DFoster Monday Picks/Leans, 140-115-3, +47.73 units

[DFoster]

First pick after being out all weekend....

CH White Sox @ TOR Jays
Richard vs Richmond
TOR -1.5 ML +124 --- 2 units
TOR ML -159 --- 3 units

The trends are all positive for the Jays and all negative for the Sox. Really, this has been one of the more lopsided matchups I've seen recently. Richard hasn't been starting and isn't good enough to be starting. Richmond has been off the last two games and should have a great chance to get his stuff back against a cold offensive team. With Toronto dominating at home, I look for this one to cash.

[DFoster]

I'm going to post more picks as soon as I get a chance to look at the games a bit more in depth...it's been a busy morning.

[kotzwell88]

I'm a new member to this site, this is actually my first post, but I have been following your picks for a while (like a month or so) and have been betting alongside you. I just wanted to say thanks for making my the money that you have. With all do respect and sincerity I thank you for all of your effort and analysis and for not keeping your thoughts to yourself.


-Kotz

[kotzwell88]

do you have any picks for tonight?

[DFoster]

do you have any picks for tonight?

I will but I'm waiting for the umps to be released. I don't expect there to many picks tonight. Looking at the matchups with the lines, I don't have many that stick out as value lines. That could change though. I'm about to take a look at the first few night games and will post something if I make a play.

[DFoster]

I'm a new member to this site, this is actually my first post, but I have been following your picks for a while (like a month or so) and have been betting alongside you. I just wanted to say thanks for making my the money that you have. With all do respect and sincerity I thank you for all of your effort and analysis and for not keeping your thoughts to yourself.


-Kotz

Not a problem, I'm glad I can help. I hope the best days are ahead. Good luck to us both!

[JayLiang]

good luck to me and you today DFoster, ill be tailing you again as always.

[kotzwell88]

hey hey hey take a number....JK hehe

[DFoster]

Leans before umpires are released:

ARI/FLA under 8 --- good career stats from both Haren and Nolasco...
COL/ATL over --- solid trends here
NYY ML --- I hate the high line here but I really think the Yanks sweep the series tonight
ANA/SEA under 8.5 --- if Lackey's on, this should hit easily as the the Mariners can't hit
MIL ML --- I hate the Cardinals and like the line for Looper and company against a struggling Cards team

[kotzwell88]

When do the umps get released

[DFoster]

It's usually around an hour before the games.

Official plays:

MIL ML +122 --- 2 units

The Cards are struggling and when the Cards struggle, it's usually bad. On the other hand, the Brewers are hot and have man handled the Cardinals in the past. I know Lohse is solid at home but I can't help but take the hot team that I find better against a cold Cardinals team that started the season playing over their heads.

NYY ML -161 --- 2 units

The Yanks are getting hot and are looking like they've turned things around. With some solid wins, I expect the Yanks to sweep the Twins, who are terrible on the road. I wanted to take the under but I'm still hesitant to take the under at the new Yanks stadium.

[DFoster]

ANA Angels @ SEA Mariners
Lackey vs Washburn
ANA/SEA under 8.5 --- 1.5 units
ANA ML -116 --- 2 units

As I posted earlier, the Mariners struggle with the bats. Lackey should give the Angels a shot in the arm and he's completely dominated the Mariners in the past.

[cohen59]

Already booked the under in the Angels Mariners game and Marlins D'Backs game lets hope they cash defidently feel like good solid picks!

[DFoster]

ARI DBacks @ FLA Marlins
Haren vs Nolasco
ARI/FLA under 8.0 -117 --- 2 units

[cohen59]

And i have the Yankees ML all you gotta do is add the Rays ML and we almost have the same card like the brewers how can you not they are the hottest team right now didn't book it but i'll be rooting BOL tonight!!

[kotzwell88]

I have almost the exact same card except I have Min ML just bc pettite def isnt a -155 pitcher ans i took mariners instead, just a hunch... but thx as always and good luck

[DFoster]

And i have the Yankees ML all you gotta do is add the Rays ML and we almost have the same card like the brewers how can you not they are the hottest team right now didn't book it but i'll be rooting BOL tonight!!

I don't like Looper's last couple of outings but I'm not a believer in the Cardinals. I'll take the dog hot team vs the favorite cold team any day of the week.

I like the Rays at home, especially when they're hot...good luck!

[DFoster]

I have almost the exact same card except I have Min ML just bc pettite def isnt a -155 pitcher ans i took mariners instead, just a hunch... but thx as always and good luck

Yeah, I agree that Pettitte isn't a -155 pitcher...and 9x out of 10 I wouldn't even think about playing the Yankees at this juice with a middle tier starter...but everything I see in this game points to the Yankees.

[kotzwell88]

your prob right, IDK I'm even a yanks fan, but i just bet against the overly juiced line. Minn wins, i win, Yanks win, that's 6 straight. Kinda a Win/Win

[kotzwell88]

u thinking about this hockey game tn?

[DFoster]

u thinking about this hockey game tn?

I bet on hockey scarcely. I like it quite a bit when I do but I don't know enough to cap games myself unfortunately.

[Rick22]

Ricky Weeks is out for the year. Don't know how the Brewers will take that news.

[PhillyFan4Life]

Ricky Weeks is out for the year. Don't know how the Brewers will take that news.

I liked the Red Birds in that game but not enough to make a play.

I'm rolling with Fla/Dbacks under 8 for tonight. BOL everyone!

[DFoster]

Ricky Weeks is out for the year. Don't know how the Brewers will take that news.

I just saw that...too bad for him when he was having a great start to the season. Hopefully they pick him up tonight and beat the Redbirds.

[Rick22]

yeah - I think I'll keep with them - they been good to me the last few weeks. Hopefully Looper will shut down his old team. GL

[DFoster]

And the Yankee bats counter the Twins 2 run start..

[DFoster]

TOR -1.5 ML +124 --- 2 units - LOSS -2.00
TOR ML -159 --- 3 units - WIN +1.89
MIL ML +122 --- 2 units - WIN +2.44
NYY ML -161 --- 2 units - WIN +1.24
ANA/SEA under 8.5 --- 1.5 units - LOSS -1.5
ANA ML -116 --- 2 units - WIN +1.72

4-2, +3.79

[jellobiafra]

Nice night.

Easy on the jinx attempt with LAA though. It ain't over yet, and I'm on it large.

[jellobiafra]

Alright, NOW it's over!

[DFoster]

Alright, NOW it's over!

Haha, sorry about that. I was just about to get off the computer and saw there were two outs...figured it was as good as sealed.