I'm playing 3 tomorrow and that's it....

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  • jellobiafra
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-08-09
    • 6291

    #1
    I'm playing 3 tomorrow and that's it....
    (unless LAD win tonight then it's 4)


    Going heavy on HOU with Oswalt vs. the Nats. I like Houston to get the split tomorrow and Oswalt to get his first win. Olsen is pitching for the Nats. Olsen sucks. It's at -130 right now and I think that is a steal for the matchup you're getting.

    Going medium on STL and Wainwright over Myers and the Phils. Not gonna give a bunch of reasons here except to say basically the same reasons for liking HOU, to a slightly lesser degree. Better pitcher, better team trying to salvage a series split. I love the price at -120 right now (Greek which means you can get them for even better at any other book).

    Going light on SF team total under....whatever. This is going to become a systematic bet for me until they go over twice in a row. It has been a cash cow so far this season and I'm jumping in late but it's better late than never. Lincecum is pitching tomorrow. This might be a 1-0 win for the Cubs.


    I will be adding 1 pick if the Dodgers win tonight. I said today that I'm jumping on that systematic play today and riding it until it loses - Dodgers at home until they lose one (maybe even two).

    That is all.



    EDIT:

    Went ahead and added LAD -130. They look like they are going to win tonight and I want to get this play before the line moves. How in the world they are only -130 vs. a rookie pitcher with a light hitting lineup behind him I have no idea. I would like this bet even if it wasn't a systematic play. But it is. And since it looks like I'm going to win my first auto-bet on the Dodgers at home, my inevitable loss here is paid for and any wins from here on out would be profit.


    Also adding a small wager on TEX team total over 3.5 (-115). I've never played team totals before but while looking them over this one jumped out at me. They are going against Bedard in a pitcher's park, but I like the TEX lineup to score me 4 runs on any given night.


    So I guess I'm playing more than 3 after all.


    Ok....now that's all. For real this time. Good luck to all.
  • Vonnegut
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 1499

    #2
    Astros look good tomorrow.
    Comment
    • jellobiafra
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-08-09
      • 6291

      #3
      Yes they do. I'm confident in the Cards too. I think they get to Myers early.
      Comment
      • jellobiafra
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-08-09
        • 6291

        #4
        Added two above. I know I said I was only playing 3 (or 4). Sue me. I like them all a lot.
        Comment
        • TheLock
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-06-08
          • 14427

          #5
          I haven't spoken to him since Sunday in Vegas but I'm pretty sure that going against LAD tonight would be a Contrarian play. It's a real fishy line and LAD has never faced this kid.
          Comment
          • jellobiafra
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-08-09
            • 6291

            #6
            Hey Lock. Hope you guys had fun in Sin City. I sent you a pm but now I remember you saying you were having an issue with them. The Dodgers is an auto-bet right now for me. Last night's run line win pays for the loss when it comes plus the little extra I caught from the (+) odds on the run line win.

            You're right though. The other side here would be just his kind of play.
            Comment
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