Good Luck

BarstoolProphet · 05-14-17, 02:59 PM

Spoke too soon,,you see its a damn curse. I counted my chixs too early.

Have BAL -.5 1st5

KC drops a 5 spot in the btm of 4 . yikes

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 01:04 PM

1-1 on leans,,not bad.

SF was alock after 2 inns
And Was was cashing right up until 2 outs btm of 5th,,ouch. ok where we go.

How in the world does Tb/Clev go over,,,,,IT DOES NOT>

My biggest play today is:

Tb/Clev UNDER F5 4 -125

GL

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 01:23 PM

BTw My suggestion on playing any of my plays,,or anyone elses for that matter is to ,,play live.

This year has been REALLY good to me. (not chest pounding) just making observation.

I tend to see how the pitchers get out of the gate. I look at three main stats. PC(pitch count) B/S (balls vs strikes) and LOB (left on base)

If they tend to get under 15 pitches in the first inning and keep the B/S + or greater than 55% and no more than 1 LOB.

^That is in general. Of course on my major(big) plays I watch and watch very closely, as to see how they are pitchng, (if they are getting pinched at the plate,,how bad are they missing their pitches ,,etc etc.

Now if all looks "according to plan" I jump on the Under at the end of 1 or if it is shaky somewhere in the 2nd. Again only betting the F5.

If They are borderline vs my standards , I will watch them thru 2. Now if they are still borderline and it is a NL game and the pitchers are scheduled to bat in the third , I will take a small bet on the Under F5. If the pitcher has already batted or its an AL game,, I PASS.

Let me repeat ,,,NL games and both pitchers are expected to bat in same inning. 3rd. THIS IS HUGE,,and most of the time overlooked.

I will bet no score in that inning. You basically have 1/3 of that inning in the bag.(minus that damn Bumgarnder. lol) Not going to look it up,,but Interleague in NL park is absolute money.

So my UNDER today ,,watch and if most of the above criteria are met,,,get on that UNder Live f5 ,,it should be 4.5 - 225^ or even 3.5 -163.

And gl and see you at the windows.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 01:29 PM

Thats it ,,not going to give you bozos any more betting gems.

I have loads of "little" tips and tricks that keeps me cashing.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 01:49 PM

Alright alright,,,you muppets deserve one more bone.

LAA F5 - -200

or if you feel lucky

LAA F5 -.5 -138

^ see ya there.

crackerjack · 05-15-17, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by BarstoolProphet

Thats it ,,not going to give you bozos any more betting gems.

I have loads of "little" tips and tricks that keeps me cashing.

Thanks for the tips. The issue I see is that first time through the lineup a lot of pitchers do well. Second time through is much tougher. Also, how you account for the bullpen? Do you assume you won't see much of the bullpen if the pitcher looks set to cruise? I agree you can often gauge how a game will turn out after the first inning.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 04:52 PM

Well this is based solely on the the first five innings. I do not apply this logic to every game,,only those that I have capped to go UNDER.

And if they have "cruised" thru the 1st as I mentioned above,,you can assume that they will stay below their normal PC, and at worse only see every batter twice. Maybe the top3-4 for a third time. But that is about it.

The bullpen should never be taken into account. If they get into the BP ,,you have already lost your bet,,unless there is some freak injury.

BTW you owe me your toy surprise in your next box. You can keep the lame "lick-on" tattoos.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 05:21 PM

OK quick analysis of Carrasso top of 1

Dropped 3rd strike , 5 straight balls, over allotted PC, huge DP to save any real damage.. Grade: C+ will need to see the top of 2 in order to consider live Under bet.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 05:29 PM

Archers Analysis:

Lead off walk,,(always deadly) no signs of control early. Bunt to get lead runner,(huge)...Dif having issues getting ball down into zone. to in the dirt. 2nd walk issued..yikes.

At this point we would need a great 2nd from both to consider a live bet. Grade: at this point C- (when score was 1-1) it has been slightly downgraded since,,,lol F

No bet on live. Sweating out my UNDER 4 F5

Good Luck

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 05:33 PM

To hell with it,,this TB/Clev game is now been "trumped"

a fing disaster.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 05:37 PM

OVER in the first,,Well cappped you fing loser BP.

The only way I see you at the windows is you making another bet to save ur azz.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 05:41 PM

For those that took the UNDER of 7.5 ,,hope like hell you do not bump into any wagering police.

bc you are going to need a shit ton of doughnuts ,,to cash that one.

good luck.

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 09:26 PM

Adding: Live bet SD Pads Under 3.5 -185

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 09:27 PM

Also SF Under 3.5 -134 live bet.

Good Luck

BarstoolProphet · 05-15-17, 09:27 PM

Both F5 ,,first 5 inns.