SDQL for Saturday 5/27/17

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  • FUqer
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-15
    • 3968

    #1
    SDQL for Saturday 5/27/17
    SDQL 5/27

    ALL = Yesterday 2-7 (Total 171-147)
    SU = Yesterday 1-2 (Total 103-81)
    OU = Yesterday 1-5 (Total 68-66)
    ---------------------------------

    SU

    PLAY: The Royals are 0-22 SU as a 120+ dog after a game as a road dog in which Alcides Escobar was hitless and their starter went fewer than seven innings.

    team = Royals and line>120 and p:AD and Royals:Alcides Escobar:hits = 0 and p:SIP<7 and season >= 2013



    FADE: The Cardinals (10-39 -56.4% ROI)

    150>=line>=100 and P:A and P:season=season and P:margin<=-6 and 54>=WP>=51 and total>8 and 2009<=season



    FADE: The Brewers (115-228 -31.2% ROI)

    (so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7



    PLAY: The Astros and Phillies (968-579 +11.8% ROI)

    H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)



    PLAY: The Dodgers (164-104 +11.6% ROI)

    H and p:margin >= 3 and op:runs = 0 and WP < 60 and o:WP > 38.5 and line > -230 and conference = o:conference and (month != 7 and month != 8) and 2008 <= season and SG > 1 and total > 6.5



    PLAY: The Pirates - Teams are 27-6 SU the last two seasons as a Home Favorite on Saturday when they lost the previous game at Home as a dog.

    p:HL and p and HF and day=Saturday and season>=2016



    ------------

    OU

    UNDER: The Dodgers are 0-12 OU as a home favorite after Adrian Gonzalez had multiple RBI.

    team = Dodgers and HF and Dodgers:Adrian Gonzalez:rbi > 1 and date >= 20150901



    OVER: The White Sox are 17-2 OU since Sep 14, 2013 as a dog off a home game in which they left 18+ men on base.

    team = White Sox and D and p:H and 18 <= p:LOB and date >= 20130924



    OVER: The White Sox are 22-3 OU as a dog after a win in which they left 18+ men on base.

    team = White Sox and D and p:LOB>=18 and p:W and date >= 20150622



    UNDER: The Blue Jays are 2-16 OU at home off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead since Sep 12, 2016

    team=Blue Jays and H and p:F and p:BL > 1 and date>=20160912



    UNDER: The Blue Jays are 1-10 OU when Marco Estrada starts at home and he threw over 100 pitches in his last start since Jun 30, 2015.

    team=Blue Jays and starter=Marco Estrada and H and s:SPT>100 and date>=20150630



    OVER: Teams with Starting Pitchers who start on the Road with an ERA over 3 and less than 4 are 71-40-5 OU +21.5% ROI this season.
    (Braves, Angels, Mets, Rays)

    A and STDSERA > 3 and STDSERA < 4 and season=2017



    OVER: Teams on 3 str8 Overs or more. (87-58 +13.8% ROI)
    (Pirates)

    date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O



    ________________

    SU

    Royals
    Rockies
    D-Backs
    Astros
    Phillies
    Dodgers
    Pirates

    OU

    Cubs/Dodgers Under
    Tigers/White Sox Over (Game #1)
    Rangers/Blue Jays Under
    Braves/Giants Over
    Angels/Marlins Over
    Mets/Pirates Over (x2)
    Rays/Twins Over
    ___________________________________
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    I've got to point I just can't back phils, until they show me more they have gotten dangerously close to pads territory for me. Sad I had high hopes of them being strong bet on team coming into the year..

    Kc line seems seriously high. Like the sp matchup for them.

    Gl buddy
    Comment
    • FUqer
      SBR MVP
      • 01-22-15
      • 3968

      #3
      Originally posted by 2daBank
      I've got to point I just can't back phils, until they show me more they have gotten dangerously close to pads territory for me. Sad I had high hopes of them being strong bet on team coming into the year..

      Kc line seems seriously high. Like the sp matchup for them.

      Gl buddy
      They've been horrible, offense been garbage, averaging 1.5 rpg L6 with 9.5 strikeouts. That is one of my favorite trends though, but Phils are a no go. I might take Astros RL vs Miley but last time I faded Miley, he took a couple line drives in the first handful of pitches and had to leave the game and they got bailed out. I've never had such bad luck in my life, lost another extra inning game last night, I swear I'm like 0-20 in them. I crushed the closing line in almost every play yesterday and it didn't mean shit, when Wednesday every single line move won.

      I waited and waited for lines on Salazar and Arroyo yesterday, was going to take Reds & Royals, then they don't start, so I didn't take them and they both win anyway, and with my luck they will lose today if I take them.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        I was against Miley that game too. Royally pissed me off! Lol.. I was considering how to attack him today (not big keuchel fan) but can't find line on that game or bunch others. What gives with that? Don't recall so many games not having overnight lines!!
        Comment
        • FUqer
          SBR MVP
          • 01-22-15
          • 3968

          #5
          Buck Farmer -140 on the Road? WTF!

          1-7 (-5.62, 12.5%) avg line: 128.8 / -140.0 on / against: -$604 / +$600 ROI: -73.9% / +50.3%
          2-6 (-4.50, 25.0%) avg line: -131.1 / 117.4 on / against: -$630 / +$550 ROI: -55.1% / +59.1%
          8-0-0 (5.19, 100.0%) avg total: 8.7 over / under: +$800 / -$880 ROI: +90.9% / -100.0%
          4.12 2.62 8.88 9.50 2.00 1.12 2.50 1.00 1.88 14.12 6.75 1.11 5.00 4.11
          9.75 5.75 6.00 11.75 3.50 2.00 3.88 2.38 6.00 15.50 7.25 0.67 3.25 3.56
          Comment
          • FUqer
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-15
            • 3968

            #6
            Derrick Holland vs Tigers

            7-0 (4.71, 100.0%) avg line: -105.2 / -104.8 on / against: +$825 / -$855 ROI: +93.0% / -100.0%
            7-0 (4.50, 100.0%) avg line: 107.1 / -118.6 on / against: +$863 / -$911 ROI: +106.2% / -100.0%
            5-1-1 (3.29, 83.3%) avg total: 8.9 over / under: +$395 / -$445 ROI: +52.0% / -57.1%
            8.43 4.14 6.14 12.71 2.71 1.57 3.57 2.00 5.14 17.14 8.29 1.12 2.71 4.00
            3.71 3.71 8.86 8.14 1.71 1.43 2.43 0.86 1.57 17.29 8.14 0.88 3.71 4.00
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              And taking on money it appears. Lol. I honestly thought that was fulmer when I looked. Don't know who this farmer is!
              Comment
              • FUqer
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-15
                • 3968

                #8
                Must be a mistake, can't find it available on any books or I would played the hell out of that. I have White Sox at -135 by my projections.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  You bout got me sold there, now that I know it not fulmer doing more investigating
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Yea I can't find either. One place shows fulmer vs holland but no line. Bol doesn't have anything up.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Took it in contest tho!
                      Comment
                      • FUqer
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-22-15
                        • 3968

                        #12
                        LoL, if you find it on any books, let me know.
                        Comment
                        • FUqer
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-15
                          • 3968

                          #13
                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                          Took it in contest tho!
                          haha oh hell yea, they been getting me on totals plays when a pitching change was made, payback.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by FUqer
                            LoL, if you find it on any books, let me know.
                            Will do. I got bout 3 hours till I'm out for day, be nice if all these games get lined already.
                            Comment
                            • juicername
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-14-15
                              • 6906

                              #15
                              Pinnacle has Fulmer/Holland in Game 1.

                              G1 Detroit Tigers(M. Fulmer) -142
                              G1 Chicago White Sox(D. Holland)+131
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Fulmer changes things great deal. That seriously who I thought but I can't for sure say I didn't see farmer and assumed fulmer considering I had no clue who the fukk farmer was.

                                On a side note pinny does me no freaking good. So jealous I can't play there!
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  This double header got pitchers I know jack about. A farmer and a danish, I'm ready for some breakfast! Farm fresh eggs and a danish baby!! Lol
                                  Comment
                                  • FUqer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-22-15
                                    • 3968

                                    #18
                                    I was going to say, but still game two Total should be at least 15 with them two pitchers, both are walk prone and Farmer is Home Run prone. Buck Farmer -141 on the road is crazy and 8.5 total should be for FF. The only thing that would make it better if is Farmer was a lefty. I'll prolly be on that both White Sox and Over.
                                    Comment
                                    • FUqer
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-15
                                      • 3968

                                      #19
                                      White Sox at Home in Game #2 of a Double Header. 5-0 OU on Saturday.

                                      14-4-1 (1.68, 77.8%) avg total: 9.2 over / under: +$955 / -$1,135 ROI: +45.4% / -54.7%
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Gotta love chisox vs lefties!
                                        Comment
                                        • juicername
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-14-15
                                          • 6906

                                          #21
                                          Tigers/White Sox Game 1 off the board at Pinny too now. No idea what's going on there ...
                                          Comment
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