MLB - Monday, 9/12/16

44 Mag · 09-12-16, 07:23 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

2 MLB Plays Monday

Athletics / Royals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Mariners / Angels UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 408-425-20, -5.24

Nice 4-0 sweep yesterday!!!!

LT Profits · 09-12-16, 08:12 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Nice 4-0 sweep yesterday!!!!

Thank you kind sir!

LT Profits · 09-12-16, 08:13 AM

Only three 60%ers Monday:

Boston 68% (-213)
Detroit 60% (-150)
San Francisco 68% (-213)

44 Mag · 09-12-16, 08:23 AM

I am leaning over in the TX/Hout. game??? These two pitchers look like they could both get blown out???

Same for Minn/Det. game, another over lean.

Thoughts if you have time.

LT Profits · 09-12-16, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

I am leaning over in the TX/Hout. game??? These two pitchers look like they could both get blown out???

Same for Minn/Det. game, another over lean.

Thoughts if you have time.

Model has identical totals of 9.2 for both games and they each have a posted total of 9, so unfortunately nothing to see on my end (barring movement).

44 Mag · 09-12-16, 08:32 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Model has identical totals of 9.2 for both games and they each have a posted total of 9, so unfortunately nothing to see on my end (barring movement).

Roger, thanks.

FlyinAir · 09-12-16, 04:12 PM

Best of luck LT......

fieryking · 09-12-16, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Only three 60%ers Monday:

Boston 68% (-213)
Detroit 60% (-150)
San Francisco 68% (-213)

Boston -200 should dictate a play from you then, no? You can parlay SF + BOS ML for +money payout. Doesn't that dictate a play value wise for you?

LT Profits · 09-12-16, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by fieryking

Boston -200 should dictate a play from you then, no? You can parlay SF + BOS ML for +money payout. Doesn't that dictate a play value wise for you?

No, I never lay more than -130 on any single game. I play TO WIN 2.5% of BR 99% of the time, so once you get to -130 you are talking about risking 3.25%, which is a bit rich for me.

And even if I did bet big odds, -200 is still too high for a -213 model %, Rule of thumb is 10% variance, so -213 would require no higher than -192.

LT Profits · 09-12-16, 05:03 PM

1 Last MLB Addition

3 MLB Plays Monday

Athletics +136 (Heritage)
Athletics / Royals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Mariners / Angels UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)

fieryking · 09-12-16, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

No, I never lay more than -130 on any single game. I play TO WIN 2.5% of BR 99% of the time, so once you get to -130 you are talking about risking 3.25%, which is a bit rich for me.

And even if I did bet big odds, -200 is still too high for a -213 model %, Rule of thumb is 10% variance, so -213 would require no higher than -192.

Thanks for the response. I'm on the Giants/Sox ML. What do you think of Mariners ML tonight. Miranda looks good and the bats been hot. Good luck on your picks

LT Profits · 09-12-16, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by fieryking

Thanks for the response. I'm on the Giants/Sox ML. What do you think of Mariners ML tonight. Miranda looks good and the bats been hot. Good luck on your picks

Model actually has Angeles 53% (-113), which is practically on the real line so Pass.