Mr. Crumbs Leans for Friday 5/15/09

Dexter · 05-15-09, 05:29 PM

Fri-

liriano has looked bad in early 09, but esp away from the metrodome (7.87/1.56). Phil Hughes - well.....he's not who the yankees thought he was. another shootout at the new Yankee stadium.

over yankees 10.5 (2x)

brett anderson is one of the more promosing left handed prospects in the game, but he just doesnt seem ready yet. in his last 3, anderson has a 6.60/1.73. on the flip side, edwin jackson seems to finally be turning into that front of the rotation starter the dodgers had once hoped for. a 2.37/1.05 in his last 3 suggests top form for jackson at a decent price on the moneyline.

tigers -150

over rays 10 (3x - Autobet) - with both pitchers having a whip of >1.80 in their last 3 starts (2.15 each)

the royals are 6-1 in games greinke has started this year, and have won all 6 by 2+ runs per. no need to mention the filthy numbers greinke has. it is worth mentioning that mr adam eaton may be just what the royals need to get their bats going. i may even add an extra unit if the royals drop their 6th in a row tonight.

royals -1.5/+100

macadams · 05-15-09, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by laxdjock

That's my concern.

I took:

FL -1.5 +150, 1 unit
CIN -1.5 +143, 1 unit
KC -1.5 +100, 1 unit
PITT ML -104, 1 unit
FL -1.5 & NYM -1.5 +756, 1 unit

Depending on how the 7pm go...I may go NYM ML @ 150ish.

METS ML: linevalue 'cause of Timmie and SF strands so many runners it's hard for them to win some nights even if watching it you feel they're playing better. Mets were inspired last night, small-ball attitude perfect for post-steroid era

I see the attraction, haven't played it though. BOL to you.

chucksmith · 05-15-09, 05:37 PM

Liking the RLM on WAS over Phil

68% on Phil and line has gone from WAS -108 to -102

Nats coming off a WC road trip where they managed a 4-4 split

Lannan is not bad at home and Blanton is a beer can. Will probably take over as well

macadams · 05-15-09, 05:40 PM

Lackey @ +100 in for his return tomorrow at "the new coors field"...also tomorrow: Johan Santana v. Randy Johnson. Imma watch that.

Vreston · 05-15-09, 05:56 PM

The Marlins and Kansas City have done a lot of damage to me the last few days. I've been riding them both expecting a victory but no.
I can't believe the Royals have dropped 6 straight. They've got to come out of it tonight. What worries me though is that CK hasn't picked them

!
I also thought the Marlins would be a little more consistent. The Marlins owe a lot more people than you might think CK.

Last night I also lost Seattle in the ninth and San Francisco. Lost the Lakers half and full time too. Only got some back with Orlando. Hope we all get back on track today.

Dexter · 05-15-09, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by macadams

Lackey @ +100 in for his return tomorrow at "the new coors field"...also tomorrow: Johan Santana v. Randy Johnson. Imma watch that.

have you heard what lackeys pitch count is going to be?

macadams · 05-15-09, 06:01 PM

After two minor-league rehabilitation starts each, neither Santana, who went 16-7 with a 3.49 ERA last season, nor Lackey, who was 12-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 2008, will be on a strict pitch count. Scioscia estimates the two will be able to throw up to 100 pitches

According to Angels Notebook in the Inland Valley Daily Bulletin (http://www.dailybulletin.com/ci_12366383)

Dexter · 05-15-09, 06:01 PM

NYM-1B-Delgado-OUT, SS-Reyes-Doubtful, RP-Putz-OUT

Jimbo42 · 05-15-09, 06:07 PM

What up...
Booked:
Atlanta -1.5 +115
Toronto -125
Pittsburgh -120

GL as always

jellobiafra · 05-15-09, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

NYM-1B-Delgado-OUT, SS-Reyes-Doubtful, RP-Putz-OUT

Nice.

Jimbo42 · 05-15-09, 06:08 PM

Also played, but on the lighter side:

San Diego +100
Minnesota +100
LA Angels +100

Wow, I guess they were all even money....

GL

Jimbo42 · 05-15-09, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by Vreston

The Marlins and Kansas City have done a lot of damage to me the last few days. I've been riding them both expecting a victory but no.
I can't believe the Royals have dropped 6 straight. They've got to come out of it tonight. What worries me though is that CK hasn't picked them

!
I also thought the Marlins would be a little more consistent. The Marlins owe a lot more people than you might think CK.

Last night I also lost Seattle in the ninth and San Francisco. Lost the Lakers half and full time too. Only got some back with Orlando. Hope we all get back on track today.

Either ride a streak or wait for a team to break their streak then bet on them their next game...You can lose many times when guessing the day a team will break a streak... but you can win many times riding along and lose only that once when their streak is broken... Me, I wait for a team to break their losing streak then I'm on em the very next game... Good luck bro!

JohnMorr08 · 05-15-09, 06:16 PM

CK - What gives with that Tampa total? The consensus is extremely lopsided... which really made me want to take the Under.. but a lot of smart $$ is on the OVER too. The line jumped a bit but I haven't seen activity like that is a while. Can't imagine it's going to be a "free chicken dinner". I'm staying away but watching this one very closely.

Good Luck Gentlemen

laxdjock · 05-15-09, 06:30 PM

Originally posted by macadams

METS ML: linevalue 'cause of Timmie and SF strands so many runners it's hard for them to win some nights even if watching it you feel they're playing better. Mets were inspired last night, small-ball attitude perfect for post-steroid era

I see the attraction, haven't played it though. BOL to you.

Hernandez can keep them in it, and that's all you can ask from him. Timmy is solid but he hasn't done that well against the Mets as of late. Wright has been hot, and a few well places hits will put a lot of pressure on the SF bats.

The ML has value, and I took the RL as part of a parlay to try and hit a 7.5:1.

As for the NYM injuries:

Tatis has bee a great replacement for 'gado.
I think Reyes plays.
Putz needs the rest. Hopefully Parnell/kRod/etc can close it out.

jaymac82980 · 05-15-09, 06:31 PM

tampa bay is an indoor game, in tampa, kazmir can suck a golfball through a garden hose, cleveland is capable of slugging the ball, and so is tampa. the total seemed low, so everyone and their mother, and in some cases both mothers, bet on this game

Pick'nParlays · 05-15-09, 06:52 PM

ck, any thoughts on the mets/sf? I saw your on sf rl. Also what do you think about the over in the sd game? My book just dropped it to 7.5. I dont think Correia and Harang can keep it that low

rb4033 · 05-15-09, 06:57 PM

f=uck tampa bay rays

SlicWilly3 · 05-15-09, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by Pick'nParlays

ck, any thoughts on the mets/sf? I saw your on sf rl. Also what do you think about the over in the sd game? My book just dropped it to 7.5. I dont think Correia and Harang can keep it that low

I like that over (7 1/2) on Cincy/SD......The ballpark is a pitchers park though, hence the reason for the low o/u.
But in their last 3 starts they are:
Harang 4.26 ERA and a 1.31 Whip
Correia 6.28 ERA and a 1.88 Whip

I love the side in this game-Cincy.....If I had a gun to my head I would lean the over as well.

Just my 2 cents

SlicWilly3 · 05-15-09, 07:04 PM

Oh forgot......I love the YES to a run to score in the 1st in the Boston/Seattle game..... Both pitchers have been struggling lately, and between the top of the line up for both teams a run should def be scored

Pick'nParlays · 05-15-09, 07:05 PM

2 cents are appreciated. I hope ck sides with us. im still waiting to here back from him b4 i pull the trigger.

Originally posted by SlicWilly3

I like that over (7 1/2) on Cincy/SD......The ballpark is a pitchers park though, hence the reason for the low o/u.
But in their last 3 starts they are:
Harang 4.26 ERA and a 1.31 Whip
Correia 6.28 ERA and a 1.88 Whip

I love the side in this game-Cincy.....If I had a gun to my head I would lean the over as well.

Just my 2 cents

TheLemonDropKid · 05-15-09, 07:16 PM

I'm gonna ask a stupid question that I think I already know the answer to.....

What happens if the 1st game of an "if win" bet is postponed and 2nd and 3rd game of the bet are winners??

I'm assuming they won't be winners because of the 1st one being postponed.

And my next question is.......why does this kind of shit have to happen so often to me.....lol!

jaymac82980 · 05-15-09, 07:33 PM

Lemon, I feel like this stuff does happen a lot to you. haha.

TheLemonDropKid · 05-15-09, 07:38 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

Lemon, I feel like this stuff does happen a lot to you. haha.

So does that answer my question then? They wouldn't count?

Last night I had the Royals again as my 1st game in an "if win"......my other 2 games had already won....was just waiting on the Royals to pull through for me to win all 3.......but they lost.....so I kissed my 2 winners goodbye. And then this homo Jimbo had to rub it in my face cuz he had the Orioles........bastard.

Jimbo42 · 05-15-09, 07:43 PM

Oh you didn't think I'd see that huh francis?.... would you like to step outside sir!

jaymac82980 · 05-15-09, 07:43 PM

sorry bro, I have no idea. I don't do those if bets. I do parlays and teasers, thats about as complicated as I can stand. plus, I'm a 1 game at a time guy, that way I can chase - which is what gets me into trouble.

Tell Jimbo he's a homo then, don't put up with his shizzle. youre a man Lemon! homo-erectus!

jaymac82980 · 05-15-09, 07:44 PM

wait wait wait....Lemon, is your real name "Francis"?

ummmmm. haha. Lemon is way cooler.

Jimbo42 · 05-15-09, 07:46 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

wait wait wait....Lemon, is your real name "Francis"?

ummmmm. haha. Lemon is way cooler.

TheLemonDropKid · 05-15-09, 07:46 PM

Originally posted by Jimbo42

Oh you didn't think I'd see that huh francis?.... would you like to step outside sir!

Oh snap........I thought you would be in bed already old man.....oh wait, no, it's not 7pm your time yet......lol.

Jimbo42 · 05-15-09, 07:47 PM

btw, welcome back Jay... we been missing ya

TheLemonDropKid · 05-15-09, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

wait wait wait....Lemon, is your real name "Francis"?

ummmmm. haha. Lemon is way cooler.

LOL! Francis is my French porn name.

laxdjock · 05-15-09, 07:53 PM

Come on Fish......

At least my Texas TT cashed.

See ya'll later.

cocknocker · 05-15-09, 07:55 PM

Marlins keep giving up leads on this bad run they're on...

jaymac82980 · 05-15-09, 08:01 PM

thanks Jimbo.

ok, so guys, what do we like better, the red sox OVER....or Cinci ML? or both, cuz I tell ya I'm liking both.

I actually like the Sox over 9 better, but I keep hearing about how Cinci is hot right now and San diego is not right now.

BTW, tampa over just cashed....CA-mutha-F-ing-CHING!

jaymac82980 · 05-15-09, 08:03 PM

and oh yeah, in Reference to POST #23....

I DOUBLED UP ON THE TAMPA OVER!

Pick'nParlays · 05-15-09, 08:05 PM

CK! What do you think brotha?