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Pretty sure all my losses this week thus far consist of 2 stinking Phillies games I whiffed on side and total, blow me.
Royals saved me this weekend
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#668
What's up everyone. Needed a extra recovery day from weekend but ready to get back to it. Time to get little bookkeeping out of the way 1st..
73-53 +25.69 before Saturday's action. 3-3 on Saturday (with 2 more losses coming on a stinking phils game, twice last week got the double whammy in Philly I'm bout fed up with that team! Lol) still turned little over half unit profit
Thread total now sits at..
76-56 + 26.26
Gonna start working on wed card now.
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JerseyGodFather
SBR MVP
01-23-17
1494
#669
Welcome back! Hope you had a great weekend and I'm definitely looking forward to talking some winners
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#670
Was looking at zona 2marro as small dogs but man when cederstorm behind the plate the home team freaking 32-11 last 2 years. That honestly not something I look at a ton when it comes to umps but that record kinda stands out! Sheesh..
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fecgp40
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-11
5750
#671
Originally posted by 2daBank
Was looking at zona 2marro as small dogs but man when cederstorm behind the plate the home team freaking 32-11 last 2 years. That honestly not something I look at a ton when it comes to umps but that record kinda stands out! Sheesh..
That does stand out Bank, but Kuhl been quite the gas can this year.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#672
Chisox look like a play to me, debating whether waiting get is a better price. I'm far from fond of backing pelfrey but this be chisox 3rd lhp they seeing in a row and they been great against lefties, not like price or even sale had success, feel like offense should be primed and ready for Pomeranz..
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#673
Originally posted by fecgp40
That does stand out Bank, but Kuhl been quite the gas can this year.
Yea that mainly why I like zona. Kid gets hit, struggles w command, and simply isn't giving many innings. Can't see him having lot of success vs dbags lineup.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#674
8/31
Phils/fish un 8 -105.. no interest paying redic juice for the 8.5. Phils offense dogshit, both sp's solid and in limited chances vs respective teams we talking a combined 80 or so abs against and a grand total of 2 extra base hits! No reason both don't give us 6+ innings of good pitching here. Don't love either pen but they shouldn't have to do a lot of heavy lifting..
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JPTerriers8
SBR High Roller
05-01-17
208
#675
Originally posted by 2daBank
8/31
Phils/fish un 8 -105.. no interest paying redic juice for the 8.5. Phils offense dogshit, both sp's solid and in limited chances vs respective teams we talking a combined 80 or so abs against and a grand total of 2 extra base hits! No reason both don't give us 6+ innings of good pitching here. Don't love either pen but they shouldn't have to do a lot of heavy lifting..
What about betting the FF instead since there bullpens are shaky?
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shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#676
Originally posted by 2daBank
8/31
Phils/fish un 8 -105.. no interest paying redic juice for the 8.5. Phils offense dogshit, both sp's solid and in limited chances vs respective teams we talking a combined 80 or so abs against and a grand total of 2 extra base hits! No reason both don't give us 6+ innings of good pitching here. Don't love either pen but they shouldn't have to do a lot of heavy lifting..
tailing
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#677
Originally posted by JPTerriers8
What about betting the FF instead since there bullpens are shaky?
Obviously there times I use ff for numerous reasons and avoiding pens certainly one of them, in this instance I didn't see a reason to wait for ff as I actually prefer full gm here.
Nola like many starters often takes a inning or so to get things going, I could see few early runs and once settled in we get a string of goose egg innings. Also think chance total moves down or price gets steeper so by time ff opens could be low and or pricey compared to full game. Although fish offense been heating up if our starters do their jobs and have us a lower scoring affair going into the 7th I'm just not scared they all a sudden get it going too much late..
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#678
8/31
Phils/fish un 8 -105
Oakland +139
Chisox +149
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JPTerriers8
SBR High Roller
05-01-17
208
#679
Originally posted by 2daBank
Obviously there times I use ff for numerous reasons and avoiding pens certainly one of them, in this instance I didn't see a reason to wait for ff as I actually prefer full gm here.
Nola like many starters often takes a inning or so to get things going, I could see few early runs and once settled in we get a string of goose egg innings. Also think chance total moves down or price gets steeper so by time ff opens could be low and or pricey compared to full game. Although fish offense been heating up if our starters do their jobs and have us a lower scoring affair going into the 7th I'm just not scared they all a sudden get it going too much late..
Good explanation. I can get 8.5 -115 right now I'll jump on it
I'm liking the d backs, cubs and nationals as well
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#680
Originally posted by JPTerriers8
Good explanation. I can get 8.5 -115 right now I'll jump on it
I'm liking the d backs, cubs and nationals as well
I lean zona but as I mentioned not exactly thrilled w ump and how well home teams have done when he calling balls and strikes.
Shouldn't be any surprise I have no interest in scrubbies or nats. Way too juicy for my taste.
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JPTerriers8
SBR High Roller
05-01-17
208
#681
Originally posted by 2daBank
I lean zona but as I mentioned not exactly thrilled w ump and how well home teams have done when he calling balls and strikes.
Shouldn't be any surprise I have no interest in scrubbies or nats. Way too juicy for my taste.
I'm playing cubs/nats on the RL. I never bet anything over -140 if I like the matchup I'll go with RL
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#682
Originally posted by JPTerriers8
I'm playing cubs/nats on the RL. I never bet anything over -140 if I like the matchup I'll go with RL
I didn't look deep enough to know if either would fit my criteria for a rl. Gl
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#683
Muts awful expensive considering brew crew has touched degrom up pretty good last 2 times they have faced him.
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kj8210
SBR Wise Guy
02-09-12
919
#684
Thanks for your insight banker. Any thoughts on your cardinals tonight?
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#685
Originally posted by kj8210
Thanks for your insight banker. Any thoughts on your cardinals tonight?
really hard to justify them laying any number here. Short handed, playing poorly, struggle vs lefties, no success against ryu (not lot of looks at him tho, but also type of lefty that generally gives them problems).
Honestly only reason I'm not on lad is cause I just feel like cards pull it out w strong Martinez showing and just enough offense. Don't think that fan talk just kinda what I expect but certainly doesn't justify price.
Dodgers only playable side imo, surely chances of winning better than odds indicate. Advantages everywhere outside starter and offenses kinda even that out. No problem w under, long as both starters give enough and gm close to where no bad pen comes in should stay at or below 8. That would prob be only play I lean.
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shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#686
Originally posted by 2daBank
Muts awful expensive considering brew crew has touched degrom up pretty good last 2 times they have faced him.
Also pitched deep into the 8th last start.. wouldn't be surprised if he got lit up today
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#687
Adding to cards thoughts reason under isn't a play for me is I don't trust ryu much and despite cards issues w lefties it doesn't always make a lot of sense, outta be pretty stacked right handed lineup so they could get to him as he not been great. Problem is half these right handed bats border line big leaguers at moment, I'm not sure on few guys availability (gerko, piscotty) so if I was inclined to play total I'd wait for lineups..
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#688
Originally posted by shocka1212
Also pitched deep into the 8th last start.. wouldn't be surprised if he got lit up today
Does he have history of struggling after long outings?
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#689
looks like price dropping on cards as I was talking bout, no surprise, lol. Don't think lad nearly as attractive where line has dropped to.
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JerseyGodFather
SBR MVP
01-23-17
1494
#690
Originally posted by 2daBank
Was looking at zona 2marro as small dogs but man when cederstorm behind the plate the home team freaking 32-11 last 2 years. That honestly not something I look at a ton when it comes to umps but that record kinda stands out! Sheesh..
I was all over zona until I read this. Great handicapping I'm most likely going to stay away. 32-11 last 2 years is crazy
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shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#691
Originally posted by 2daBank
Does he have history of struggling after long outings?
not necessarily but he hasn't gone that deep into a game all year.. Braves knocked in about 5 after he went 7 earlier this year and although Mets put up 16 that game, just don't see it happening again...
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Midoohadi
SBR Wise Guy
02-25-17
514
#692
Originally posted by 2daBank
Was looking at zona 2marro as small dogs but man when cederstorm behind the plate the home team freaking 32-11 last 2 years. That honestly not something I look at a ton when it comes to umps but that record kinda stands out! Sheesh..
Question boss, please excuse my ignorance, but does that make the Pirates a play? just want to pick your brain/way of thought
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#693
Originally posted by JerseyGodFather
I was all over zona until I read this. Great handicapping I'm most likely going to stay away. 32-11 last 2 years is crazy
i honestly don't think it all that big a deal, just kinda stood out. If I had felt more strongly about the play it most likely wouldn't have influenced me. There were few other things didn't love about play, dbags kinda resemble Rockies teams of old this season with really bad road splits and ripping cover off ball at home and when they go to coors of course.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#694
Originally posted by Midoohadi
Question boss, please excuse my ignorance, but does that make the Pirates a play? just want to pick your brain/way of thought
Think I prob explained in my last post as you were posting this. Certainly wouldn't play a team based on anything like that, there was just enough overall to make zona not as attractive as other plays on the board.
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Midoohadi
SBR Wise Guy
02-25-17
514
#695
Originally posted by 2daBank
Think I prob explained in my last post as you were posting this. Certainly wouldn't play a team based on anything like that, there was just enough overall to make zona not as attractive as other plays on the board.
Thanks for the response BOL today man..
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shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#696
Philly is absolute dogshit.. our under not looking good
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shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#697
Originally posted by shocka1212
not necessarily but he hasn't gone that deep into a game all year.. Braves knocked in about 5 after he went 7 earlier this year and although Mets put up 16 that game, just don't see it happening again...
Bingo
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#698
Leans were better than plays on wed, hats that shit. Lol. Had vehicle issues yesterday and left me with no time.. I'll update record later when I have time..
Cardinals +154.. neither team playing all that well at moment but lackey laying this number? I'll gladly take my chances with Lynn and cards..
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mkracier
SBR High Roller
09-30-16
185
#699
Agreed on the side here the price is absurd for Lackey. It's cards or nothing in this game. What do you think about the under?
Also - taking a strong look at the Rangers later +109 with Darvish vs. Keuchel - 79% of bets on Houston and this line has moved from Texas +115/+117 around the market to +109 now... interesting
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#700
Originally posted by mkracier
Agreed on the side here the price is absurd for Lackey. It's cards or nothing in this game. What do you think about the under?
Also - taking a strong look at the Rangers later +109 with Darvish vs. Keuchel - 79% of bets on Houston and this line has moved from Texas +115/+117 around the market to +109 now... interesting
Far as total I'm not sure. In this park with these 2 pitchers think there just too many ways they could get to 9. Both clubs scoring 4 wouldn't surprise me in the slightest ( kicking myself for not playing under last few dodger games here in stl, lol).,
I havnt had a chance to look at any of card yet, just saw this line in chicago and had to grab it.. gonna crack a beer and watch cards game, I'll start working on rest of card while doing so and get back to you. 1st thought without any looking I'd say darvish at plus money certainly tempting as ya know I'm not big keuchel fan anyways. That said don't rangers really struggle with lefties? I'll look at that game 1st..