MLB - Monday, 5/30/16

[LT Profits]

3 MLB Plays Monday So Far

Dodgers +134 (Heritage)
Yankees +145 (Heritage)
Rays +101 (Heritage)


YTD: 146-153-7, +0.50

More Coming

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays

4 MLB Plays Monday

Dodgers +134 (Heritage)
Nationals / Phillies OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
Yankees +145 (Heritage)
Rays +101 (Heritage)

[hit_me90]

good morning LT does Harvey have anything left in the tank or can we be fair and blame the surgery? thoughts on mets/sox UNDER ?

[LT Profits]

Just two 60%ers despite full holiday card:

San Francisco 64% (-177)
Seattle 63% (-170)

[LT Profits]

good morning LT does Harvey have anything left in the tank or can we be fair and blame the surgery? thoughts on mets/sox UNDER ?

Harvey ratings have been downgraded BUT I still end up with total of 7.2. No play for me.

[LT Profits]

Harvey ratings have been downgraded BUT I still end up with total of 7.2. No play for me.

I should add that Quintana has quietly been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year too.

[Yazworm91]

No value on Padres +187? I got hooked at +171 last night. Sprinkled a little more this am.

[LT Profits]

No value on Padres +187? I got hooked at +171 last night. Sprinkled a little more this am.

Theoretically yes, but I want bigger variance than usual here because Karns grades out SO much better than Cashner. A bit surprised model line is not higher.

[jjgold]

Yankees playing well

ride the streaks

[gpet1984]

Whats your opinion on the Bos/Bal total. Its going to be pretty hard for Wright to control the knuckle ball in the rain. Hes getting a little to much respect to begin with. I get the feeling its going to be a slug fest.

[LT Profits]

Whats your opinion on the Bos/Bal total. Its going to be pretty hard for Wright to control the knuckle ball in the rain. Hes getting a little to much respect to begin with. I get the feeling its going to be a slug fest.

Just a small lean of Over for me as I get 9.5. Could become a play if total drops to 8.5, which is possible with the Under 9 now juiced.

[gpet1984]

Just a small lean of Over for me as I get 9.5. Could become a play if total drops to 8.5, which is possible with the Under 9 now juiced.

Thanks and good luck today

[44 Mag]

Yankees playing well

ride the streaks

LT said two weeks ago something to the effect that there are no streaks, worth betting on.

[LT Profits]

LT said two weeks ago something to the effect that there are no streaks, worth betting on.

Right, Yankees play today has nothing to do with streak, you have to handicap each game in its own merit in a vacuum.

[Everest]

BOL bud!

[7777KaL]

3 MLB Plays Monday So Far

Dodgers +134 (Heritage)
Yankees +145 (Heritage)
Rays +101 (Heritage)


YTD: 146-153-7, +0.50

More Coming

BOL today. You REALLY need it. If not back to the negative you go!!

[Nateboogy]

What does model say about stros? Feel like the number is too high and I'm a stros fan.

[RavensFan2k3]

Mets and Athletics today

[POOLSIDE]

How do you factor weather? For example the over in the Nats/phillies game.

[LT Profits]

What does model say about stros? Feel like the number is too high and I'm a stros fan.

Astros just missed being a 60%er, 59% (-144).

Line seems fine.

[LT Profits]

Mets and Athletics today

I get White Sox 56% (-127) and Athletics just 51% (-104)

[LT Profits]

How do you factor weather? For example the over in the Nats/phillies game.

Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.

[POOLSIDE]

Gotcha, thanks for the reply

[44 Mag]

[QUOTE=LT Profits;25793836]Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.[/QUOTE]

What about in April when it is snowing in Colorado ??? And Boston and Detroit and Cleveland and Pitt.

[RavensFan2k3]

What do you know about Edwin Escobar of the Diamond backs?

[LT Profits]

[QUOTE=44 Mag;25794098]

Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.[/QUOTE]

What about in April when it is snowing in Colorado ??? And Boston and Detroit and Cleveland and Pitt.

I am talking about stadiums tracked regularly year round. Wrigley (wind) and Chase (roof) are really the only two with extreme variances depending on the conditions.

[funnyb25]

[QUOTE=44 Mag;25794098]

Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.[/QUOTE]

What about in April when it is snowing in Colorado ??? And Boston and Detroit and Cleveland and Pitt.

They play baseball games in the snow?

[LT Profits]

What do you know about Edwin Escobar of the Diamond backs?

He is nothing special, went undrafted and signed as undrafted free agent in 2009, so been around for a while. He has been pitching basically year round too, spending winters in Venezuelan League. Career minor league record of 30-46 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. That WHIP seems adequate because he does not walk a lot of batters, but he does not strike out a lot either, so generally pitches to contact. Primarily a two-pitch pitcher with fastball and changeup. Throws curve at times, but has had trouble commanding it.

[LT Profits]

He is nothing special, went undrafted and signed as undrafted free agent in 2009, so been around for a while. He has been pitching basically year round too, spending winters in Venezuelan League. Career minor league record of 30-46 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. That WHIP seems adequate because he does not walk a lot of batters, but he does not strike out a lot either, so generally pitches to contact. Primarily a two-pitch pitcher with fastball and changeup. Throws curve at times, but has had trouble commanding it.

Also, Arizona claimed him off waivers from Red Sox in late April, so fact that Boston designated him for assignment is probably not a good sign.

[RavensFan2k3]

Mets and Athletics today

Thats one

[Yazworm91]

Cashner is so bad

[44 Mag]

[QUOTE=LT Profits;25794218]

I am talking about stadiums tracked regularly year round. Wrigley (wind) and Chase (roof) are really the only two with extreme variances depending on the conditions.

Hey, don't get so testy. You made a comment, and I commented on it. Jeez !!!!! By the way, they are the only 2 stadiums dependent on conditions. Please ....

[LT Profits]

[QUOTE=44 Mag;25795278]

Hey, don't get so testy. You made a comment, and I commented on it. Jeez !!!!! By the way, they are the only 2 stadiums dependent on conditions. Please ....

Me? Testy? Na.

And I said only two with extreme variances. That is why books are not scared to post overnight totals everywhere except Wrigley, the wind makes that much difference there. And they post overnights at Chase based on roof schedule, but if there is a late change there on gameday, bettors could have an edge on total if they act quickly.

[RavensFan2k3]

Mets and Athletics today

Pound the winners

[NardVa]

What does the model say about Tampa and KC? KC is coming in hot, but the Tampa pitcher seems pretty solid.