MLB - Monday, 8/8/16

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Plays Monday

Rays +138 (5 Dimes)
Astros / Twins UNDER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)


YTD: 325-345-15, -12.49

[44 Mag]

Can't have much in the way of 60%'s. My guess: STL. LAD. Miami, maybe.

[TxAaron]

I'm large on Tor today... Hate to see this.

[LT Profits]

Can't have much in the way of 60%'s. My guess: STL. LAD. Miami, maybe.

Not Miami vs. Cueto. First two are right but there are also three more. Two are not obvious but one you probably should have gotten is Baltimore.

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

Milwaukee 65% (-186)
Houston 62% (-163)
St. Louis 67% (-203)
Baltimore 63% (-170)
Dodgers 71% (-245)

[44 Mag]

Not Miami vs. Cueto. First two are right but there are also three more. Two are not obvious but one you probably should have gotten is Baltimore.

Agreed, I had Baltimore in mind, but didn't think they would make it being on the road. The other two, HUH????? Milw. & Hous. LOL.

[44 Mag]

I'm large on Tor today... Hate to see this.

Hard to trust Dickey, especially at home where he is usually horrid. Plus, Toronto has not been hitting. BOL.

[trobin31]

Yeah I don't get the Tampa v Toronto line, I get odorizzi and company at -125, which even goes up to -135 adding in Tampa hitters performance again't the knuckle ball. These type of games where the line is so far off tends to end badly for me. Ie yest had San fran & bumgarner -165 and it opens at even money. Today as well I get Urias at -350 over Eflin, add in doyers bullpen who are also substantially better than phillies' pen. Eflin on the surface seems okay but his peripheral numbers are about as bad as it gets.

[eddycash]

Twins under 9 -110 still good?

[RavensFan2k3]

Is Baltimore getting the win today? I don't fully trust Gausman yet. Either way, go O's.

[PorkChop]

Is Baltimore getting the win today? I don't fully trust Gausman yet. Either way, go O's.

Line actually opened with Balt -125/-105. Public bought immediately too -146 now Balt. Oakland RL +1.5 -130, already.

After brutal sweep weekend with Cubs, watch Oakland burn everyone tonight.

[RavensFan2k3]

Line actually opened with Balt -125/-105. Public bought immediately too -146 now Balt. Oakland RL +1.5 -130, already.

After brutal sweep weekend with Cubs, watch Oakland burn everyone tonight.

yeah when i first saw the line my first thought was Oakland. No way Gausman should be favores that much over Graveman. But ohwell, probably won't touch that

[Waterstpub87]

Yeah I don't get the Tampa v Toronto line, I get odorizzi and company at -125, which even goes up to -135 adding in Tampa hitters performance again't the knuckle ball. These type of games where the line is so far off tends to end badly for me. Ie yest had San fran & bumgarner -165 and it opens at even money. Today as well I get Urias at -350 over Eflin, add in doyers bullpen who are also substantially better than phillies' pen. Eflin on the surface seems okay but his peripheral numbers are about as bad as it gets.

I had similar result on San Fran yesterday. You were more right than wrong:

1. it closed at -128 vig free at pinnicle
2. They got more men on base, and should have won the game

[LT Profits]

Twins under 9 -110 still good?

NO, the 9.5 was key for me there, would need at least +110 (i.e., unlikely) to play Under 9.

[eddycash]

Nice thanks bro

[LT Profits]

Is Baltimore getting the win today? I don't fully trust Gausman yet. Either way, go O's.

Gausman may be the unluckiest pitcher alive, he is not a 3-8 guy as he has almost a 4/1 K/BB ratio while topping out at 99.2 MPH with his fastball.

[RavensFan2k3]

Gausman may be the unluckiest pitcher alive, he is not a 3-8 guy as he has almost a 4/1 K/BB ratio while topping out at 99.2 MPH with his fastball.

How do you rate him and Graveman?

[LT Profits]

How do you rate him and Graveman?

Gausman about 10% above average, Graveman about 10% below average so large 20% disparity

[eddycash]

No sf Giants today?

[pilebuck13]

Today's card I will walk seems very weak

[LT Profits]

No sf Giants today?

Don't like the line move with close to 50/50 action. Model does like Giants at the price though, Miami only 54% (-117)

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

3 MLB Plays Monday

Rays +138 (5 Dimes)
Rays / Blue Jays OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Astros / Twins UNDER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)

[LT Profits]

Another MLB Addition

4 MLB Plays Monday

Rays +138 (5 Dimes)
Rays / Blue Jays OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Giants / Marlins UNDER 6.5 -105 (Bookmaker)
Astros / Twins UNDER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)

[eddycash]

dodgers runline seems like the play any thoughts?

[LT Profits]

dodgers runline seems like the play any thoughts?

Run line is close to +100, not enough value for a home team.

[RavensFan2k3]

Any love for Atlanta?

[funnyb25]

LT check into Mikefan challenge thread....been a while...

[Manny0825]

LT check into Mikefan challenge thread....been a while...

No need for him to check in. Down too many units to have anything worth saying.

[RavensFan2k3]

Any love for Atlanta?

Maybe just me. Ohwell, Atlanta more runs!

[pilebuck13]

LT what do u make of this Seattle Detroit line...seems about right to me even though gut is telling me detroit

[funnyb25]

LT what do u make of this Seattle Detroit line...seems about right to me even though gut is telling me detroit

Props to you sir if you can cap that game and pick a winner...looks dead phuckin even to me...Iwakuma mid 3's era at home with a 7-2 record, while Fulmer is 7-2 on the road era mid 2's....Detroit pen trash, Mariners not any better...first 5 under?

[pilebuck13]

Funny I'm digging at the current moment looking for A play on this game not really finding one

[funnyb25]

Funny I'm digging at the current moment looking for A play on this game not really finding one

You don't like the over in orioles?

[funnyb25]

Rays just had 2nd and 3rd 0 out to boot, got chit...lol

[paco]

Rays just had 2nd and 3rd 0 out to boot, got chit...lol

How did they not tag on that ball to Rf?