MLB Leans - Tues 5/26

Dexter · 05-25-09, 11:06 PM

Tue 5/26-

magic +1 (3x) - the magic have beaten the cavs the last 4 games at home by double digits each game.

tigers +1.5/-150 (Autobet - 2x) - taking the +1.5 on the tigers with the total at 7.5 or < and the associated moneyline at no > then -150

twins +100 - blackburn has an era/whip of 1.66/1.01 in his last 3, while lester has a 7.72/1.96. just missed being an autobet - still playing it.

angels -1.5/+100 (3x) - the angels are getting embarrassed right now and i look for them to get revenge on the whitesox tomorrow night and colon (2.05 whip last 3). saunders goes for la (2.95/1.07 in his last 3).

Alpinestars7 · 05-25-09, 11:19 PM

Wow i have the exact same plays as you lemon.......so i hope we go 4-0!!!

jellobiafra · 05-25-09, 11:42 PM

Nobody likes the Rangers at even money? Millwood v Joba. Even money. At home. Gotta win one eventually. Tomorrow looks like as good a time as any.

I did like the Astros too, but that's alright. I'm trying to limit my plays anyway.

EDIT:

Dex, I can't believe you're going against a CK heavy on NBA no less. Not me brother, but good luck with that.

ram1502 · 05-25-09, 11:49 PM

Early leans for me tomorrow are Jays, Marlins, Twins, Rockies, Angels.

darkenergy · 05-25-09, 11:50 PM

Here are my early leans.
Nationals - 77% on Mets and line drop to Mets -143 from -151. small bet as I hate to put my money on Nationals, but this should be a game.
NYY/TX Ranger - Under 10

The_Kid · 05-25-09, 11:56 PM

Detroit Tigers +145

Edwin Jackson is pitching just as well as Greinke this year and at this price, I think it's too good to pass up. In four starts away from home this year, he has compiled a 1.33 ERA and a WHIP of 0.96, while limiting batters to a .210 BA. I also feel more confident backing the better offense in the Tigers. Give me those crumbs!

Originally posted by Dexter

tigers (RL) (Autobet - 2x) - taking the +1.5 on the tigers with the total at 7.5 or < and the associated moneyline at no > then -150

I'm going for the ML straight up! Might throw a little bit on this autobet, Dex. Good luck!

jellobiafra · 05-26-09, 12:03 AM

The Rangers were actually +108 at BetJam just now when I booked it. That'll be my play for bases tomorrow. CLE ML NBA... gotta roll with the man on this one.

ram1502 · 05-26-09, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by darkenergy

Here are my early leans.
Nationals - 77% on Mets and line drop to Mets -143 from -151. small bet as I hate to put my money on Nationals, but this should be a game.
NYY/TX Ranger - Under 10

Was on the Nats tonight and they had a chance early before the Mets blew it open. I think the Nats will win one game this series, it's just finding which one it will be. And since I don't see them beating Johan on Wednesday, tomorrow will have to be the day. After all, Levan Hernandez is past his prime and is almost in Randy Johnson's category in my eyes. He hasn't been the same since he left the Marlins. Good luck to you darkenergy.

danrman · 05-26-09, 03:55 AM

Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid

Heeelllloooooo Brooklyn!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I love the way that Beastie Boys song starts on Paul's Boutique.

Anyway......here's the govt. cheeze you boys have been waiting on since the 2nd week into the month.

The Lemon Drop Kid's Plays for Tuesday 5/26

TOR BLUE JAYS.......I actually saw this battle take place in my front yard today. I was feeding the squirrels when this nice little Blue Jay brought a cup of tea to share with his little nut-cracking friend. Along came a gangsta ass Oriole with his pants hanging halfway down his ass trying to jack their stash. The squirrel landed 4 acorns to the Oriole's grill and that bird was carried away by the local tomcat.

HOU ASTROS.......Oswalt gets it done.

ARI DBACKS........Padres streak ends here.

CHI CUBS...........They are the better team for sure.....and it's time for the Bucs to come back to Earth.

I think this makes us 4-0 on the day boys.......hmmmm.....or 0-4????

Best of luck my friends.....

i dig the tor bet small and ariz small but i'll be on cinn. small.. im waiting till the cubs get healthy.. the astros and the cubs are in a bad way even if it is the pirates and ozzy has beaten cinncy 50 times... those are just early leans though.. check my thread cause as we know gamblin info can change... good luck folks.. i luv ya

peterpan19 · 05-26-09, 04:18 AM

HOU 5 Innings
...both team have hot bats right now....but I take the better pitcher for 5 Innings only...dont know if Oswalt lasts 6 or more Innings today, but he is always great against CIN

LAA RL
...what a game that was...I just have to believe that the Angels come back here today and return the favor...Colon wont even last 5 Innings here today I think...Saunders should go for 7 and by then the Angels should have a big lead already...

CHI 5 Innings
...Marshall should give me 5 solid Innings here today...Snell is not that great and should give up some runs early on...I dont want to play the whole game bc you never know...but the line is probably -150 or more so I will have to think about it again...

DET +145... looks like great value too...I might even have to follow dexter on that one and take the RL, bc it could turn out to be a close one...but not sure yet...I will play the first three games for sure, but I will have to think about that here today...

...and one word about the SD-ARZ game...Scherzer is good, but he is not worth the -150 price tag...and we all know how bad the pen for ARZ was yesterday...rake ARZ for 5 Innings only if you have to play it...or better dont, bc Scherzer has yet to proove that he can pitch at Chase Field, he has a 6.75 ERA at home...think about that

GL

Jimbo42 · 05-26-09, 06:23 AM

Originally posted by Alpinestars7

Wow i have the exact same plays as you lemon.......so i hope we go 4-0!!!

Run for the hills! LOL!

Jimbo42 · 05-26-09, 06:25 AM

What up!
Came through last night with a couple of dogs... finished up nice...

Booked:

Tampa Bay -135
Tampa Bay -1.5 +120

Milwaukee +100

Detroit +140

GL

also possible Dodgers play...

shoebox · 05-26-09, 11:23 AM

Here we go 2 plays

texas -110 3 units
royals RL +130 3 units

macadams · 05-26-09, 11:45 AM

Moneyline plays: Texas, Philly, D-backs, Cards. All booked.

jellobiafra · 05-26-09, 12:02 PM

Alright LDK, I added HOU against my better judgement. So it's the Rangers and Astros for me.

Dexter · 05-26-09, 12:17 PM

Originally posted by Jimbo42

Tampa Bay -135
Tampa Bay -1.5 +120

Milwaukee +100

Detroit +140
.

are any of these the system plays you came up with?

MexicanStallion · 05-26-09, 12:59 PM

Question

Looking at VegasInsider. What is the difference between side and money. An example

Marlins 1% side and 23% Money?

Thanks

SlicWilly3 · 05-26-09, 01:21 PM

Trying something new:

Baltimore +1 1/2 -150
Cincy +1 1/2 -140
Pitt +1 1/2 -150
SD +1 1/2 -140

SD is on a 10 game winning streak....The other 3 teams are playing teams that have lost 3 or more in a row...

Also on the Cavs with most of you tonight...

Good luck everybody

ragiche · 05-26-09, 01:38 PM

Booked plays for me today.

Min PK (3x) Tailing Dex.

Hou RL (3x) Tailing LDK.

Mil ML (3x) Tailing Jimbo.

Sdg ML (3x) Tailing Peter

Kc RL (3x) Tailing Shoe.

Sfo ML (3x) My Pick. Lincecum 3 straight ND. And he is 4-0 against the braves with a 2.70 ERA plus the bats of the giants woke up yesterday.This is an obvious pick of the night for me.

NBA:

Cle -1.5 (3x) Tailing CK.

GL guys hope we cash in tonight

.

The_Kid · 05-26-09, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

royals RL +130 3 units

shoe, why do you like the Royals? I could see Jackson shutting down their offense completely. Good luck with your play though.

suicidekings · 05-26-09, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

Question

Looking at VegasInsider. What is the difference between side and money. An example

Marlins 1% side and 23% Money?

Thanks

The Side is the point spread, so for baseball it would be the runline. Money is just the moneyline.

shoebox · 05-26-09, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

shoe, why do you like the Royals? I could see Jackson shutting down their offense completely. Good luck with your play though.

1) Superior play in my model/system of capping
2) Always fade a team after a game of sizzling bats in most cases
3) .82 era .91 whip vs 2.55 1.1 whip
4) At home a beast except last outing/ make proper adjustments
5) 3 lights out outings by Jackson leads to lots of scouting reports for opposing teams/what hes trying to do blah blah blah...leads to different approach/ game plan
6) VS Det 0.0 ERA/ 215 BA

In a nutshell for ya sir

shoebox · 05-26-09, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by Jimbo42

Run for the hills! LOL!

A tribute to LDK from Iron Maiden!!

The_Kid · 05-26-09, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

1) Superior play in my model/system of capping
2) Always fade a team after a game of sizzling bats in most cases
3) .82 era .91 whip vs 2.55 1.1 whip
4) At home a beast except last outing/ make proper adjustments
5) 3 lights out outings by Jackson leads to lots of scouting reports for opposing teams/what hes trying to do blah blah blah...leads to different approach/ game plan
6) VS Det 0.0 ERA/ 215 BA

Thanks, shoe. I'm on the other side of this one, but good luck.

overdose.fR · 05-26-09, 03:30 PM

my picks for 2night:

- Toronto - RL (3x)
- Florida - U 10 (1x)
- Boston - U 9.5 (1x)

Cheers

MexicanStallion · 05-26-09, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

The Side is the point spread, so for baseball it would be the runline. Money is just the moneyline.

I assumed. Just wanted a little clarification. Thank you

kmarinouofm · 05-26-09, 04:12 PM

my picks for tonight.. only like 2 games

Marlins over 10
and Tampa bay over 9.5

Dexter · 05-26-09, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

6) VS Det 0.0 ERA/ 215 BA

In a nutshell for ya sir

whats 0.00 era vs det - greinke?

pattymayo · 05-26-09, 04:45 PM

Phillies can't hit at home.. gotta take the U 10.0 there

showtime2000 · 05-26-09, 05:12 PM

Wow, it's incredible to see everyone on Pittsburgh tonight in pucks! Originally i thought the same but having look into the matchup a few things steered me to Carolina.
-Can Cam Ward have 3 straight bad games?
-Can Carolina loose 4 straight games? (6-2 in 2 years after loosing 3 straight)
-Carolina still has the edge at home versus Pittsburgh going 8-3 last 11 meetings.

I know everyone is thinking Pit wants to end it but somehow Carolina pulls it off tonight.

Puck play

Carolina +105

GLA

pattymayo · 05-26-09, 05:16 PM

hardly any value in taking Carolina IMO whats the point. Maybe if parlayed with O/U

2daBank · 05-26-09, 07:42 PM

i was out of town all weekend and just got off work 2day so i must be missing somthing can som1 please tell me why the dodgers are such big dawgs 2day and 2marro. thanks in advance

Jimbo42 · 05-26-09, 08:18 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

are any of these the system plays you came up with?

They are all one system or another dex....none of these are either of the two really strong systems that I have shared. i will point them out when they come up....

Jimbo42 · 05-26-09, 08:21 PM

Added:

LA Angels -1.5 +100
LA Angels -185 (just enough to cover my runline bet should they only win by one)

GL

Dex...this is my auto play- runline on any game with a moneyline spread of -175 to -199..