MLB - Monday, 5/1/17

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Monday, 5/1/17
    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Marlins -125 (Heritage)
    Pirates / Reds OVER 8 -120 (5 Dimes)
    Indians / Tigers UNDER 9 -115 (Heritage)
    Mets +112 (Heritage)


    YTD: 110-104-9, +12.71
  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #2
    Originally posted by LT Profits

    YTD: 110-104-9, +12.71


    Comment
    • Waterstpub87
      SBR MVP
      • 09-09-09
      • 4108

      #3
      I am on the mets as well, thought it was crazy when the system spit it out. Feel better that the line has moved in my favor. How do you rate Gsellsmen as compared to Teheran?
      Comment
      • pilebuck13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-15-15
        • 17920

        #4
        Great number on the marlins yah bastard! I need to get a heritage account bookmaker always so juicy. I rarely see you take a number from there.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by pilebuck13
          Great number on the marlins yah bastard! I need to get a heritage account bookmaker always so juicy. I rarely see you take a number from there.
          Key at Heritage is catching the 4-cent overnights up until 8:00am ET
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by Waterstpub87
            I am on the mets as well, thought it was crazy when the system spit it out. Feel better that the line has moved in my favor. How do you rate Gsellsmen as compared to Teheran?
            Teheran is much better, he is slightly above average while Gsellman is below average. However, Mets have enough edges in other areas for model to rate this game dead even +100 both ways.
            Comment
            • TheLock
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-06-08
              • 14427

              #7
              I like Mets too, LT. Right up my alley.
              Comment
              • RavensFan2k3
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-18-12
                • 17378

                #8
                Why Miami here?
                Comment
                • Sam Odom
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-30-05
                  • 58063

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits

                  Key at Heritage is catching the 4-cent overnights up until 8:00am ET

                  that is why Sammy is awake looking so early - PT
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                    Why Miami here?
                    According to model, Miami with huge edges in bullpen and offensive splits and also small edge in starting pitcher. I get Miami 59% (-144). With all that said, I would pass at current price.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      1 MLB Addition

                      5 MLB Plays Monday

                      Marlins -125 (Heritage)
                      Rays / Marlins OVER 8 +105 (Heritage)
                      Pirates / Reds OVER 8 -120 (5 Dimes)
                      Indians / Tigers UNDER 9 -115 (Heritage)
                      Mets +112 (Heritage)
                      Comment
                      • RavensFan2k3
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-18-12
                        • 17378

                        #12
                        Originally posted by TheLock
                        I like Mets too, LT. Right up my alley.
                        I don't understand the Mets pick at all
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                          I don't understand the Mets pick at all
                          Already explained. It's like getting +112 on a coin flip.
                          Comment
                          • RavensFan2k3
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-18-12
                            • 17378

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            Already explained. It's like getting +112 on a coin flip.
                            The more I looked into, the more I understand. How do you rate daniel norris and trevor bauer? Also how does the model feel about that game?
                            Comment
                            • Colts Pacer
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-08-12
                              • 129

                              #15
                              Mets are -101 now Heritage.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                The more I looked into, the more I understand. How do you rate daniel norris and trevor bauer? Also how does the model feel about that game?
                                Both starting pitchers right at average. Cleveland with a humongous edge in bullpen, but I end up with Indians 55% (-122) so no value either way.
                                Comment
                                • RavensFan2k3
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-18-12
                                  • 17378

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  Both starting pitchers right at average. Cleveland with a humongous edge in bullpen, but I end up with Indians 55% (-122) so no value either way.
                                  What about Tigers FF?
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                    What about Tigers FF?
                                    Indians 54% (-117), still no value.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dano85
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-06-11
                                      • 240

                                      #19
                                      Thoughts on the Rangers Astros game or even FF
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Houston 65% (-186), Texas might have a smidgeon of value at the reduced juice books but not enough to act on.

                                        I get 66% (-194) for FF, so not much going on there value wise.
                                        Comment
                                        • RavensFan2k3
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-18-12
                                          • 17378

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          Both starting pitchers right at average. Cleveland with a humongous edge in bullpen, but I end up with Indians 55% (-122) so no value either way.
                                          Well hopefully Detroit keeps this up
                                          Comment
                                          • RavensFan2k3
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-18-12
                                            • 17378

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            Both starting pitchers right at average. Cleveland with a humongous edge in bullpen, but I end up with Indians 55% (-122) so no value either way.
                                            Well hopefully Detroit keeps this up
                                            Comment
                                            • grey area
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-17-14
                                              • 1187

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                              deserves it , not many on plus side with that many picks
                                              Comment
                                              • Rich Boy
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-01-09
                                                • 9714

                                                #24
                                                This Det UNDER could be a potential screwjob in our favor for a change unreal
                                                Comment
                                                • Rich Boy
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-01-09
                                                  • 9714

                                                  #25
                                                  Last inning here most likely a screwjob in store as usual
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TheLock
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 04-06-08
                                                    • 14427

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by TheLock
                                                    I like Mets too, LT. Right up my alley.
                                                    $$$$
                                                    Comment
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