TT's 2016 Playoffs O/U's and Sides Thread

[TechnicalTrader]

I'm running a simple strategy which has been backtested with great results. I've used my 1st inning strategy and converted it in to a playoff strategy. Something that wouldn't work in the regular season due random SP matchups.

I'm basically looking at teams bullpens' which have performed a certain way over a certain period of games. Teams usually go with a 3-man rotation, filling in with their SP4 ond SP5 as soon as their starter gets in trouble, so I'm not really even looking at the first five innings.

Well, as soon as I get a signal I'll let you know! Let's see how this goes. DD, let's do this!!!

[TechnicalTrader]

Two systems; System one evaluates the entire team. System two is bullpens only. Similar to what DD was doing.

System 1:

BOS/CLE Under, risking 4% of BR

Dating back to 2004 this system has seen only 2 over's in a row. This is where things get interesting... The first game of that series was October 07, 2006 (DET/NYY), the second a year later (ARZ/CHC) on October 05, 2007. So theoretically it wasn't two games in a row.

Dating back to Oct 01, 2004 this system has gone 25-11, with 5 pushes.

[TechnicalTrader]

One last thing, The system is 4-0-1 this October. Wish I found this a few weeks ago... LMAO

[TechnicalTrader]

System 1: TOR, RL (-178)
risking 3% of BR

[TechnicalTrader]

1-1, down ca. 1.5% of BR.

The only play I have today is TOR/TEX(-105), no runs in the first.

Risking 3% of BR,

[mohye1980]

1-1, down ca. 1.5% of BR.

The only play I have today is TOR/TEX(-105), no runs in the first.

Risking 3% of BR,

Cash $$$$ thanks for posting

[TechnicalTrader]

2:1,will get the exact numbers up later.

Next up:

First 5inn:
SF/CHC, under 3.5 (-115)
Risking 3% of BR

[TechnicalTrader]

Bankroll day 1: $1,000.00
Record: 2:1
Total Profit: 1.35%
Bankroll day 1,013.50: $

Hit rate: 66.66%

Baby steps

[TechnicalTrader]

I'm looking at one first inning under on today's card. I'll post it later today, need to take a longer look at it.

I will also be raising my stakes due to the low volume of MLB bets, most likely something around 5-7% of BR.

Bankroll day 2: $1,000.00
Record: 3:1
Total Profit: 4.24%
Bankroll day 1,042.46: $

Hit rate: 75.00%

[TechnicalTrader]

no plays today. Should have at least one tomorrow

[doubledime]

I'm looking at one first inning under on today's card. I'll post it later today, need to take a longer look at it.

I will also be raising my stakes due to the low volume of MLB bets, most likely something around 5-7% of BR.

Bankroll day 2: $1,000.00
Record: 3:1
Total Profit: 4.24%
Bankroll day 1,042.46: $

Hit rate: 75.00%

Keep it going

[TechnicalTrader]

Keep it going

Thanks.

Today's play:

TEX/TOR, no score in the first (-110)
risking 5%

[doubledime]

Thanks.

Today's play:

TEX/TOR, no score in the first (-110)
risking 5%

Good luck today TT

[SlickRick1382]

Any thoughts for tonight?

[TechnicalTrader]

Today's play:
1st inning, no runs. Risking 5%

[grombom125]

Hey TT First time in this thread. Looks promising though. Any plays for today?

[TechnicalTrader]

Hey TT First time in this thread. Looks promising though. Any plays for today?

Actually, yes. Under 1st inning on the CLE/TOR game. CLE's SP is a rookie so I'm only risking 2%.

Was going to wait for lineups to be published but screw it.