MLB - Tuesday, 9/27/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Tuesday, 9/27/16
    4 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Red Sox / Yankees UNDER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Orioles +130 (Heritage)
    Twins / Royals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Astros UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 438-441-22, +11.86
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    60%ers:

    I am ignoring 3 games today for 60% purposes: Cubs (meaningless game), Nationals (combination of me not loading Koch of Arizona into model and Nats being without Harper and Murphy) and Indians (clinched yesterday, may rest starters one game).

    Boston 66% (-194)
    Mets 62% (-163)
    Kansas City 62% (-163)
    St. Louis 71% (-245)
    Dodgers 66% (-194)
    Comment
    • SBR Breadman
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-04-12
      • 145

      #3
      Let's Do This!
      Comment
      • eddycash
        SBR MVP
        • 11-06-13
        • 4527

        #4
        Baltimore and the twins over are heavily public backed games, are you ok with that LT?
        Comment
        • eddycash
          SBR MVP
          • 11-06-13
          • 4527

          #5
          Cuz the blue jays always seem to take my money
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by eddycash
            Baltimore and the twins over are heavily public backed games, are you ok with that LT?
            Not my ideal preference but does not stop me either. So yes I am OK with it.
            Comment
            • Rich Boy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-01-09
              • 9714

              #7
              Minny overs are automatic for me, I take them over every game
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                6 more days
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Rich Boy
                  Minny overs are automatic for me, I take them over every game
                  Best Over team in baseball this year, around 65%
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Best Over team in baseball this year, around 65%
                    OK more like 62%

                    92-56-8
                    Comment
                    • ImBetting
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 01-20-15
                      • 46

                      #11
                      What do you think about St. Louis, LT? Is it worth to take them despite low odds?
                      Comment
                      • Yazworm91
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-01-13
                        • 2397

                        #12
                        Milwaukee worth another look today?
                        Comment
                        • mr. leisure
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-08
                          • 17507

                          #13
                          Seattle + 106 ?
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ImBetting
                            What do you think about St. Louis, LT? Is it worth to take them despite low odds?
                            I never bet big favorites and even the 30-point or so variance between the real line and the model line is not as significant as it would be at lower odds.
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Yazworm91
                              Milwaukee worth another look today?
                              They are on my radar but I am resisting for now. I only get Texas 58% (-138).
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by mr. leisure
                                Seattle + 106 ?
                                It is close, I get Seattle favored 51% (-104)
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits

                                  They are on my radar but I am resisting for now. I only get Texas 58% (-138).
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  It is close, I get Seattle favored 51% (-104)
                                  In the end, no additions, only going with the original 4 plays.
                                  Comment
                                  • doitnow
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-27-16
                                    • 2584

                                    #18
                                    Lt, great work!
                                    Comment
                                    • homerbush
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-17-08
                                      • 2317

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      4 MLB Plays Tuesday

                                      Red Sox / Yankees UNDER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                      Orioles +130 (Heritage)
                                      Twins / Royals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
                                      Mariners / Astros UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)


                                      YTD: 438-441-22, +11.86
                                      Lets get this extra inning magic and get the twins royals over.
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        First time all month my bankroll took a hit like this, I guess I was due for a stinker.
                                        Comment
                                        • Snake24
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-14-14
                                          • 2366

                                          #21
                                          It's all good, LT.
                                          Comment
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