Linear Regression / Ensemble Model Plays Keeping Track

[Jship07]

Moving into the second half of the MLB Season we are running 3 models full time. Coded in R

1. A Linear Regression model that identifies whether or not the Home Team will win or lose.
   
2. An Ensemble Model that identifies whether or not the Home Team will win or lose.
   
3. We merged these two models together to give us a combined output on whether or not the Home Team will win or lose.
   
   Working a Linear Regression model on player performance to get a true price on games.
   
   Im going to try to post plays by 9 west coast every morning, First Half of the season was a great success (only using team data stats) up 21 units. Im posting only plays the merged model indentifies. Lets see how we do
   
   Todays plays
   Mia -47
   Cinn +10
   Ny +03
   Stl +09

[VegasPlayer]

Finally. A hybrid model enters the sports betting market. Hope you enjoy continued success.

[Jship07]

add White Sox +10

[Jship07]

Mia +13
Was -80
Tor -57
Oak +18
Min +60

[thekoreanmang]

Prob would be helpful viewing the thread if you kept records.
Thanks for sharing your picks.

[Jship07]

Will try to report daily record and profit. But i will for sure do weekly. I bet my product and these r the numbers i got it at

[Jship07]

7-23 Sat. +.10
7-24 Sun. -1.62

ytd -1.52

[Jship07]

Philly +40
Oak +19
Angles +05

[Jship07]

7-25 Mon. +1.45

Nyy +30
Dodgers -33

[Jship07]

7-26 Tues. +2.30

Dodgers -80
Bal -53

[Jship07]

7-27 Wed. -3.33

Angels +58
Kc +55
Min -05
Dbacks +25

[Jship07]

7-28 Thur. +.58

Yanks +08
Reds -02
Clev -60
Min +08
Card -05

[Jship07]

7-29 Fri. +3.08

Oak +61
Mets -40
Hou +20

[Jship07]

Added

Mia +08
Mil +32

[Jship07]

Rockies +90
Det +30
Min -20
Angels -15

[Jship07]

Mon.+1.45
Tues.+2.30
Wed. -3.33
Thur +.58
Fri. +3.08
Sat -1
Sun +.15
Week 7-25 thur 7-31 +3.23
ytd +1.71

[Jship07]

Brewers -15
Hou +05
Min +90
Royals +30
cubs -77

[Jship07]

8-1 Mon. +4.1
ytd +5.81

[tallwhiterussian]

Great picks yesterday that Minn. was amazing..

[Jship07]

sorry for the no post. games that still havnt gone off

Col +25
Oak +135
Tor +47

[Jship07]

games that went off

Cinn +40
Kc +10

[Jship07]

8-2 Tues +4.22
ytd +10.03

[Jship07]

Sd +30
Philly +50
Whitesox +10
Dodgers +10
Yanks +10

[tallwhiterussian]

jship you still like Philly with the pitching change?

[Jship07]

Sorry im late yes im off the philly game

[Jship07]

i got off the game due to listed pitchers and no i dont like

[SlickRick1382]

what's the +10 etc at the end of the teams? Just the shortened version of +110? or whatever their line is?

[Jship07]

yup slickrick

[Jship07]

8-3 Wed +.4

Sea +25
Det -20
Philly +15

[tallwhiterussian]

Thank you for your picks !!!!!

[Jship07]

8-4 Thur -3.2

Red sox +30
Min +22
Oak +90
Sd -10
Ari -20
Sf +45
Det -34
Mia -10
Pit -45
Sea -75
Hou -80

[Jship07]

Open Market today !!!!

[Jship07]

8-5 Fri +4.42
ytd 11.65

[Mxs1332]

8-5 Fri +4.42
ytd 11.65

Hey Jship

Congrats on making the hybrid model. Any plans to share your plays in the near future? I see that you post some but are lacking on others

Cheers

[Jship07]

Ya mxs1332 I share everyday I try to post in the morning when im by a comp.

Today

Mil +25
Reds +35