MLB - Monday, 6/20/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Monday, 6/20/16
    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Rockies / Marlins UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Mariners-119 (Heritage)


    YTD: 203-225-9, -16.61
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    60%ers:

    San Francisco 65% (-186)
    Boston 67% (-203)
    Dodgers 62% (-163)
    Comment
    • tragicend
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-31-11
      • 250

      #3
      Originally posted by LT Profits
      60%ers:

      San Francisco 65% (-186)
      Boston 67% (-203)
      Dodgers 62% (-163)

      Thanks LT and good morning. Quick question...are the 60%ers you post possible fade material because of the public being on them so heavily? I appreciate your insight.
      Comment
      • Chi_archie
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-22-08
        • 63167

        #4
        give em hell LT
        Comment
        • RavensFan2k3
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-12
          • 17378

          #5
          Mariners waa the only game that caught my eye today, atleast so far. Goodluck
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Seattle and Detroit both mediocre and I hate laying wood on road
            Comment
            • JayDr3am
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-06-14
              • 18260

              #7
              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
              Mariners waa the only game that caught my eye today, atleast so far. Goodluck
              yeah this game SCREAMS over
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by tragicend
                Thanks LT and good morning. Quick question...are the 60%ers you post possible fade material because of the public being on them so heavily? I appreciate your insight.
                No, those percentages are the odds my model gives those teams to win. With that being said, I almost never bet on the 60%ers myself and have gone against them on occasion if the real odds were high enough. Nationals are approaching that point today vs. Dodgers & Kershaw, I would love for it to hit +180 with Strasburg vs. a +163 projection.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  Seattle and Detroit both mediocre and I hate laying wood on road
                  I don't mind doing it vs. Pelfrey
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JayDr3am
                    yeah this game SCREAMS over
                    Total seems pretty spot on to me, I have 9.9. Karns has some upside.

                    I don't care about total though, just win baby!
                    Comment
                    • tragicend
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-31-11
                      • 250

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      No, those percentages are the odds my model gives those teams to win. With that being said, I almost never bet on the 60%ers myself and have gone against them on occasion if the real odds were high enough. Nationals are approaching that point today vs. Dodgers & Kershaw, I would love for it to hit +180 with Strasburg vs. a +163 projection.
                      Thanks you for the detailed reply. I'm on the Mariners with you. BOL!
                      Comment
                      • RavensFan2k3
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-18-12
                        • 17378

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Seattle and Detroit both mediocre and I hate laying wood on road
                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                        i feel you man, which is why I haven't played it yet, but now it's even higher smh

                        I don't mind doing it vs. Pelfrey
                        Another good point
                        Comment
                        • JayDr3am
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-06-14
                          • 18260

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Total seems pretty spot on to me, I have 9.9. Karns has some upside.

                          I don't care about total though, just win baby!
                          yeah i dont care about this game period but pelfrey is AWFUL. i wouldnt be surprised if seattle covers 90% of the total by themselves. win is right baby!! GL today LT
                          Comment
                          • tpark77
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 04-24-16
                            • 111

                            #14
                            What do you have on Cubs?
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by tpark77
                              What do you have on Cubs?
                              Just missed. 59% (-144)
                              Comment
                              • PorkChop
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-18-08
                                • 8193

                                #16
                                Socked no Rays at +115
                                Comment
                                • RavensFan2k3
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-18-12
                                  • 17378

                                  #17
                                  Not playing Mariners, but am playing Rockies
                                  Comment
                                  • 44 Mag
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 10-14-13
                                    • 34490

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                    Not playing Mariners, but am playing Rockies
                                    I can't believe you don't have a play on the Baltimore game ???
                                    Comment
                                    • RavensFan2k3
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-18-12
                                      • 17378

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                      I can't believe you don't have a play on the Baltimore game ???
                                      Lol why not? I may play them later, I do like them to beat Texas
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        1 MLB Addition

                                        3 MLB Plays Monday

                                        Rockies / Marlins UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                        Mariners-119 (Heritage)
                                        Cardinals +152 (Heritage)
                                        Comment
                                        • funnyb25
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 07-09-09
                                          • 39663

                                          #21
                                          Yay! Love fading the cubs
                                          Comment
                                          • Vinnie Paz
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-27-12
                                            • 12177

                                            #22
                                            How about Cleveland LT
                                            Comment
                                            • 44 Mag
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 10-14-13
                                              • 34490

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by funnyb25
                                              Yay! Love fading the cubs
                                              Fading the Cubs at home with Lackey on the mound, & STL not hitting, curious . GL with that.
                                              Comment
                                              • JayDr3am
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-06-14
                                                • 18260

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by funnyb25
                                                Yay! Love fading the cubs
                                                well you must love losing $$ also
                                                Comment
                                                • funnyb25
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 07-09-09
                                                  • 39663

                                                  #25
                                                  I guess that wasn't obvious sarcasm...LT is on cards..0-1 already today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Another MLB Addition

                                                    4 MLB Plays Monday

                                                    Rockies / Marlins UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                                    Mariners-119 (Heritage)
                                                    Rays / Indians UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                                    Cardinals +152 (Heritage)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JayDr3am
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-06-14
                                                      • 18260

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by funnyb25
                                                      I guess that wasn't obvious sarcasm...LT is on cards..0-1 already today
                                                      touche'
                                                      Comment
                                                      • inns007
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 05-15-16
                                                        • 56

                                                        #28
                                                        I'm going all in today. What's the hot pick? I'm in desperate need of one
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 7Faces
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 08-19-14
                                                          • 24

                                                          #29
                                                          Hop on the Cards, Red birds got this one !
                                                          Comment
                                                          • inns007
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 05-15-16
                                                            • 56

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by 7Faces
                                                            Hop on the Cards, Red birds got this one !
                                                            Why the cards out of all games? You know something I don't know
                                                            Comment
                                                            • funnyb25
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 07-09-09
                                                              • 39663

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by inns007
                                                              Why the cards out of all games? You know something I don't know

                                                              Same reason he took pirates against arrieta.. 0-1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jsdjason
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 05-22-08
                                                                • 297

                                                                #32
                                                                Maybe it's because Garcia owns this lineup and has done well at Wrigley before. Lackey has ok splits, but not enough to justify +153 and now climbing.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jsdjason
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 05-22-08
                                                                  • 297

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Joe West favors higher scoring games but that 11 total in Detroit looks crazy. What you got on that game LT?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mikefan1034
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-29-12
                                                                    • 2448

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Seattle down 2-0 lmao
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • beatdabookie
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 05-29-16
                                                                      • 24

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Seattle up 4-2 lmao
                                                                      Comment
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