DFoster Wednesday Picks/Leans 81-64-3, +34.21 units

[DFoster]

I'm riding KC behind Grienke again tonight

Oh and under as well...

easy yet effective (hopefully) bets

Toronto has been hitting the ball pretty well. I love Greinke but Tallet has been throwing well. I'd take the under but Mike Winters is averaging 11.43 runs per game in 6 games behind the plate and is 4-2 on over/unders. I think this may be a no play while I root for the Royals. Good luck with your picks

[laxdjock]

PHI TT over 5.5 -102 --- 2 units

The Phils have been crushing lefties and have been scoring a significant amount of runs. I don't see Scott Olsen slowing this offense down...more like making them even hotter.

That's not a bad bet.......I may have to tail ya.

[DFoster]

SF TT over 4 -114 --- 1.5 units

SF ML -140 --- 1.5 units

Tim McClelland has umped some very high scoring games (12.22 average runs in his last 9 games). I don't think his umpiring is going to have a huge effect, but a small zone is a small zone and when SF is hitting lefties at .290 over their last 5, it may affect Eric Stults's success tonight. Lincecum has been dominant in his last two starts and I expect more of the same. I don't like laying -140, but this looks like a good spot.

[DFoster]

Thought I posted this with my BOS TT play but just noticed I didn't....

BOS ML -122 --- 2 units

[laxdjock]

I'm tailing you on:

PHI TT 5.5 (+100), 1 unit

I also took SF/LA o7.5 (-125), 1 unit

[DFoster]

Adding:

PHI ML -167 --- 2 units

The more I look at it, the more I feel like this is still a good bet

[DFoster]

tonight's card:

Baltimore ML -137 --- 3 units - LOSS -3.00
SD/COL 10.5 over -108 --- 2 units - WIN +1.85
FLA Marlins ML +164 --- 1 unit - WIN +1.64
FLA Marlins rev RL +268 --- .5 units - LOSS -.5
TEX/OAK 10.5 over -108 --- 3 units
BOS ML -122 --- 2 units
PHI ML -167 --- 2 units
NYM/FLA under 3.5 in first 5 innings -116 --- 1 unit - LOSS -1.00
BOS TT over 5 +104 --- 2 units
Cubs ML -112 --- 1.5 units - LOSS -1.50
PHI TT over 5.5 -102 --- 2 units
SF TT over 4 -114 --- 1.5 units
SF ML -140 --- 1.5 units

Overall a tough start to the day but I like the night's plays quite a bit.

[djpremier36]

Holy ish... +34.21 units for the year already?...I thought I was doing good with +11.26 units in my thread...great work and continued success to you!

[ebbearsfb1]

sorry foster i bet on boston too.. meaning no chance they win

[DFoster]

sorry foster i bet on boston too.. meaning no chance they win

It's been a rough 3 days. I gained some yesterday but very little. Shit like this happens in baseball. I don't like it but it happens. If you get down and change your betting strategy after a few days of bad beats, you're destined to fail. I'm hoping it will start turning around tomorrow.

[Vonnegut]

Foster how big of a factor do you think Kemp not being in the starting lineup is here? Can Lincecum actually pitch well enough to keep that scary LA lineup in check? I am leaning Giants bigtime here because I want to play Lincecum but I look at that Dodgers lineup and its scary good.

[laxdjock]

I'm split on the game.....still thinking. I have the o7.5, though I'm not sure if I'm going to bet an RL too.

[DFoster]

Foster how big of a factor do you think Kemp not being in the starting lineup is here? Can Lincecum actually pitch well enough to keep that scary LA lineup in check? I am leaning Giants bigtime here because I want to play Lincecum but I look at that Dodgers lineup and its scary good.

I see it as a pretty big deal but I like the SF TT over regardless...and the SF ML.

[DFoster]

Baltimore ML -137 --- 3 units - LOSS -3.00
SD/COL 10.5 over -108 --- 2 units - WIN +1.85
FLA Marlins ML +164 --- 1 unit - WIN +1.64
FLA Marlins rev RL +268 --- .5 units - LOSS -.5
TEX/OAK 10.5 over -108 --- 3 units - PPD
BOS ML -122 --- 2 units - WIN +1.64
PHI ML -167 --- 2 units - LOSS -2.00
NYM/FLA under 3.5 in first 5 innings -116 --- 1 unit - LOSS -1.00
BOS TT over 5 +104 --- 2 units - WIN +2.08
Cubs ML -112 --- 1.5 units - LOSS -1.50
PHI TT over 5.5 -102 --- 2 units - LOSS -2.00
SF TT over 4 -114 --- 1.5 units - WIN - +1.71
SF ML -140 --- 1.5 units - WIN +1.07

Yesterday's record:
6-6, 50%, -.01 unit

[Vonnegut]

I hate when that happens eh?
All that work just to break even. Thats baseball wagering for you.

[Bread]

Ah, the award is well deserved. Excellent work D. Gotta love baseball season!

[Vonnegut]

Thats right, congrats on being SBR's "Gambler of the Month". Well done.

[DFoster]

Well thank you! Quite the honor

[Smith]

Keep up the good work DF! Even days are good days, because you didnt lose. All you have to do is change 3 of those games around and you had a hell of a day! Today may be that day! GL!