A journey of a thousand miles...

[HeeluvaGuy]

... begins with a single step. --Laozi

In this thread I will post the plays and results from my home underdog system. My goal is to share the plays from what I hope will continue to be a profitable system. All plays will be home underdogs of +100 or more, but not all home underdogs qualify. I will post the ones that do. All plays are listed pitchers, not action.

The plays I post will be lines available to me when posted. Number of plays typically ranges from 0-3 per day. All plays are to risk one unit. Plays will stop the first week of August. Feel free to discuss the merits (or lack thereof) of these picks, but because this is a mechanical system that stuff is largely irrelevant to me for the purposes of this thread.

Step 1
Rockies +118

0-0 (0 units)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Rockies win last night.

Step 2
Red Sox +104
Rockies +134

1-0 (1.18 units)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Red Sox and Rockies win.

3-0 (+3.56 units)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Step 3
Phillies +116

3-0 (+3.56 units)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Phillies phail.

3-1 (+2.56 units)

[HeeluvaGuy]

No plays for 5/17

[Louisvillekid1]

Just checking in, good luck buddy

what filters a play?

[HeeluvaGuy]

Just checking in, good luck buddy

what filters a play?

Thanks. Hate to sound like a dick, but I'd rather not post the whole thing just yet. I stumbled on this last year when tracking a different system. It's very simplistic, but went 53-40 from May 1 to August 3. All dogs. (I intentionally shut it down in August for a few reasons, including results trending down.) Currently 7-4 this season (4-3 before I started posting).

[Louisvillekid1]

Sounds good , I'll keep an eye out

[HeeluvaGuy]

Step 4
Royals +134 (2nd game)
Diamondbacks +126

3-1 (+2.56 units)

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

They just took the royals game 2 off the board anyone know why?

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I like the quote in the op...

Godspeed sir

[HeeluvaGuy]

I like the quote in the op...

Godspeed sir

Thanks for stopping by.

Harry - I haven't seen any issues with the Boston/KC game #2.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Royals and Diamondbacks lose.

Step 5
Athletics +103

3-3 (+.56 units)

[HeeluvaGuy]

The A's get an F

3-4 (-.44u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

No plays for 5/20

[HeeluvaGuy]

Step 6
Angels +112
Padres +131

3-4 (-.44u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Padres win, Angels lose in soul-crushing fashion.

Step 7
Marlins +140
Angels +105

4-5 (-.13)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Angels good, Marlins bad.

5-6 (-.08u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

No plays 5/23

[HeeluvaGuy]

Step 8
Marlins +107

5-6 (-.08u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Marlins lose

Step 9
Braves +104 (Full disclosure: I am tracking this because it qualifies under my filters. However, I will not play it because I am currently fading the Braves nearly every day.)

5-7 (-1.08u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Braves lose.

No plays 5/26

5-8 (-2.08u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Step 10
Athletics +109

5-8 (-2.08u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

A's lose

Step 11
Braves +135
Royals +100
Angels +122

5-9 (-3.08)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Braves and Royals win. Angels do not.

Step 12
Blue Jays +125
Rangers +108

7-10 (-1.73u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Jays lose, Rangers win.

8-11 (-1.65u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Step 13
Brewers +112
Diamondbacks +125
Marlins +118

8-11 (-1.65u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

All three lost yesterday.

Step 14
Braves +119
Brewers +137

8-14 (-4.65u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Braves and Brewers lost on 5/31. No plays on 6/1. Record:

8-16 (-6.65u)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Step 15
Orioles +126
Tigers +106
Padres +119

I'm putting a 10-unit limit on this, so without a positive day today, I'm taking this one back to the lab.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Orioles win, but Tigers and Padres lose. The Padres' loss was one of the worst all time. There are no qualifying plays for today, but I think I'm gonna put this on ice for a while anyway. That loss was really, really bad.

9-18 (-7.39u)