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  • Yazworm91
    SBR MVP
    • 03-01-13
    • 2397

    #1
    MLB Season thread
    I'm used to posting in the dog of the day thread. I'm not a 100$ per play bettor. My usual bet is 25$. I'm going to post all my plays in here for the season and hope my fellow baseball lovers will join in on the discussion and you are more than welcome to post in here as well. Or bash me for crappy picks. Most of my plays are on dogs or RL. Here is to hoping you have a wonderful season.

    I have made some preseason wagers that I will post here

    Toronto u85.5 wins -115

    115 to win 100

    Nolen Arenado to be regular season homerun leader +1200

    50 to win 600

    St Louis to win WS +3000

    25 to win 750
  • Yazworm91
    SBR MVP
    • 03-01-13
    • 2397

    #2
    St Louis +110

    25 to win 27.50

    Its opening day. Cards an underdog at home to the defending champs. Cubs going to be juiced all season. For a good reason.
    Comment
    • Yazworm91
      SBR MVP
      • 03-01-13
      • 2397

      #3
      1-0 +27.50

      April 3

      Two games I like tomorrow. Pittsburgh and Atlanta.

      Pittsburgh +155

      25 to win 38.75

      Cole is coming back off his worst season. With the offseason to heal and this Pirates team is a solid team. Porcello had a monster year last year but got the highest run support in the league. Definitely due for some regression this year. This also helps that my buddy was beside me when I said I liked Pittsburgh and he spouted off "Boston is going to destroy them". Almost worth 50$ just on that statement alone.


      Atlanta +172

      25 to win 43

      Teheran is coming into his own and I expect him to continue get better. He has struggled against lefties but again he continues to get better. I personally think Atlanta has a decent lineup. If Feeman was on a winning team he could be in the MVP race. Let's see if we can get a better number. I hope Mets get pounded and get a better number.
      Comment
      • Yazworm91
        SBR MVP
        • 03-01-13
        • 2397

        #4
        1-2 -22.50

        April 4


        Tampa Bay o7.5 -105

        26.25 to win 25


        Milwaukee -102

        25.50 to win 25
        Comment
        • Yazworm91
          SBR MVP
          • 03-01-13
          • 2397

          #5
          1-4 -75.25

          Slow start to the season. Seems like that the last couple of years. Stay on this trend I might wait a week or so to let things settle in. Long season though.

          April 5

          Seattle +107

          25 to win 26.75

          Like the hard throwing lefty tonight. Hope to see Seattle get their first W of the season.


          Baltimore -1.5 +175

          25 to win 43.75

          Happ comes off his best season ever. Destroying any previous season he has had before. Again I look to see some regression this year. Bundy is a hard thrower and will give up the long ball. He didn't have a great spring. Glad to see his first start at home. Probably should have taken the -118 but two teams that can hit one run for a .93 cent difference is worth it.
          Comment
          • Yazworm91
            SBR MVP
            • 03-01-13
            • 2397

            #6
            2-5 -56.50

            Well that was a tough loss by Seattle but again it's a long season. Hopefully those breaks will lean my way as well.

            April 6

            Pittsburgh +148

            25 to win 37

            Rodriguez hasn't lived up to his hype yet. Especially pitching in Fenway. 0-4 in 2016 with only a 2:1 K:BB ratio. Also giving up 10 homeruns in those outings. Kuhl comes into his first full season as a big league pitcher. He struggled some against lefties as a rookie. He will have his bumps in the road. I like this price on the Pirates tomorrow.
            Comment
            • Yazworm91
              SBR MVP
              • 03-01-13
              • 2397

              #7
              Pittsburgh games was postponed so I didn't have a play.

              2-5 -56.50

              April 7

              Milwaukee +150

              25 to win 37.50

              I also like two totals and I'm watching a few other games. I'll update if I add any plays.

              Adding

              Baltimore o9 +105

              25 to win 26.25

              Angels o8.5 -117

              29.25 to win 25
              Comment
              • Yazworm91
                SBR MVP
                • 03-01-13
                • 2397

                #8
                Got a bad number on every bet. Wasn't sure on how busy I'd be at work. I am going to add on to Milwaukee.

                Milwaukee +168

                10 to win 16.80
                Comment
                • Yazworm91
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-01-13
                  • 2397

                  #9
                  4-6 -5.20

                  Had I waited I'd be sitting around even. I'll take 2-1 with one of them being a +150 or better everyday the rest of my life

                  Like three games tomorrow

                  Arizona -105

                  26.25 to win 25

                  Greinke is still Grienke and this Arizona team can hit as well as anyone in baseball. I like Greinke to keep the Indian lineup on their heels as long as he can keep the ball down. Bauer isn't going to overpower the Zona lineup either and Chase field isn't a pitchers best friend to start your season especially with him struggling in the spring.

                  Kansas City +168

                  30 to win 50.40

                  Duffy is definitely worth a play at this price. Springer is hot to open the season and he's got solid numbers against Duffy. Keeping him off the bases might be the most important aspect of this game. I know it's looking at one micro section of the game but I do believe it's a significant one.

                  Chicago Cubs -1.5 -110

                  33 to win 30

                  Hendricks has been compared to having the control of Maddux and that's saying a lot. And he scares me the most in that rotation and I hate the Cubs. I think they tee off on Milone tomorrow. Bryant is starting the season hitting .063 and Rizzo at .200 and neither have homered yet. I'll be checking homerun props tomorrow on both these players.
                  Comment
                  • Yazworm91
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-01-13
                    • 2397

                    #10
                    Adding on to KC +183

                    10 to win 18.30

                    Add Prop Kris Bryant o3 total bases +125 on 5d prop builder

                    10 to win 12.50
                    Comment
                    • Yazworm91
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-01-13
                      • 2397

                      #11
                      8-6 +131.00

                      Nice 4-0 night. KC bats came through in the 7th. Duffy pitched well though. Bryant got out of his mini slump.

                      April 9th

                      No bet as of now

                      Games I'm looking at are Atlanta, Detroit and Yankees.
                      Comment
                      • Yazworm91
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-01-13
                        • 2397

                        #12
                        Glad I skipped the day with Atlanta giving up runs in the 9th and the walk off homer in the 10th. While Detroit goes from +125 overnight to closing btw -110 to -120

                        Monday I'm still researching. Arizona bats are hot. Will they stay that way on the road?

                        Im definitely going to wait on the Detroit line. While Cubs might be at a play if that lines drops into the -140 range.
                        Comment
                        • Yazworm91
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-01-13
                          • 2397

                          #13
                          April 11

                          St Louis +125

                          25 to win 31.25

                          Gio had a solid first outing but the righties in this Cards lineup will get to him tomorrow. Lynn must avoid the two big bats in that Washington lineup, which is common sense but Werth and Lind I just don't think are huge threats. I think losing Ramos is going to hurt them tremendously.


                          NY Mets -131

                          32.75 to win 25

                          Am I overvaluing Harvey here? I figure at this price everyone will be on him. Good ole gas can Clay I'm hoping has his usual meltdown around the 4th inning.
                          Comment
                          • Yazworm91
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-01-13
                            • 2397

                            #14
                            Adding a two team parlay for tonight

                            Colorado o12 -105
                            Toronto o9 +100

                            15 to win 43.57
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #15
                              Gl
                              buddy
                              Comment
                              • Yazworm91
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-01-13
                                • 2397

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                Gl
                                buddy
                                . thanks for checking in Kid. GL the you as well.
                                Comment
                                • Yazworm91
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-13
                                  • 2397

                                  #17
                                  9-7 +116.00

                                  April 12

                                  Arizona -105

                                  26.25 to win 25
                                  Should've taken them +109 last night.
                                  Comment
                                  • Yazworm91
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-01-13
                                    • 2397

                                    #18
                                    9-8 +91.00

                                    Totally missed out on the cards tonight. Looked at that all last night but couldn't pull the trigger. But I had no problem pulling the trigger on a loser


                                    April 13

                                    NY Yankees -1.5 +165

                                    25 to win 41.25

                                    Yanks are hitting well at home. Severino made one major mistake in his first start giving up the three run jack with two outs in the 5th against Baltimore. He will have the home crowd behind him tomorrow. Time to get that first win of the season.


                                    Pittsburgh +136

                                    25 to win 34

                                    Repeat bet on the game that got rained out last week. Pittsburgh has not opened the season well and they haven't hit lefties well to start the season with a terrible .138 average against them. Day game tomorrow at Fenway. Everything points to fade Pittsburgh and I'm admitting now I should probably stay away but they just got swept by the Reds and they are about to start a weekend series against the Cubs. This line might move higher if it were to jump up to +150 I might sprinkle a little more on them.
                                    Comment
                                    • Yazworm91
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-01-13
                                      • 2397

                                      #19
                                      Gotta start waiting on plays like this with a .22 cent move.

                                      Adding on to Pittsburgh +158

                                      10 to win 15.80
                                      Comment
                                      • Yazworm91
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-01-13
                                        • 2397

                                        #20
                                        9-10 +31.00

                                        Pittsburgh bullpen couldn't hold the lead. Yanks had a shot to get another run in the 8th before Judge got picked off at 1st. It's all good.

                                        April 14

                                        Arizona +1.5 +103

                                        30 to win 30.90

                                        If I remember correctly Greinke was dominant pitching in Dodger stadium when he played for them. Getting dbacks +1.5 +103. This game could definitely go to bullpens tied 1-1 or 2-2. Sitting on +230 if this game goes into late innings tied? I think the +1.5 is definitely worth a play here.
                                        Comment
                                        • Yazworm91
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-01-13
                                          • 2397

                                          #21
                                          Adding

                                          Arizona +225

                                          10 to win 22.50

                                          Toronto -1.5 +160

                                          25 to win 40
                                          Comment
                                          • Yazworm91
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-01-13
                                            • 2397

                                            #22
                                            9-13 -34.00

                                            Cold bats for me this last week.

                                            Milwaukee -102

                                            25.50 to win 25
                                            Comment
                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-17-07
                                              • 52143

                                              #23
                                              keep grinding , gl
                                              Comment
                                              • Yazworm91
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-01-13
                                                • 2397

                                                #24
                                                9-14 -59.50

                                                I like four plays today with one of them being high risk high reward. One of them I booked last night that's ten cents off now.

                                                Miami -1.5 +245
                                                25 to win 61.25

                                                Harvey is 1-2 in his career pitching at Miami. He's not pitched terrible having a 2.70 era in 5 starts. I'm just taking a shot here hoping Straily can keep the ball down this afternoon. Mets depend on the long ball more than anyone.


                                                White Sox +128
                                                25 to win 32

                                                Both Santiago and Shields have started the season out pitching well numbers wise. Santiago isn't striking too many out with 5 K's through 11 innings. Pitching to contact with a 16 mph wind blowing out today can lead to trouble. Shields has managed to get out of trouble early in the season giving up homers early in both starts but powering through. He's got a 9.28K/9 but his walk numbers are 5+BB/9. I like the Sox at this number where I can see a 8-5, 9-6 type of game today. With the wind blowing out like this I have to take the +money.

                                                White Sox o9.5 -105
                                                26.25 to win 25
                                                See above


                                                Oakland -105

                                                26.25 to win 25
                                                Dont have a lot to say about this other than I like this young pitcher Cotton. Probably should've went first five. He's going to need to pitch similar to his last game.
                                                Comment
                                                • Yazworm91
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-01-13
                                                  • 2397

                                                  #25
                                                  11-15 +7.50

                                                  That Marlins game was crazy. From Bour making a slide like a tee ball player that would've ultimately lost the bet to Phelps giving up two in the 9th to Ozuna getting thrown out at home in the bottom of the 9th to lose the bet again to the two run walk off.

                                                  Ive got no bet today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • trobin31
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-09-14
                                                    • 9853

                                                    #26
                                                    Mets v Marlins was one the better regular season series I've seen in awhile, pirates and cubs played a fun one as well.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Yazworm91
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-01-13
                                                      • 2397

                                                      #27
                                                      April 18

                                                      No write up for the plays tomorrow.

                                                      Detroit +107
                                                      25 to win 26.75

                                                      Cleveland o9 +100
                                                      25 to win 25
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Yazworm91
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-01-13
                                                        • 2397

                                                        #28
                                                        12-16 +7.50


                                                        4/19

                                                        San Francisco -1.5 +130
                                                        25 to win 32.50
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Yazworm91
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-01-13
                                                          • 2397

                                                          #29
                                                          12-17 -17.50

                                                          St Louis -120

                                                          30 to win 25
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Yazworm91
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-01-13
                                                            • 2397

                                                            #30
                                                            12-18 -47.50

                                                            Pittsburgh -1.5 +210

                                                            25 to win 52.50


                                                            St Louis o8.5 -115

                                                            28.25 to win 25
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Yazworm91
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-01-13
                                                              • 2397

                                                              #31
                                                              14-18 +30.00

                                                              I really like Pittsburgh this entire series for the weekend.

                                                              4/22

                                                              Pittsburgh +103

                                                              25 to win 25.75
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Yazworm91
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-01-13
                                                                • 2397

                                                                #32
                                                                14-19 +5.00

                                                                Couple of errors will kill a team and that's what happened yesterday.

                                                                4/23

                                                                St Louis -111

                                                                27.25 to win 25

                                                                Baltimore -110

                                                                27.50 to win 25


                                                                They pulled Toronto off the board as I tried to take them so I'll wait and see what's going on with that.

                                                                On a side note I like I like Celtics -2.5 today.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Yazworm91
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-01-13
                                                                  • 2397

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Adding

                                                                  Toronto ff -.5 +110

                                                                  25 to win 27.50
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Yazworm91
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-01-13
                                                                    • 2397

                                                                    #34
                                                                    15-21 -22.50

                                                                    Arizona -1.5 +140

                                                                    30 to win 42
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Yazworm91
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-01-13
                                                                      • 2397

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Tough way to lose this one up 7-1. And had chances up 7-5 with runners on 2nd and 3rd in the 7th. Long season and it's tough taking that RL sometimes.
                                                                      Comment
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