DFoster Thursday Picks/Leans, 110-92-3, +37.58 units

DFoster · 05-07-09, 10:49 AM

2nd pick:

KC ML -112 --- 2 units

The Royals are on a roll and are solid at home while Bannister has started the season strong. The Mariners are starting to show their tru colors and may be fade material. Tichener is a big homer which makes this a nicer bet...

DFoster · 05-07-09, 11:08 AM

CHW/DET under 9 -111 --- 1.5 units

I had it last night, and I'm doing it against tonight

CHW ML -107 --- 1.5 units

I'm a Buerhle believer. The Sox get up when he throws and I'm expecting the same tonight.

DFoster · 05-07-09, 12:32 PM

Pirates play is reduced to 1 unit as the Pirates aren't starting LaRoche or Sanchez. I now am struggling to like this play at all but will stick to 1 unit.

Vonnegut · 05-07-09, 12:41 PM

Err, yeah, thats no good. Book must have known. Still, I dont see Wellemeyer as this kind of value pitcher. Knowing that Sanchez and LaRoche are out I may not have played the Pirates either, however. Ah well

DFoster · 05-07-09, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by Vonnegut

Err, yeah, thats no good. Book must have known. Still, I dont see Wellemeyer as this kind of value pitcher. Knowing that Sanchez and LaRoche are out I may not have played the Pirates either, however. Ah well

Yeah, same here. Since i use matchbook, it makes it easy. I actually bought the Pirates at +179 for 2 units and when I went back to lower it to 1 unit, the Pirates were at +168, so I sold the line. Whoever wins, I pocket +.20 units. Because I posted the pick though, I'm going to stick with it as a 1 unit posted play.

theplagy · 05-07-09, 12:49 PM

Ohlendorf is pitching guys

DFoster · 05-07-09, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by theplagy

Ohlendorf is pitching guys

yeah, and I like him more than Wellemeyer...

DFoster · 05-07-09, 01:00 PM

BOS ML -150 --- 2 units

I don't trust Sowers here. I don't like paying this juice but I like the Sox to win, obviously. I may make a RL play as well...

MIN ML +105 --- 1.5 units

Perkins is throwing well and is much better than Bergeson. I like the Twinkies to roll tonight. I'd write more but time has been short today.

Vonnegut · 05-07-09, 01:10 PM

Leaning Twins tonight too for sure.

Slanina · 05-07-09, 01:28 PM

Good luck to all of your bets, except the Cards. I'm on the other side of the fence with this one.

cohen59 · 05-07-09, 01:40 PM

I have been tailing your picks for a while now DF but the one pick that i have added each night has been SF TT Under 4.5 it has been paying out like crazy i feel like Marquis will keep them under that tonight what do you think??

DFoster · 05-07-09, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by cohen59

I have been tailing your picks for a while now DF but the one pick that i have added each night has been SF TT Under 4.5 it has been paying out like crazy i feel like Marquis will keep them under that tonight what do you think??

Sorry...I haven't had a chance to get online. Now that the game's started, I guess it doesn't matter, but anytime the Giants play there's a solid chance it's going under 4.5. I'll probably start paying attention to that a little more often. Good luck!

DFoster · 05-07-09, 02:38 PM

I forgot to post this:

ARI ML -120 --- 1.5 units

Haren should take care of the Padres...

SportsChic · 05-07-09, 02:41 PM

Foster..Im looking to do a parlay this evening for 1 unit..you have 3 strong plays?

DFoster · 05-07-09, 02:58 PM

I've only posted 4 for the evening as of now:

MIN ML
BOS ML
CHW ML
CHW/DET under 9

If I went with the top 3 of those, I'd go MIN, BOS, CHW/DET under.

I may post a couple more plays in the next few hours but I'm not sure if I'm going to get time to cap anymore games.

SportsChic · 05-07-09, 03:22 PM

thanks babe...no thoughts on yankees or mets tonight?

theplagy · 05-07-09, 03:42 PM

what the fck is wrong with soria today?

wow 2 walks 1 hit in 1 inning...

theplagy · 05-07-09, 03:43 PM

facing Ichiro......base loaded

he had just enough to close this one out phew...

JayLiang · 05-07-09, 04:03 PM

anyone taking dodgers?

jellobiafra · 05-07-09, 04:05 PM

I took them (-1) before the news broke. Not really regretting the decision though. It was a small play and they have paid for my ride over the past 3 games since I jumped on.

JayLiang · 05-07-09, 04:14 PM

dangs i dont know if i should just on it or not.

DFoster · 05-07-09, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by SportsChic

thanks babe...no thoughts on yankees or mets tonight?

I like the Yankees to bounce back tonight but haven't bet on them due to the line. I haven't looked at the Phils/Mets much but I'm leaning toward the Phils...they're starting to turn it on.

JayLiang · 05-07-09, 04:30 PM

DFoster what do you think about the LAD game?

DFoster · 05-07-09, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by JayLiang

DFoster what do you think about the LAD game?

Their streak at home is hard to go against but I really like Zimmerman as a young pitcher who comes in with a different mentality than those who've consistently been on a losing team. I've seen two of his starts and he has some great stuff. With the line currently sitting at +137, I don't know if there's enough value. The Nats are 1-5 in their last 6 games against a left handed starter and have hit .214 against them in their last 5 games. With Campos behind the plate, the over is probably the play to make here.

If I had to take one side, I'd go with Zimmerman to come out strong and break the streak...though I don't know if the line is strong enough to make a wager. The over has changed significantely since the Manny news and is sitting at 9 at +110...that has value. Campos is 17-4 on overs in his last 21 games and has a strikezone the size of a matchbox. I'm waiting for the over line to go up ever further and will probably make a play myself.

Vonnegut · 05-07-09, 05:00 PM

If I had a lean in the Dodgers/Nats game it would probably be under but I'll lay off the Dodgers until we see how they react to the Manny fiasco. They seem like a pretty good no play right now, too much of a circus.

DFoster · 05-07-09, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by Vonnegut

If I had a lean in the Dodgers/Nats game it would probably be under but I'll lay off the Dodgers until we see how they react to the Manny fiasco. They seem like a pretty good no play right now, too much of a circus.

You'd lean under? What are your thoughts? I haven't make a play on the over yet but was looking at it...

DFoster · 05-07-09, 05:07 PM

CHC TT over 5 -136 --- 2 units

I love the over in this game but I'm afraid that Lilly will shut the Astros down at Minute Maid...just like he did last year. Due to that, I'm making a play on the Cubs dominating Russ "I walk 1 an inning" Ortiz.

DFoster · 05-07-09, 11:05 PM

PIT ML +179 --- 1 units --- LOSS -1.00
CHW/DET under 9 -111 --- 1.5 units - WIN +1.35
KC ML -112 --- 2 units - WIN +1.79
CHW ML -107 --- 1.5 units - WIN +1.40
BOS ML -150 --- 2 units - WIN +1.33
CHC TT over 5 -136 --- 2 units -WIN +1.47
ARI ML -120 --- 1.5 units - LOSS -1.50
MIN ML +105 --- 1.5 units - LOSS -1.50

Today's results:
5-3, +3.78

MexicanStallion · 05-08-09, 01:06 AM

Congrats on a successful night