pitching change. Cueto for Samardjza (or however you spell it)
-
Comment -
1* tex -117
1* chc -145Comment -
July 1: 4-5 -$272
July 2: 1-1 +$0
July 4: 0-5 -$522
July 5: 5-2 +$430
July 6: 4-4 -$151
July 7: 1-2 -$56
July 8: 2-2 +$316
July 9: 4-2 +$172
July 10: 1-0 +$200
July 15: 1-3 -$376
July 16: 1-4 -$546
July 17: 4-1 +$754
July 18: 1-0 +$200
July 19: 2-2 -$161
July 20: 3-0 +$989
July 21: 2-0 +$218
July 22: 4-3 +$48
July 23: 1-2 -$333
July 24:
July 25:
--------------------------------
July +$910 TOTALComment -
Sunday
2* TOR -172
More plays tomorrow probably.Comment -
2* chc -144Comment -
July 1: 4-5 -$272
July 2: 1-1 +$0
July 4: 0-5 -$522
July 5: 5-2 +$430
July 6: 4-4 -$151
July 7: 1-2 -$56
July 8: 2-2 +$316
July 9: 4-2 +$172
July 10: 1-0 +$200
July 15: 1-3 -$376
July 16: 1-4 -$546
July 17: 4-1 +$754
July 18: 1-0 +$200
July 19: 2-2 -$161
July 20: 3-0 +$989
July 21: 2-0 +$218
July 22: 4-3 +$48
July 23: 1-2 -$333
July 24: 2-0 +$400
July 25:
--------------------------------
July +$1,310 TOTAL
Sooo close to +50 Units
Comment -
You sir, are a beast. And it's not even close to finished!Comment -
I usually don't have time to do these reports but today I do
I hope it helps someone...
Monday July 25
---------------------------------
PHI vs MIA
1* PHI +141
Jeremy Hellickson has one last good start for Philly before potentially being traded..
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STL vs NYM
I should have grabbed NYM last night when the line was around -140. -176 is too juicy for me. Most people are thinking that since STL just played on Sunday Night Baseball that they will come out flat tonight in NY. STL is about as classy as they come.
Only play for me would be STL +166 but I will pass.
Over 7 is at play but -125 is pretty too juicy for a total for me.
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ARI vs MIL
I like MIL -123 but I hate games with two bad teams... so no play for me.
Over 9.5 +100 is probably going to hit but I hate totals.
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CIN vs SF
SF gets their s**t together on this homestand.
1* SF -123
Over 7.5 -105 is at play but I pass.
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BOS vs DET
I think BOS -123 is a trap. Over 10 +100 is a trap as well.
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OAK vs TEX
1* TEX -131
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HOU vs NYY
Dallas Keuchel gets a win at home tonight. These two teams are clearly going in opposite directions.
1* HOU -147
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LAA vs KC
Hector is an amazing pitcher but I think KC finds a way to win at home. -117 is cheap
1* KC -117
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BAL vs COL
BAL -166. This line just keeps going up. I smell trap. Over 10 -120 looks like a trap as well.
No play
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SD vs TOR
TOR -265. Are you kidding me? Have we learned nothing? Wayyy too juicy.
I am going to toss one total up today.
1* Over 9.5 +100
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CHC vs CHW
Chicago vs Chicago game.... The only play is CHW +180 but no play for me. I think the cubs will be - money over the next couple of weeks. I am going to try to avoid them. (its hard).
----------------------------------------Comment -
Monday
1* TOR / SD OV 9.5 +100
1* KC -117
1* HOU -147
1* TEX -131
1* SF -123
1* PHI +141
Comment -
PHI vs MIA
Miami will probably find a way to win at home here.
But Philly at +134 is still active dog.
No play for me.
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ARI vs MIL
two bad teams playing each other.... You think cheap home team but Arizona is probably going to win at +105.
two bad teams == no play
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CIN vs SF
SF can be such a frustrating teambut I guess I will chase them here at home *sigh*
SF is a trap
FADE SF
No play for me.
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DET vs BOS
Yes, Boston will PROBABLY win this game but -188 is too juicy for me. ....
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NYY vs HOU
I don't like this game one bit. Something tells me NYY.
I am going to take NYY w/ CC at +135.
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SEA vs PIT
Here we go..... This is the big one.... Don't we all want to take SEA with King Felix?
Pittsburgh needs this game. I like them in the upcoming weeks.
Pittsburgh finds a way to win at home
Satur
3* PIT -112
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COL vs BAL
COL is active dog at +181.
BAL is far too juicy at -191. No play for sure.
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SD vs TOR
Storman is going to win for sure but TOR -225 is far too juicy. It is just bad business to take these kind of plays long-term.
No play but I will enjoy watching my Jays beat SD at home
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WAS vs CLE
It will be a tight game but I think CLE finds a way to win at home here.
1* CLE -143
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ATL vs MIN
MIN -180 Are you high?
MIN must win tonight I guess.But it is far too juicy for me.
Fine, Ill take MIN -180 at 1*
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CHC vs CHW
TRAP GAME OF THE NIGHT
CHW == Active Dog +160
No play for me
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TB vs LAD
Chris Archer at +111 must be a trap so Ill take the home team, LAD
LAD -121
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STL vs NYM
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My Book SBG Global doesnt have a line yet.
Bartolo Colon is pretty sweet. But folks, Jaime Garcia is a better pitcher.
I will be taking STL at 3* when the line comes out.Comment -
Recap for last night:
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SCREW totals. Ugh just fade your initial thoughts on totals...............
I am over them.Comment -
Tuesday
----------------------
3* STL - GM 2 ..........Whatever Line it comes up as
The game at 7 Pm Jaime Garcia beats Bartolo Colon
3* PIT -112
1* NYY +135
1* CLE -143
1* MIN -180
1* LAD -121
Comment -
I got owned.
Just wrong twice on PIT and STL and picking MIN -180 was so stupid.
3-3 -$445
3* 0-2
Short memory. Move on.Comment -
Wednesday July 27
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WAS vs CLE
Strasburg vs Carrasco
This game is the definition of a 'coin - flipper' . I guess thats why the line is exactly equal at -105 or -104 .
Last night I faded King Felix. Can I really fade Strasburg now? Yes
The world will be taking Washington with Strasburg but I will take Cleveland at home.
2* CLE -105 at home
******I like doing 2* plays when the line is close to +100. This makes more sense than doing 2* plays at -150 which turn them into 3* plays basically.
Never forget that the odds are always 50%. The line is a lie.
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PHI vs MIA
PHI +156 is an active dog. Especially during the day.
No play. I would stay away from MIA.
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DET vs BOS
BOS at only -115 at home. Smells like a trap but I cannot resist this.
2* BOS -115
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CIN vs SF
CIN == ultra dog. It is stupid to take SF at -230. Only play really is CIN +210
1* CIN +210
I'am going to buy it now but It may go up. I think it will go down.
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STL vs NYM
I am not interested in this game at all. Smart play is NYM but I will pass
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ARI vs MIL
Super no play for me. Smart play is ARI +127
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OAK vs TEX
It is too juicy for me.
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NYY vs HOU
I like NYY but its a no play for me. HOU is good in their division but NYY is in a division that is on another level.
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LAA vs KC
LAA = Active Dog at +110. No play for me.
I don't care what the Angels record is, they are still a pretty sweet ball club.
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TOR vs SD
TOR is currently -250 but my book has closed it for now since RA Dickey is going to replace Estrada.
We will get MUCH better value with RA Dickey but it is still a bad play.
I find Toronto has the best value when they play other good teams and the line is way closer to +100.
No play.
PS - how about that huge Jays win tonight....
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TB vs LAD
LAD -177 super juicy. TB at +167. Giddy up.
I have to put a unit on TB as the dog.
1* TB +167
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SEA vs PIT
1* PIT -155.
Pittsburgh finds a way to win at home here against Seattle.
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COL vs BAL
What did I say yesterday?
"COL is active dog at +181.
BAL is far too juicy at -191. No play for sure."
Same thing as above. I don't like it. COL scares me. I don't like playing against them.
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CHW vs CHC
CHC is currently -230. Just wild. Cubs win but it is stupid to take them.
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ATL vs MIN
After taking MIN -180 last night. I don't know what I was thinking. So much juice on such a bad team.
Super no play for me.
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I think that between one of the following two dogs win
CHW +210
CIN +215
I am going to take CIN but I think CHW is in play.Comment -
Wednesday
2* CLE -105
2* BOS -115
1* CIN +210
1* TB +167
1* PIT -155Comment -
Comment -
July 1: 4-5 -$272
July 2: 1-1 +$0
July 4: 0-5 -$522
July 5: 5-2 +$430
July 6: 4-4 -$151
July 7: 1-2 -$56
July 8: 2-2 +$316
July 9: 4-2 +$172
July 10: 1-0 +$200
July 15: 1-3 -$376
July 16: 1-4 -$546
July 17: 4-1 +$754
July 18: 1-0 +$200
July 19: 2-2 -$161
July 20: 3-0 +$989
July 21: 2-0 +$218
July 22: 4-3 +$48
July 23: 1-2 -$333
July 24: 2-0 +$400
July 25: 2-4 -$246
July 26: 3-3 -$445
July 27: 3-2 +$37
July 28:
July 29:
July 30:
July 31:
--------------------------------
July +$656 TOTAL
Comment -
If Boston or Cleveland would have won then I would have made $440. Instead, +$37.
Oh well, I think still the plays worth the shot.
CIN +210 for the win!!!!
That has to be my biggest dog win so far. Love it. Pretty sure I saw Covers public 83% on SF.
TB +167 was a sweet win as well.
My favorite win so far though has to be the 3* on MIN vs DET w/ Verlander last week.Comment -
July 28 - Thursday
Overnight lines are so key for MLB. It stops you from making impulse plays and you usually get better lines.
And remember, each team has 50% of winning. The posted line is based off of public reaction and it is a lie.
I post to try and help people. For the record.
I think we all should do this honestly if we want to succeed as a group.
If you agree or disagree, please post it.
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COL vs NYM
I don't want to see anyone take NYM. I mean come on. COL just won two dirty dog games in Baltimore and you think they are not an active dog at NYM??
The only smart play is COL +165
It is a no play for me. I think NYM will win but the juice is too much. Smart people avoid the juice............
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ARI vs MIL
two bad teams playing each other.
I look at this game at 2 PM and I see heavy movement on MIL.
It would make sense to take the dog.
No play for me
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PHI vs ATL
I want to take PHI -130 so bad but I remember a previous lesson that I have learned many times titled "never pick the winner of two bad teams".
No play but I like PHI for this series each game.
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STL vs MIA
STL +174 is an active dog.
MIA -184 is too juicy.
Miami probably wins but this is MLB.... -184 is too juicy.
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WAS vs SF
SF has been screwing me over lately. However, with Cueto starting at home. I think they find a way to get it going again.
2* SF -136
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KC vs TEX
TEX -164 is too juicy. KC = active dog at +154..... they won the World Series and now they are a +154 dog in Texas.... come on.
No play..
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BOS vs LAA
I have zero faith in Price and zero faith in Boston.
Too juicy on the road.
No play
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CHW vs CHC
Chris Sale at +120?? It must be a trap....
3* CHC -130
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BAL vs MIN
I love BAL and OVER this series. I will play both.
1* BAL +102
1* OV 9.5 -110
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Comment -
Thursday July 28
3* CHC -130
2* SF -136
1* BAL +102
1* BAL / COL OV 9.5 -110Comment -
Thank you for your tips, forgive me maybe a stupid question what an "active dog" means, some special kind of an underdog or it is just another way to say "underdog"? I am slightly puzzled.Comment -
BOS -172 tonight and -170 tomorrow look like traps.
I think LAA wins one of the two games at least.Comment -
Friday
1* sea +166
2* PIT +104
1* ARI +235
1* SF +134
1* CIN -104
1* NYY +106Comment -
3* bos -167Comment -
Col is a super dog!!!! Wow!!!eComment -
Sat
2* pit -143
2* bos -129Comment -
ari +235 last night was a huge letdownComment -
1* Hou -145
1* pit -154
2* bos +104
1* nyy -108
Slumping..Comment -
Wowwwwwww. Chasing...
3* chc -128Comment
