As the Soccer and NBA seasons are winding down, and with a growing interest in Baseball, i am going to start a thread and see how i get on.
I can't give the insight that Americans can give simply because in England it's really hard to watch MLB on TV.
I can however, analyse the stats and hopefully that is sufficient to produce a profitable Thread.
I will take the stats from my Bookie - Bet365, and for more in depth stats, Covers.com.
I stake £20 a game (at todays exchange rate, something like $29), and i look for quality over quantity
My first pick is indeed Florida (11/10)
As highlighted in CK's thread and i have found some good stuff to back it up.
68% of bettors are on the Marlins and the line has moved accordingly, suggesting the sharp money is also on Florida.
Nolasco is 2-0 against the Brew Crew.
Marlins are 6-2 in Nolascos last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Marlins are 6-2 in Nolascos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series. Marlins are 8-3 in Nolascos last 11 starts as a road underdog.
I got them at 11/10 but they are now just evs.
My second pick is Under 11 - Rays/Orioles (20/23)
Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher
Under is 15-6-1 in Rays last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 12-5 in Rays last 17 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 games following a win.
Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 8-3-1 in Orioles last 12 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 home games.
Hope i get off to a winning start
* Adding Texas Rangers (20/27)
McCarthy has a 2-1 record against the Mariners and are 6-1 playing Seattle
Rangers are 4-1 in McCarthys last 5 starts as a favorite.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mariners are 4-9 in Washburns last 13 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Mariners are 9-21 in Washburns last 30 starts.
I can't give the insight that Americans can give simply because in England it's really hard to watch MLB on TV.
I can however, analyse the stats and hopefully that is sufficient to produce a profitable Thread.
I will take the stats from my Bookie - Bet365, and for more in depth stats, Covers.com.
I stake £20 a game (at todays exchange rate, something like $29), and i look for quality over quantity
My first pick is indeed Florida (11/10)
As highlighted in CK's thread and i have found some good stuff to back it up.
68% of bettors are on the Marlins and the line has moved accordingly, suggesting the sharp money is also on Florida.
Nolasco is 2-0 against the Brew Crew.
Marlins are 6-2 in Nolascos last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Marlins are 6-2 in Nolascos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series. Marlins are 8-3 in Nolascos last 11 starts as a road underdog.
I got them at 11/10 but they are now just evs.
My second pick is Under 11 - Rays/Orioles (20/23)
Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher
Under is 15-6-1 in Rays last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 12-5 in Rays last 17 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 games following a win.
Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 8-3-1 in Orioles last 12 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 home games.
Hope i get off to a winning start
* Adding Texas Rangers (20/27)
McCarthy has a 2-1 record against the Mariners and are 6-1 playing Seattle
Rangers are 4-1 in McCarthys last 5 starts as a favorite.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mariners are 4-9 in Washburns last 13 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Mariners are 9-21 in Washburns last 30 starts.