MLB - Sunday, 6/19/16

[LT Profits]

3 MLB Plays Sunday

Diamondbacks / Phillies UNDER 9 -110 (Heritage)
Blue Jays +101 (5 Dimes)
Pirates +151 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 202-223-9, -15.61

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

Mets 65% (-186)
Cleveland 63% (-170)
Boston 66% (-194)
Houston 66% (-194)
St. Louis 64% (-178)
Dodgers 66% (-194)

St. Louis looks like undervalued chalk

[Snake24]

Hfd, lt!

[LT Profits]

Hfd, lt!

Thanks Snake. Should I say you too?

[BiffTFinancial]

Happy Fathers Day, LT!

[RavensFan2k3]

Happy fathers day LT

[LT Profits]

Thanks guys and Happy Father's Day to all the other dads out there.

[Snake24]

Thanks Snake. Should I say you too?

Not yet.

[JayDr3am]

happy fathers day LT

[Jayvegas420]

Good Luck today LT

I am not liking the Jays chances if they find themselves tied or up one after the sixth.



I like both the other picks.

[RavensFan2k3]

LT can you tell me how you rate Peavy and Odorizzi? I really like Giants for the sweep

[LT Profits]

LT can you tell me how you rate Peavy and Odorizzi? I really like Giants for the sweep

Odorizzi rated quite a bit better, but model still only has Tampa Bay 54% (-117)

[funnyb25]

Kind of surprised model doesnt like Rockies... seems like a nice dog there...

[RavensFan2k3]

Kind of surprised model doesnt like Rockies... seems like a nice dog there...

Right im stuck between Giants and Rockies

[RavensFan2k3]

Odorizzi rated quite a bit better, but model still only has Tampa Bay 54% (-117)

Wow really??

[Nateboogy]

Will cardinals be a play? Or too much line movement?

[stackz125]

What number would you need to play San Fran?

[44 Mag]

60%ers:

Mets 65% (-186)
Cleveland 63% (-170)
Boston 66% (-194)
Houston 66% (-194)
St. Louis 64% (-178)
Dodgers 66% (-194)

St. Louis looks like undervalued chalk

The NYM come out that much higher, Julio is victimized by a poor hitting team, who have taken the first two by the way. But I guess that doesn't mean much in the grand scheme. There is another guy would like to see the Red Sox get a hold of, hear he is on the trading block ???

[LT Profits]

Wow really??

Why is that surprising? Seems obvious even without digging into sabremetric numbers. Odorizzi 74 strikeouts vs. 27 walks with ERA in the 3.00s. Peavy ERA in the 5.00s. I never liked Peavy anyway, all that he has done his whole career is take advantage of big ballparks.

[LT Profits]

Kind of surprised model doesnt like Rockies... seems like a nice dog there...

Line seems fair to me, neither starting pitcher is good and Marlins better in other areas.

[LT Profits]

Will cardinals be a play? Or too much line movement?

No, going nowhere near that game now. Severe RLM away from the model number.

[LT Profits]

The NYM come out that much higher, Julio is victimized by a poor hitting team, who have taken the first two by the way. But I guess that doesn't mean much in the grand scheme. There is another guy would like to see the Red Sox get a hold of, hear he is on the trading block ???

I like Julio too, but remember that the weak Atlanta offense also feeds the 65%. Doubt Braves would trade him, he is still fairly young. But who knows?

[LT Profits]

What number would you need to play San Fran?

Theoretically around +128, but I have no interest in that game.

[44 Mag]

I like Julio too, but remember that the weak Atlanta offense also feeds the 65%. Doubt Braves would trade him, he is still fairly young. But who knows?

Thanks man, and Happy Fathers Day. Bet your date with the bride was way better that hanging with us. LOL.

[RavensFan2k3]

Theoretically around +128, but I have no interest in that game.

That's what I got it at

[LT Profits]

Thanks man, and Happy Fathers Day. Bet your date with the bride was way better that hanging with us. LOL.

Yes. Last night just me and the wife, today whole family taking me out.

[Rigbone]

I don't think I've ever seen you miss an opportunity to fade Chris Young. Good luck today LT happy father's day and thanks for all the hard work you do. 💰💰💰

[funnyb25]

Line seems fair to me, neither starting pitcher is good and Marlins better in other areas.

Both look like Cy Young....