MLB - Wednesday, 7/6/16

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Plays Wednesday

Tigers +115 (5 Dimes)
Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 -115 (Heritage)


YTD: 245-264-13, -12.43

[paco]

Goodluck LT

[Broke Homey]

why do you think there is no PHI/ATL line on heritage lt?

[slayer14]

Atlanta have the better pitcher for sure.

[RavensFan2k3]

Atlanta have the better pitcher for sure.

Huh???

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

Mets 66% (-194)
Cubs 66% (-194)
Washington 62% (-163)
Toronto 64% (-178)
Boston 65% (-185)
Yankees 62% (-163)
Giants 66% (-194)

Yankees look like undervalued chalk.

[LT Profits]

why do you think there is no PHI/ATL line on heritage lt?

Because of pitching change.

[NardVa]

I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.

[LT Profits]

Atlanta have the better pitcher for sure.

No, Jenkins grades out poorly. I get Phils 58% (-138)

[RavensFan2k3]

I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.

I think I do like the line for Detroit, but its hard to bet on a team facing a team that they are 0-11 against this season

[44 Mag]

60%ers:

Mets 66% (-194)
Cubs 66% (-194)
Washington 62% (-163)
Toronto 64% (-178)
Boston 65% (-185)
Yankees 62% (-163)
Giants 66% (-194)

Yankees look like undervalued chalk.

7 out of 10 of yesterday's 60% lost outright. Odd.

[RavensFan2k3]

No, Jenkins grades out poorly. I get Phils 58% (-138)

Why did Jenkins open as a favorite? Or was there a pitching change?

[44 Mag]

I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.

What's the definition of............... LOL.

[LT Profits]

I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.

You know me! Don't really care about head-to-head team dominance, all I care about is having the better starting pitcher at +115. Model actually has Detroit as a very slight 51% (-104) favorite.

[LT Profits]

Why did Jenkins open as a favorite? Or was there a pitching change?

He did not. It was Teheran that opened as small favorite.

[RavensFan2k3]

7 out of 10 of yesterday's 60% lost outright. Odd.

Is that not usually the case?

[RavensFan2k3]

He did not. It was Tehran that opened as small favorite.

Will Philly be a play?

[LT Profits]

Will Philly be a play?

I doubt it. Don't think they will be less than -130.

[RavensFan2k3]

I doubt it. Don't think they will be less than -130.

Hmm that's a good point. But do you think they win?

[LT Profits]

Is that not usually the case?

Not really but doesn't matter to me because I almost never bet them, although I did bet Boston -1.5 yesterday. Still, I saved a tom of juice there so no big deal.

[LT Profits]

Hmm that's a good point. But do you think they win?

You see model result above.

[JJJ]

Let's see if we can have another losing day

[RavensFan2k3]

You see model result above.

Yes I see it.

When Fulmer faced Bauer on May 5th in Cleveland what did the model have on that game?

[LT Profits]

Yes I see it.

When Fulmer faced Bauer on May 5th in Cleveland what did the model have on that game?

No clue, but it sounds like a matchup where I would have liked Cleveland because I am higher on Bauer than Fulmer going forward.

[RavensFan2k3]

No clue, but it sounds like a matchup where I would have liked Cleveland because I am higher on Bauer than Fulmer going forward.

Oh ok, but not as high on Tomlin

[LT Profits]

Oh ok, but not as high on Tomlin

No, Tomlin is on my overachiever, negative regression to come list. He is the only regular Cleveland starter I don't like. Get those Indians World Series Futures in now, tough to do better than Kluber, Carrasco, Salazar, Bauer.

[RavensFan2k3]

No, Tomlin is on my overachiever, negative regression to come list. He is the only regular Cleveland starter I don't like. Get those Indians World Series Futures in now, tough to do better than Kluber, Carrasco, Salazar, Bauer.

Sorry, I meant to say not high on Tomlin. But yeah I see what you're saying

[bonesesh]

LT, any thoughts on DET at EV?

ThankYou

[LT Profits]

LT, any thoughts on DET at EV?

ThankYou

Too close to my -104

[LT Profits]

Will Philly be a play?

BRAVES actually look playable now.

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Additions

4 MLB Plays Wednesday

Tigers +115 (5 Dimes)
Braves +165 (Heritage)
Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 -115 (Heritage)
Rockies / Giants UNDER 7 -105 (Heritage)

[jay89]

You're willing to bet on the Giants and Rockies bullpen? Wind is also blowing out last time I checked. Cueto been rocked lately as well.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB 5-Inning Addition

5 MLB Plays Wednesday

Tigers +115 (5 Dimes)
Braves +165 (Heritage)
Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 -115 (Heritage)
Rockies / Giants UNDER 7 -105 (Heritage)
Rockies / Giants UNDER 3.5 +100 (5 innings) (5 Dimes)

[BeanTownClown88]

Royals are good at avoiding sweeps..hard to lay off that crazy number

[BaseballChaser]

Rough loss on Braves. Keep plugging away.