you bet blue jays last week At bookmaker when the line was off the board for hours?

[LT Profits]

Check line histories for all my plays and find one inaccuracy. (Other than the odd line that moved in the 5 minutes or so between betting and posting). I'll be waiting.

[tradeout]

Check line histories for all my plays and find one inaccuracy. (Other than the odd line that moved in the 5 minutes or so between betting and posting). I'll be waiting.

I just pointed out one (post #24)

[LT Profits]

And you are wrong, line was up at time of my post. That is entire point of betting plays before 8:00am ET.

[tradeout]

And you are wrong, line was up at time of my post. That is entire point of betting plays before 8:00am ET.

No incentive for me to lie about that. I am just pointing out the fact.

That line was not available at cris/bookmaker etc. hours before you posted, and pinnacle offered about 10 cent less for it.

It just happened so that I was unloading on the blue jays and checking for the better odds.

[LT Profits]

No incentive for me to lie about that. I am just pointing out the fact.

Just check ANY reliable line history site.

[tradeout]

Just check ANY reliable line history site.

why?

The line was off the board/ not available shortly after the opener at bookmaker

[kkwins84]

why?
The line was off the board/ not available shortly
after the opener at bookmaker

No point in arguing with this man all he's gonna say is where were u when I won my 93 units two years ago? Has one fluke year and he thinks he's some kind of messiah of baseball. When he losses in every other sport he bets on. Fake news, fake odds Long Term Loser for president 2020!!!!

[Dynasty3669]

LT's NHL= -12.76u, NBA= -34.89u