MLB - Thursday, 8/4/16

Sam Odom · 08-04-16, 07:08 AM

LT

how often do you tweak your Model ?

readytowinem · 08-04-16, 07:14 AM

Originally posted by Sam Odom

LT

how often do you tweak your Model ?

Wow...such a private question! I tweak my model a few times a week. Depends on how horny I am....oh wait....you were asking LT...well this is awkward...

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 07:15 AM

Originally posted by Sam Odom

LT

how often do you tweak your Model ?

Never during the season unless I have a good reason to. All the work is done in the off-season, although I did absolutely nothing to the MLB model this past off-season.

Sam Odom · 08-04-16, 07:28 AM

thanks

GL today

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 07:41 AM

60%ers (More like 61%ers lol):

Tampa Bay 61% (-156)
St. Louis 60% (-150)
Angels 61% (-156)
Dodgers 61% (-156)
Boston 61% (-156)

That's two days in a row for the Rays.

44 Mag · 08-04-16, 07:54 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

60%ers (More like 61%ers lol):

Tampa Bay 61% (-156)
St. Louis 60% (-150)
Angels 61% (-156)
Dodgers 61% (-156)
Boston 61% (-156)

That's two days in a row for the Rays.

How the heck is Boston 60% ????

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

How the heck is Boston 60% ????

Big edge in starting pitcher

exlusive123 · 08-04-16, 08:31 AM

Bost wrong side today

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 08:41 AM

Originally posted by exlusive123

Bost wrong side today

I don't really care since I am not betting them.

exlusive123 · 08-04-16, 08:43 AM

Good man! I like CWS alot too, HOUST PHIL ATL. Anyway thanks for your posts and GL

WalkingLuckCharm · 08-04-16, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Never during the season unless I have a good reason to. All the work is done in the off-season, although I did absolutely nothing to the MLB model this past off-season.

So your model doesn't get adjusted for the numbers that are made throughout the season? That's a lot of information. I might understand a minimal adjustment based on new daily data but no adjustments?

Might wanna rethink on that

Snake24 · 08-04-16, 09:58 AM

GL, LT!!! -10.38 ain't shit.

ClayMaker52 · 08-04-16, 10:11 AM

LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.

JJJ · 08-04-16, 10:13 AM

he says he bets every game he posts I believe him

Originally posted by ClayMaker52

LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.

Snake24 · 08-04-16, 10:19 AM

LT has better things to do than "just pick games." Other reputable players on here do not post bet slips. I've never seen Mag post a slip. Good luck to all!

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm

So your model doesn't get adjusted for the numbers that are made throughout the season? That's a lot of information. I might understand a minimal adjustment based on new daily data but no adjustments?

Might wanna rethink on that

Yes of course the numbers get updated, I was referring to the methodology of how the model lines are created.

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 10:24 AM

Originally posted by ClayMaker52

LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.

I bet every day of my life, you better stay in your lane son!

Snake24 · 08-04-16, 10:25 AM

Originally posted by lt profits

i bet every day of my life, you better stay in your lane son!

church

WalkingLuckCharm · 08-04-16, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yes of course the numbers get updated, I was referring to the methodology of how the model lines are created.

got it

JJJ · 08-04-16, 02:49 PM

nice hit on whitesox LT

Joey Merlino · 08-04-16, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by ClayMaker52

LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.

LT is a good man. Great family. He tells the truth. I don't know how he missed the Orioles today though!

MMA_Oracle · 08-04-16, 03:16 PM

^^ yeah what does your model say about the Orioles/Rangers game? i think i like the Orioles as well

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 03:42 PM

Originally posted by MMA_Oracle

^^ yeah what does your model say about the Orioles/Rangers game? i think i like the Orioles as well

I don't get hardly any variance, I have Baltimore 56% (-127)

McCarthyFam · 08-04-16, 03:48 PM

Is that it for the day?

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by McCarthyFam

Is that it for the day?

Will do one more run through between 5:45 and 6:00 ET, but I have no new plays on my radar right now.

McCarthyFam · 08-04-16, 04:00 PM

Okay thanks!

LT Profits · 08-04-16, 04:48 PM

Just confirming I am done for the day.

McCarthyFam · 08-04-16, 04:58 PM

I appreciate it, thanks

Nateboogy · 08-04-16, 05:56 PM

Hey LT, what's model show for total in Baltimore game?

Kramerico · 08-04-16, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by Nateboogy

Hey LT, what's model show for total in Baltimore game?

I'd say 52-54% Bal.