Doing It Again !!! ~Turning $2225 into $10,000 in a WEEK !!!

[KickShootThrow]

KST if you play 5 unit TB and Arizona then what unit is the run line ? I know you play the BIO system, but we have a big day today and I'm trying to get an idea how many units on each play also why would the cubs be a 2 unit and angles be a 4 unit when you have the cubs at 2.1 and angels at 1.5 ? I knew I shouldn't have day dreamed in algebra class. If anyone is bored with nothing to do and wouldn't mind breaking down each game into a 1 to 5 unit i would greatly appreciate your help

The unit size is generally my confidence factor taken in account all factors. If I have 5 units on Diamonds, I generally also put 2.5 on them -1.5 as well. If I have 2 units on the Cubs, I usually add 1 on the run line. However this is only when they prove within the model that they are capable of scoring runs and winning by 2+ over a certain percentage of time.

For the purpose of the thread experiment, each play has been given equal weight to resist against a big loss and preserve our bankroll. I'd like to hit the goal within the first try and not have to make multiple stabs at it.

[hit_me90]

ok, KST thanks again, and see you in the winner circle

[Everest]

You're killing it!! BOL tonight!

[SteezW]

Unreal day yesterday.

I'm in big on Cubs today so I will definitely tail Arizona/Tampa Bay later if that goes well.

Was reading these picks before bed last night, had a dream Dbacks were up 8-2. I've gotta bet on 'em now right?

[KickShootThrow]

updated odds


Phillies -1.5 (+195)
1 to win 1.95

Angels -1.5 (+175)
1 to win 1.75

Diamondbacks -1.5 (+180)
1 to win 1.8

Here are the plays for tomorrow (05/25/16) -


Philadelphia Phillies ML (+123)
1.5 to win 1.85

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (line not available yet)
1 to win ???

Chicago Cubs ML (-152)
2.189 to win 1.44

Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+110)
1 to win 1.1

LA Angels ML (+117)
1.5 to win 1.76

LA Angels -1.5 (line not available yet)
1 to win ???

Arizona Diamondbacks ML (+109)
1.5 to win 1.63

Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (line not available yet)
1 to win ???

Tampa Bay Rays ML (-169)
2.5 to win 1.48

Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+125)
1 to win 1.25



all 14.189 BTC ($6,364.48) will be in play

[KickShootThrow]

Aaron Nola struck out first 3 batters he faced in top of the 1st; pitching looks terrific today.

#NoJinxPlease!

[KickShootThrow]

Phillies strike first in the top of the 2nd inning. 2-0!!!

Aaron Nola struck out first 3 batters he faced in top of the 1st; pitching looks terrific today.

#NoJinxPlease!

[LBallday]

I'll let you announce it Kick.😏

[Aye J Mac]

Lets go arrietta !!

[KickShootThrow]

Herrera with a 3 run HR in the top of the 4th inning - Phillies up 5-1
Cubs start to rally in top of the 2nd inning - Cubs up 4-1
Angels have an early lead and are up 1-0 !!!

[KickShootThrow]

Haha! No beat me to it next time please!

Let's sweep these morning games together and freeroll in the evening!!!

I'll let you announce it Kick.

[KickShootThrow]

Cubs add two more; up 6-1 in the top of the 2nd !!!

[LBallday]

The Angels line up owns Lewis. Didn't realize how great there numbers are against him

[KickShootThrow]

Absolutely, and that is why they're leading 4-1 now.

The Angels line up owns Lewis. Didn't realize how great there numbers are against him

[juicername]

The Angels line up owns Lewis. Didn't realize how great there numbers are against him

And now they're showing it, 4-1. Niiiiiiiiiiiiiiiice.

[ATLIEN6]

Are these system plays or just off knowledge and stats? Im sure you answered this before but ill go ahead and apologize for asking again, just curious..You seem to be doing real well hope you sweep rest of day

[KickShootThrow]

Are these system plays or just off knowledge and stats? Im sure you answered this before but ill go ahead and apologize for asking again, just curious..You seem to be doing real well hope you sweep rest of day

I do use a custom system/model that relies somewhat heavily on stats, matchup, series trends, morning/evening game, ump crew, team batting trends... However I use my instinct to decide if a play is 'final' and makes it into the card for the day.

Since posting here, I've been about 70% in choosing my teams. Keep in mind, I often take + odds with either run-line or underdog ML plays. My over/under plays are firing at a less accurate percentage (55%ish). For the purpose of this experiment, we are trying to approximately 5x our initial bankroll, so the plays that are posted are much more aggressive and evenly balanced between wagers.

BOL!

[MecStar]

@kickshootthrow keep it rolling !!! Let's profit once again these day games and rolling into the night games!!!! Once again always appreciate it

[kj8210]

Hopefully Angels bounce back, Santiago got pounded

[KickShootThrow]

Phillies finish out for us at 8-5.

1-0 so far on the day.

Cubs should hold on, and looking for Angels to bounce back.

[BigNik]

Cubs going to make us sweat. I can feel it

[LBallday]

Pujols is a waste of Skin

[KickShootThrow]

05/22/16
LOSS -- Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+179) 1 to win 1.792
LOSS -- Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+182) .6 to win 1.0926
WIN --- Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+106) 1 to win 1.059
LOSS -- St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+177) .7 to win 1.2362
LOSS -- New York Yankees -1.5 (+136) .7 to win .9506
WIN --- OKC Thunder/GS Warriors o219 (-105) 3.059 to win 2.91

balance at 5.969 BTC ($2,641.46)

05/23/16
WIN --- Kansas City Royals ML (-130) 3.469 to win 2.67
WIN --- Oakland Athletics ML (+119) 2.5 to win 2.97

balance at 11.609 BTC ($5,194.80)

05/24/16
WIN --- Detroit Tigers ML (-200) 1 to win .5
WIN --- Brewers/Braves u7 (+115) .8 to win .92
WIN --- Boston Red Sox -1 (-220) 1 to win .45
WIN --- GS Warriors/OKC Thunder u222 (-105) .75 to win .71

balance at 14.189 BTC ($6,364.48)

05/25/16
WIN --- Philadelphia Phillies ML (+123) 1.5 to win 1.85
WIN --- Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+195) 1 to win 1.95
WIN --- Chicago Cubs ML (-152) 2.189 to win 1.44
LOSS -- Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+110) 1 to win 1.1
LOSS -- LA Angels ML (+117) 1.5 to win 1.76
LOSS -- LA Angels -1.5 (+175) 1 to win 1.75
pending -- Arizona Diamondbacks ML (+109) 1.5 to win 1.63
pending -- Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+180) 1 to win 1.8
pending -- Tampa Bay Rays ML (-169) 2.5 to win 1.48
pending -- Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+125) 1 to win 1.25

[KickShootThrow]

I am actually okay with this morning's results. At least we are still in the green! On to the evening games.

[alien296]

2 questions - I see you're betting BTC, where you playing? I tried nitro, but currently at cloudbet. Also, since you bet other sports too, what do you think about the Sharks tonight at home for game 6? About to put a decent amount of BTC on it...

[KickShootThrow]

2 questions - I see you're betting BTC, where you playing? I tried nitro, but currently at cloudbet. Also, since you bet other sports too, what do you think about the Sharks tonight at home for game 6? About to put a decent amount of BTC on it...

I am at Nitro. How is your experience at Cloudbet? I haven't visited before.

I did read your post on the NHL thread about putting 10 BTC on Sharks. TBH... if your bankroll allows for it, do it! I like the Sharks tonight as well, but my NHL picking % is not nearly as high as my MLB so I tend to stay away. The odds on them are pretty high and I tend to see alot of surprise upsets in hockey. In my own analysis of this game, I don't see the Blues fighting to survive for a game 7 such as the Penguins did yesterday.

[alien296]

Cloudbet is decent - I'm there for the live action - WAY better than nitro for that. However, nitro has much better odds for before the games. So splitting the $ wouldn't be the worst idea! Yea, still on the fence - might just watch the first period and then make the bets to be honest. What I'm looking for in the game will either be apparent in the first period or it won't be there tonight.

Keep kicking ass at MLB though - I'll definitely check in on your thread often. Appreciate the advice on tonight!

[KickShootThrow]

Love it when our team strikes first!

Diamondbacks lead 1-0, Rays lead 1-0

[KickShootThrow]

^^

Tomas hits a 2 run HR right after I post that! Diamondbacks lead 3-0 now.

[MecStar]

Salute ya father MORRISON BOOM !!!!! Let's goooooo Tampa

[BankrollMafia]

Love it when our team strikes first!

Diamondbacks lead 1-0, Rays lead 1-0

RIP

[BankrollMafia]

^^

Tomas hits a 2 run HR right after I post that! Diamondbacks lead 3-0 now.

wheres your excitement now?

[spicollifcfd]

wheres your excitement now?

Nineball alert why you being such a kook bro

[JassieJames]

One quick question and unlike the douche bag bankrollmafia, I am not trying to bash. Why play run lines as often as you do? Does it really add up in the long run?

[omega]

wheres your excitement now?

Look at this phaggot crawling out of the woodwork.. Probly doesn't have two nickels to rub together. Brokedik fukk.