Mr. Crumbs Favorite Hits for Thursday 5/7/09

tbill11 · 05-07-09, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

why?

we've all gotten away from having good discussions. way too much patting oneself on the back after a win, trolls killing the thread etc...

lets have friggin constructive discussions instead of this garbage..

Alright well if we wanna go for some insight, let's do it. Somebody got some insight on the A's-Rangers game. I'm leaning towards Cahill and my hometown boys to break this awful losing streak, but I'd like somebody not living in Oakland's opinion...

repski · 05-07-09, 12:57 PM

1st inning runs 2 fo 2 so far today...

repski · 05-07-09, 01:22 PM

how horrible is your offense when Branyan is hitting clean-up..its a miracle Seattle has been playing as well as they have..

Bobby518 · 05-07-09, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by repski

1st inning runs 2 fo 2 so far today...

Now 2-1

chucksmith · 05-07-09, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by repski

how horrible is your offense when Branyan is hitting clean-up..its a miracle Seattle has been playing as well as they have..

Same way I feel about my Braves, Kotchman hitting clean-up with McCann out. I hate our lineup.

Flyers09 · 05-07-09, 02:07 PM

arizona first 5 innings -125

anyone agree? harden is pitching

peterpan19 · 05-07-09, 03:10 PM

plays for today:
BOS -1 ...payback time...2x
NYY -1 ... payback time...2x
MIL...Owings just sucks against the Brewers...1x
CWS...I wanted to play them yesterday...I will do it again today...3x

GL

jellobiafra · 05-07-09, 03:18 PM

Holy crap. Talk about lucky.... I've been playing that SFG team total under the past few days. Just went and checked my wagers and I accidentally played the OVER 4.5 today! At +110 no less. LOL. When you're hot you're hot...

This under bet has now gone 2-2 the last 4 games. I'm going to play it again tomorrow (more carefully) but if it might be evening out a little. We'll see.

denttiger · 05-07-09, 03:26 PM

What do yall think about Cle-Boston under 10? Wakefield is pitching and I sense this game going under.. any thoughts?

SlicWilly3 · 05-07-09, 04:43 PM

Loving the Cubs and Redsox tonight.

Cubs and Lilly have both been hot and to put it simply....The Astro's and Russ Ortiz have not.

The Redsox should easily win this game tonight too. They generally play well when Wakefields on the mound and he has also been pitching great lately. They also are going up against Jeremy Sowers a Lefty who will be making his 1st start of the season. Sowers has a lifetime 5.14 ERA and a career 5.94 ERA vs the Redsox.
The Sox are also 6-2 vs Leftys this year. I took them straight at -165, but the better value may even be at -1 1/2 which is +120 at Bookmaker currently.

Ringo · 05-07-09, 04:46 PM

Kevin Youkilis and Jacoby Ellsbury likely to be out again tonight. Just thought Id throw that out there

showtime2000 · 05-07-09, 05:25 PM

Puck play tonight,

Vancouver +140 (fishy line for a team that has to win, Luongo should dominate again)

gotta go, marriage plans tonight.

GLA

SlicWilly3 · 05-07-09, 05:29 PM

^^^Yeah I wasn't sure if they were both in or out or if one was in or out tonight?
Either way though the Indians have Hafner and Carrol out as well.

Either way though I will be very surprised to see the Indians take another one in a row at Fenway.

Dexter · 05-07-09, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by tbill11

Alright well if we wanna go for some insight, let's do it. Somebody got some insight on the A's-Rangers game. I'm leaning towards Cahill and my hometown boys to break this awful losing streak, but I'd like somebody not living in Oakland's opinion...

yo tbill - hope you stayed with cahill......i had 0 opinion on this game

cohen59 · 05-07-09, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

Holy crap. Talk about lucky.... I've been playing that SFG team total under the past few days. Just went and checked my wagers and I accidentally played the OVER 4.5 today! At +110 no less. LOL. When you're hot you're hot...

This under bet has now gone 2-2 the last 4 games. I'm going to play it again tomorrow (more carefully) but if it might be evening out a little. We'll see.

Lol... i have been playing SF TT under 4.5 to it has been paying off crazy accept for today i didn't make the mistake of picking the over but i as well will be riding this bet until the giants prove that can consistently put up runs besides just benji molina jacking home runs

The_Kid · 05-07-09, 05:55 PM

Which offense is worst? Diamondbacks vs Padres?

cohen59 · 05-07-09, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

Which offense is worst? Diamondbacks vs Padres?

They both suck but i hate the diamondbacks more

The_Kid · 05-07-09, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by cohen59

They both suck but i hate the diamondbacks more

I don't think I can back the D'Backs again knowing they have an offense that bad. Their loss to the Padres today was pathetic.

Dexter · 05-07-09, 06:26 PM

those in the tourney, check this spreadsheet that suicide came up with to track your results.

also, dont pay attention to the rules in this thread, as small revisions were made to fractional units. the rules in your thread is correct..

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapping-contests/178746-sbr-16-man-4-month-tournament.html

Dexter · 05-07-09, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by repski

1st inning runs 2 fo 2 so far today...

and what were your odds on these 2 games?

i think all this chatter on a public forum has def raised the prices, thus scaring me off. i hope you all make a killing, but i cant lay -120 per game on every game.

laxdjock · 05-07-09, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

i think all this chatter on a public forum has def raised the prices, thus scaring me off. i hope you all make a killing, but i cant lay -120 per game on every game.

I don't lay the extra 20%, instead I just take less on the win.

cocknocker · 05-07-09, 06:54 PM

Who's laying-120? Certainly not me. I do mine flat. I don't pay for vig. I just have mine seperated from theirs and then I'm straight homes.

cocknocker · 05-07-09, 06:56 PM

Better get you some. It's like being a real estate broker and then having a homeless guy try to convince you that buying houses is a stupid idea. That's what cheme82 did and now judging from his spread sheets he's missing out on all kinds of free money by talking himself out of it.

Dexter · 05-07-09, 07:38 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Who's laying-120? Certainly not me. I do mine flat. I don't pay for vig. I just have mine seperated from theirs and then I'm straight homes.

what does that mean?

so instead of laying 120 to win 100, are you laying 100 to win 80? same thing ck...

Dexter · 05-07-09, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by laxdjock

I don't lay the extra 20%, instead I just take less on the win.

am i missing something here? your laying more then you're going to win. thats the bottom line.

i ran the numbers 5 years back at +100, and had an account all ready to go. at -120 its not as much of a lock. not at all saying you guys cant make money, but for me to invest that much money/time playing every game on the board - i needed better odds.

cohen59 · 05-07-09, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

I don't think I can back the D'Backs again knowing they have an offense that bad. Their loss to the Padres today was pathetic.

Lol... terrible the only time i feel comfortable betting the D' Backs is when its for TT under 4 runs i dont care who the opposing pitcher is i would take that bet even if it was me pitching against them lol!!

chucksmith · 05-07-09, 07:56 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

am i missing something here? your laying more then you're going to win. thats the bottom line.

i ran the numbers 5 years back at +100, and had an account all ready to go. at -120 its not as much of a lock. not at all saying you guys cant make money, but for me to invest that much money/time playing every game on the board - i needed better odds.

Is the theory to bet every game on the board blindly for there to be a run scored in the 1st inning?

Dexter · 05-07-09, 07:56 PM

fri:

magic -4.5 (3x)

sat:

hawks (if they lose tonight) (3x)

Dexter · 05-07-09, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by chucksmith

Is the theory to bet every game on the board blindly for there to be a run scored in the 1st inning?

yes, very solid results the last few years at even money on avg.

Dexter · 05-07-09, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Thur:

rockies (ML) (1x)
d'backs (ML) (1x)
redsox (RL) (2x)
over yanks (1x)
~~over whitesox (1x)~~
dodgers (RL) (2x)

cavs -13 (3x)

i never played over chw due to pitching changes

chucksmith · 05-07-09, 08:05 PM

Damn, I did not know Votto and Phillips were not playing tonight or I would not have touched CIN team total over. Feel lucky on that one.

Anyone going to feed on Orioles crumbs tomorrow vs Fat Boy?

chucksmith · 05-07-09, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by cohen59

Lol... terrible the only time i feel comfortable betting the D' Backs is when its for TT under 4 runs i dont care who the opposing pitcher is i would take that bet even if it was me pitching against them lol!!

Bob Melvin's ass better get on careerbuilder.com. He's done!

Dexter · 05-07-09, 08:12 PM

king james is a joke

chucksmith · 05-07-09, 08:14 PM

dude is sick. that 3 helped the total.

Dexter · 05-07-09, 08:21 PM

fri-

continue to ride jv, as he is back to being a dominant fireballer again.

-tigers (ML) (3x)

zito has been awful away from home, and the dodgers can score for billingsley (winning all of his starts by 2+ runs

-dodgers (RL) (2x)

wandy rodriguez (always a great home pitcher) has taken the step forward in 09 and is turning into one of the better lefties in the NL.

-astros (RL) (1x)