MLB - Friday, 7/8/16

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Plays Friday

Rays +106 (5 Dimes)
Mariners +102 (Heritage)


YTD: 251-268-13, -9.76

[Stammertime91]

I hope the Rays hit for you man. I live down here and it's so hard to back them. I did take them with Moore against the Angels this week, but other than that I either fade them or no play.

[LT Profits]

I hope the Rays hit for you man. I live down here and it's so hard to back them. I did take them with Moore against the Angels this week, but other than that I either fade them or no play.

Hard to resist anyone as an underdog vs. Sean O'Sullivan

[44 Mag]

Hard to resist anyone as an underdog vs. Sean O'Sullivan

LOL. I thought that same thing the other day & Lost. The dick pitched a decent game for once in his life.

[Stammertime91]

Hard to resist anyone as an underdog vs. Sean O'Sullivan

Not disagreeing with you there but yesterday for example. Santiago is a garbage pitcher for the Angels, and comes out on the road and goes 7IP, 9K's and 0 runs allowed. This team is really good at taking garbage pitchers and making them look great.

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

Toronto 61% (-156)
Cleveland 60% (-150)
Miami 74% (-285)
Texas 67% (-203)
White Sox 69% (-223)
Houston 62% (-163)
Dodgers 61% (-156)

[LT Profits]

Not disagreeing with you there but yesterday for example. Santiago is a garbage pitcher for the Angels, and comes out on the road and goes 7IP, 9K's and 0 runs allowed. This team is really good at taking garbage pitchers and making them look great.

Archer was a lot better last start too, 5.2 scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts. He is fourth in the Major Leagues in strikeout rate at 10.99 per nine innings and his xFIP of 3.59 is nearly a run lower than his ERA.

[44 Mag]

Archer was a lot better last start too, 5.2 scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts. He is fourth in the Major Leagues in strikeout rate at 10.99 per nine innings and his xFIP of 3.59 is nearly a run lower than his ERA.

AND, O'Sullivan is due for regression. LOL. Even after one game.

[funnyb25]

Do not question the play. Archer is pitching, it's a play...nothing else matters...it does NOT matter that Archer is probably the worst ROAD pitcher in baseball...GL today LT

[jt315]

I hope the Rays hit for you man. I live down here and it's so hard to back them. I did take them with Moore against the Angels this week, but other than that I either fade them or no play.

I hear ya.
My over 82 wins ticket is just about in the trash.
Really thought this young staff and the added bats would get them at least 82.
Looked promising when they got to 2 under .
They do still get respect from the books FWIW.

[Nateboogy]

What's does model say for Rockies?
Also, Houston total?

[LT Profits]

What's does model say for Rockies?
Also, Houston total?

Colorado 59% (-144)
Houston 8.1

[Yazworm91]

So Atlanta to off of variance to play? +280 vs model -223

[Yazworm91]

What do you have for the Toronto over? Happ still pitching over his head. Love to get it at 9.5 but not going to happen

[LT Profits]

So Atlanta to off of variance to play? +280 vs model -223

Yeah I am actually considering adding Atlanta. We shall see.

[LT Profits]

What do you have for the Toronto over? Happ still pitching over his head. Love to get it at 9.5 but not going to happen

Model agrees with you but not enough for me with the 10 juiced for the Over. 10.6

[MMA_Oracle]

hey LT, mind sharing what your model has for CHI-PIT, SEA-KC, and LAA-BAL please and thank you

[funnyb25]

Im surprised Pirates arent a play

[LT Profits]

hey LT, mind sharing what your model has for CHI-PIT, SEA-KC, and LAA-BAL please and thank you

Cubs 58% (-138) *-But I hate the runaway line leading to extreme variance on Pirates. Sort of a makeshift lineup for Pitt too.
Seattle favored 54% (-117)
Baltimore 53% (-113)

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

3 MLB Plays Friday

Rays +106 (5 Dimes)
Mariners +102 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Giants UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)

[Altern8]

3 MLB Plays Friday

Rays +106 (5 Dimes)
Mariners +102 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Giants UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)

I notice 44 Mag has the over on the Giants game. Between the three above plays which would you take the most?

[hossa8110]

I'm surprised you dont use fairlay to wager. They seem to have great odds. Or are you against bitcoin?

[RavensFan2k3]

I like Seattle

[LT Profits]

I'm surprised you dont use fairlay to wager. They seem to have great odds. Or are you against bitcoin?

I am very pro-Bitcoin, in fact I am a Bitcoin investor. But I would never play at a Btc-Only book or exchange.

[LT Profits]

I notice 44 Mag has the over on the Giants game. Between the three above plays which would you take the most?

There is a reason I do not rate my plays as I play all of them for the same amount.

[Altern8]

There is a reason I do not rate my plays as I play all of them for the same amount.

Took them both in a double. Lets do this!

[RavensFan2k3]

I like Baltimore too

[JMon]

I do think Redsox are the play tonight!

[intermission]

Archer suck and sox can hit...not sure why rays is the play here

[mikefan1034]

I do think Redsox are the play tonight!

Same here

[cankid]

Red Sox look decent

[RavensFan2k3]

Don't like Baltimore or Seattle anymore. Like Philly though

[funnyb25]

Archer suck and sox can hit...not sure why rays is the play here

Archer has been a play every start. Nothing new here. Rays have lost 7 of 8 with him on the mound.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Ortiz is slugging .719 against Archer lifetime in 32 ABs.

[RavensFan2k3]

Don't like Baltimore or Seattle anymore. Like Philly though

Today is a tough one, can't get any good reads