MLB - Wednesday, 4/27/16

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Plays Wednesday

Red Sox / Braves OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Astros +125 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 47-66-1, -14.57

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

San Francisco 63% (-170)
Washington 66% (-194)
Boston 60% (-150)
Mets 68% (-213)
Cubs 76% (-317)
Dodgers 64% (-178)

The Braves actually look bettable vs. Boston if you dare. Also currently no line on Dodgers, so keep an eye out.

[afgballer56]

good luck
i see a nice turnaround soon

[blackHIPPY]

good luck
i see a nice turnaround soon

!!!!

[unusialsusp5]

has lost 41 out of his last 61 bets. granted most were dogs or under totals which had value since the books inflate totals and ML's to deter over and ML chalk players which are the majority of their action, but if he gets back to .500 and +.10 for the year it will be a miracle.

[stackz125]

has lost 41 out of his last 61 bets. granted most were dogs or under totals which had value since the books inflate totals and ML's to deter over and ML chalk players which are the majority of their action, but if he gets back to .500 and +.10 for the year it will be a miracle.

I'll bet you that he will make more more/be up more units than you in MLB by the end of the season.

[LT Profits]

has lost 41 out of his last 61 bets. granted most were dogs or under totals which had value since the books inflate totals and ML's to deter over and ML chalk players which are the majority of their action, but if he gets back to .500 and +.10 for the year it will be a miracle.

It is APRIL, I won 93 units from May 1st onward last season.

[No coincidences]

It is APRIL, I won 93 units from May 1st onward last season.

You keep saying that. No offense, but that is completely and utterly immaterial when discussing this year. You know that. Applicable for all gamblers. The past is the past.

[mlb]

You keep saying that. No offense, but that is completely and utterly immaterial when discussing this year. You know that. Applicable for all gamblers. The past is the past.

he's just saying that it's possible to get hot and win games in bunches, I'm assuming

[LT Profits]

You keep saying that. No offense, but that is completely and utterly immaterial when discussing this year. You know that. Applicable for all gamblers. The past is the past.

That would be true if I never had any other winning seasons before. But I have a long track record, things will turn around like they always do. Insinuating that making up 14 units over the rest of the season would be a "miracle" is just an insane statement, I could (should?) easily go well and beyond that.

[unusialsusp5]

I'll bet you that he will make more more/be up more units than you in MLB by the end of the season.

maybe, but i doubt it. not a profits basher but as pointed out by a few on here before the game that yankees bet (-112) on the road with a pitcher (severino) whom his model claimed was underachieving vs (griffin) who was overachieving. i know it's just one game and a bad result but it made no sense. immediately jumped on texas as did others i hope. profits is reeling right now and i know he has the fortitude to hang in there and let his model continue to find value plays and will probably grind his way back to even. those under bets are killing him though.

[KVB]

You keep saying that. No offense, but that is completely and utterly immaterial when discussing this year. You know that. Applicable for all gamblers. The past is the past.

No coin, you missed the point completely and is very relevant. The point is that it is early in the season and with the number of plays left this season, any given stretch can see profit come in. The point was not that LT plans a mirrored repeat of last year.

There is still so much time left and to be down some 14 or 15 units in MLB before May isn't as catastrophic as the poster makes it out to be. Streaks are paramount in baseball and it isn't even May.

While the past is the past readers should be reminded that it is a long season and there will be plenty of losers along with the winners for any bettor.

[RollinDo]

You keep saying that. No offense, but that is completely and utterly immaterial when discussing this year. You know that. Applicable for all gamblers. The past is the past.

BS here.
LT had a system that was proven to work last season...it was a steady increase in his BR, and each month I believe saw some kind of profit. No reason not to think it couldn't work again this season after this rough patch.

[Slipknot26]

There's literally a million plus bets left over the season.
FF ML/ RL , FF Totals , FG RL's / ML, FG Totals , First innings , and so on
Amazing people even get riled up after only 10% of the Regular Season is about done .
A whole lot of season left guys

[exlusive123]

LT won't have much chance of losing using the numbers he posts here. The problem is, if you follow the plays using the current market prices when he posts you will continually get 3 to 10c worse. LT may end up a winner on the season, but if you use market prices and follow his plays, it will be difficult to end up a winner, unless he runs way above EV

[No coincidences]

BS here.
LT had a system that was proven to work last season...it was a steady increase in his BR, and each month I believe saw some kind of profit. No reason not to think it couldn't work again this season after this rough patch.

The minute you think your "system" will produce the same results from year to year or even game to game is the minute you start losing serious amounts of money.

Gambling results are fluid. There is zero correlation.

[No coincidences]

No coin, you missed the point completely and is very relevant. The point is that it is early in the season and with the number of plays left this season, any given stretch can see profit come in. The point was not that LT plans a mirrored repeat of last year.

There is still so much time left and to be down some 14 or 15 units in MLB before May isn't as catastrophic as the poster makes it out to be. Streaks are paramount in baseball and it isn't even May.

While the past is the past readers should be reminded that it is a long season and there will be plenty of losers along with the winners for any bettor.

There is plenty of room to get better, yes. And there is plenty of time left, yes.

Pointing out the exact amount he gained from May on last year, though, implies that there is some sort of inevitable balance and positive turn coming his way. Not to pick on LT, but if that's what he (or any gambler) is assuming, it's complete and utter rubbish.

[Snake24]

LT!!!!

[No coincidences]

That would be true if I never had any other winning seasons before. But I have a long track record, things will turn around like they always do. Insinuating that making up 14 units over the rest of the season would be a "miracle" is just an insane statement, I could (should?) easily go well and beyond that.

You have a long track record of both winning and losing, just like almost every other gambler on the planet. If/when you are up 20-30 units early in a given season, do you say, "It is APRIL, I lost 93 units from May 1st onward last season" as a cautionary tale?

I've already said that not watching games is your blind spot. Looking at prior results/years as some sort of future predictor is the same.

"Things will turn around like they always do?" Come on, LT. You're better than that. Sometimes they don't. And you have to adjust accordingly.

[cardplayer12]

I've followed LT's plays in multiple sports for years. Why follow a new post every day just to say negative things? Also LT's bad seasons are still better than most bettors average seasons. His records are well documented for years in multiple sports. To any haters just one thing left to say. SCOREBOARD!

[KVB]

...If/when you are up 20-30 units early in a given season, do you say, "It is APRIL, I lost 93 units from May 1st onward last season" as a cautionary tale?...

I see your point No Coin.

Not sure about others, but such "cautionary tales" are always in the back of my mind and I wouldn't hesitate to warn others after a win streak.

I've warned readers that a win streak will break them just as much as a losing streak...usually because bettors win a few then risk more when the inevitable losers come.

I've seen this over and over again.

[Yons18]

What do you think of the over 7.5 for +100 in Giants/Padres?

[LT Profits]

What do you think of the over 7.5 for +100 in Giants/Padres?

No opinion as model is at 7.3

[Professor1215]

irony in those who continue to bash LT. I love how the critics blast him, but don't have anything to show for their success....

To those who blast LT, I'll say it again.....fade his picks, easy money right? Just think what $100 a game would have done to your bankroll over the past two weeks! Wow!!!!!

People should appreciate this guy and his dedication to this forum, whether he is currently winning or losing.

I'll also mention that sample size has no boundary, so to the clown who thinks last year is irrelevant, I would love to know how much money you have made betting sports since you began...

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

3 MLB Plays Wednesday

Red Sox / Braves OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Astros +125 (5 Dimes)
Astros / Mariners UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)

[BeatTheJerk]

What's main logic/reason you are betting the Astros tonight LT ?

[Antibet]

All is needed to turn things around is the reverse gay penguin jinx:





He will start winning starting today

[pocketrockets42]

You need to change your energy up in all seriousness. It seems like you're losing on purpose sometimes with fading Arrieta, now you take arguably the biggest disappointment in baseball (Astros). Stop self destructing and start handicapping.

[JJJ]

If you don't like his picks you don't have to play them or view the thread it is free after all

You need to change your energy up in all seriousness. It seems like you're losing on purpose sometimes with fading Arrieta, now you take arguably the biggest disappointment in baseball (Astros). Stop self destructing and start handicapping.

[RollinDo]

What's with all the bashing I'm reading on SBR today?
I don't get it...seems to have flowed into people I'm working with today too...maybe just one of those days.

The minute LT starts adjusting accordingly is when things would have turned around for him.
Keep at it LT and I have faith that you'll be moving forward soon...you've done well in mlb last season and in nhl too.

[Nitronett]

LT won't have much chance of losing using the numbers he posts here. The problem is, if you follow the plays using the current market prices when he posts you will continually get 3 to 10c worse. LT may end up a winner on the season, but if you use market prices and follow his plays, it will be difficult to end up a winner, unless he runs way above EV

I def agree with that. It's hard to explain all in a post but this isn't stuff I think you want to follow if you are trying to turn 100$ into positive $ because he takes a lot of value type chances that could end in losing like picking vs the Cubs

[blackHIPPY]

I def agree with that. It's hard to explain all in a post but this isn't stuff I think you want to follow if you are trying to turn 100$ into positive $ because he takes a lot of value type chances that could end in losing like picking vs the Cubs

its not very hard have multiple books and dont overbet.
$100 isnt enough when youre betting 20 a game

[pocketrockets42]

If you don't like his picks you don't have to play them or view the thread it is free after all

I don't follow his picks... Just speaking the truth.

[Nitronett]

I'm saying as an example I wouldn't do a lot of these 30% value plays honestly you know God much u lose on that overtime to have + profits

[Winner_13]

It is APRIL, I won 93 units from May 1st onward last season.

I believe you were +5.23 units this date last year. But the lines seem to move more in your favor last year.
Anyways, I'm sure you will turn it around LT.