Late Night Saturday Card Talk

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  • SBRMAN23
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-07-11
    • 6905

    #1
    Late Night Saturday Card Talk
    Want to see what everyone's initial leans are for Saturday card, have a few games at 2est. So far im liking the over early in Min/Kc over 9 two gas cans on the mound. Nats RL prob after losing tonight and Mad Max on mound. Indians at plus money again might be a look, they will eventually start hitting consistently. And not sure if i should pound Yanks or not, Tanaka been iffy and Rays pounded him earlier i believe.

    Leans

    Nats RL
    Kc/Min over 9
    Indians
    Yanks ???
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    Man it looks like over half the freaking card has potential weather delays. I fukkin hate dealing with rain delays/postponements! 2 tonight and both bit me in the ass at most inopportune times (didn't even see chance of rain in balt and here in stl they were pretty much saying not till later on tonight, fukkers).
    Comment
    • SBRMAN23
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-07-11
      • 6905

      #3
      I know bank i was on that Stl under also that sucked, I def hate having money tied up but aint much to bet on tomrw so might throw a few darts. I think your Cards bounce back and win also so maybe Cards ML when it comes out. Jeff has been horrible this yr and you cant trust that Giants team to hit half the time.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        I think it another game with strong chance being affected by weather. Calling for storms on and off from now thru 2marro night think I saw on news earlier.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          Under in Oakland seems solid. Wanna say Oakland again but after leans on them last 2 and not playing them not sure now the time to jump.
          Comment
          • jkw87
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-14-15
            • 269

            #6
            Early slate leans

            Oakland Boston under 9
            Phillies Pirates under 9
            Cleveland Houston over 9
            Colorado +104
            Yankees -122

            Minnesota Kansas city ppd
            Milwaukee Chicago ppd
            Nationals Braves ppd
            Comment
            • FUqer
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-15
              • 3968

              #7
              Clevinger has had problems giving up the long ball, the Astros have 30 of them at Home already. Astros and Over FF maybe a worth a look.

              Nats -1.5 no less than +100 might be decent., don't know what it currently is.

              I like the Yankees a lot and thought the price was generous so I played it as soon as it was released at -118. Yankees batters have faced Andriese in 73 at bats with 6 homers and a .342 avg off him. Rays 7-14 in this spot on a 3 game win streak as a Home dog. I even like the Yankees -1 or -1.5.
              Comment
              • FUqer
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-15
                • 3968

                #8
                Oh yea, fade Bolsinger,

                I laugh cuz I know the guy, he grew up locally, but I love to fade him. I'm waiting to see what -1 looks like.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by FUqer
                  Clevinger has had problems giving up the long ball, the Astros have 30 of them at Home already. Astros and Over FF maybe a worth a look.

                  Nats -1.5 no less than +100 might be decent., don't know what it currently is.

                  I like the Yankees a lot and thought the price was generous so I played it as soon as it was released at -118. Yankees batters have faced Andriese in 73 at bats with 6 homers and a .342 avg off him. Rays 7-14 in this spot on a 3 game win streak as a Home dog. I even like the Yankees -1 or -1.5.
                  I really lean Tampa, Tanaka has long ball problems of his own and rays been hitting them all year and havnt cooled off in that department like nyy has some.. think case of pitchers going opp directions this point in careers and while nyy does have really good numbers vs andriese still really small sample and he pitched well only time facing them this season. Only real advantage w starters I see for ny is walks and does concern me if both teams hitting long balls that rays could be solo variety while with the walks yanks could have guys on. Hoping it goes up more but think if I can get rays +120ish I have to bite..
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Here my problem with nats, another gm w possible weather delays, if we see a hour delay in the 4th-5th inning how good you feel laying that number and counting on nats pen for multiple innings cause sherzer doesn't return?
                    Comment
                    • FUqer
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-22-15
                      • 3968

                      #11
                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                      Here my problem with nats, another gm w possible weather delays, if we see a hour delay in the 4th-5th inning how good you feel laying that number and counting on nats pen for multiple innings cause sherzer doesn't return?
                      good point, I have no interest in that game either way, defo wouldn't lay any juice.

                      how is the Cards bullpen right now, are they running thin and not trustworthy for the Under if there is another delay?
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        Originally posted by FUqer
                        good point, I have no interest in that game either way, defo wouldn't lay any juice.

                        how is the Cards bullpen right now, are they running thin and not trustworthy for the Under if there is another delay?
                        Shit man I had I really well thought out decently long answer for you. Forgot to hit submit as made coffee and freaking lost it. Lol. Sorry, I'll try to get close replicating!!

                        I never completely trust pen these days and lot of that I don't like the way matheny mismanages it or has his "favorites".

                        Far as rest cards did have 2 days off this week which helps but I would think Oh is unavailable or should be, matheny overusing him this week and it has shown as usually does with oh. I'd assume rosenthal the closer today, he outta be fairly fresh and is the guy out of pen I'm happy to see enter the game.


                        Both lefties should be good to go which bodes well against sf lineup. If we were getting Martinez for the 6+ one would expect I'd say fairly confident as the lefties be bridge to rosenthal, only concern would be depending how lineup falls may have to see short Broxton appearance which never a feel good event! Reason for that is Tuilvailala almost assuredly unavailable, wouldn't think bowman is unless emergency. So for righty bridge pretty much broxton or socolovich and there in lies the problem, if we see lengthy delay and Martinez forced out in 5th-6th we either see Cecil get misused into a full inning or more instead of specialist and those aforementioned guys who I would not want in for under or cards purposes.

                        The weather report round here changing every hour last 2 days and at moment looks like far less chance than what earlier thought (more like chance of pop up storm not widespread event) but of course it might change 2 more times by this evening! Lol
                        Comment
                        • MrAllin
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-20-14
                          • 1349

                          #13
                          Rosenthal looked terrible against boston allowed the 2 runs to tie the game in the 8th he was all over the place and could only throw fastballs
                          Comment
                          • FUqer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-15
                            • 3968

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            Shit man I had I really well thought out decently long answer for you. Forgot to hit submit as made coffee and freaking lost it. Lol. Sorry, I'll try to get close replicating!!

                            I never completely trust pen these days and lot of that I don't like the way matheny mismanages it or has his "favorites".

                            Far as rest cards did have 2 days off this week which helps but I would think Oh is unavailable or should be, matheny overusing him this week and it has shown as usually does with oh. I'd assume rosenthal the closer today, he outta be fairly fresh and is the guy out of pen I'm happy to see enter the game.


                            Both lefties should be good to go which bodes well against sf lineup. If we were getting Martinez for the 6+ one would expect I'd say fairly confident as the lefties be bridge to rosenthal, only concern would be depending how lineup falls may have to see short Broxton appearance which never a feel good event! Reason for that is Tuilvailala almost assuredly unavailable, wouldn't think bowman is unless emergency. So for righty bridge pretty much broxton or socolovich and there in lies the problem, if we see lengthy delay and Martinez forced out in 5th-6th we either see Cecil get misused into a full inning or more instead of specialist and those aforementioned guys who I would not want in for under or cards purposes.

                            The weather report round here changing every hour last 2 days and at moment looks like far less chance than what earlier thought (more like chance of pop up storm not widespread event) but of course it might change 2 more times by this evening! Lol
                            Thanks for the info, I went ahead and grabbed them this morning, GL today.
                            Comment
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