Lep's score in first inning plays

lep · 06-17-16, 03:16 PM

Yes -125 sea/bos 1u

andredos · 06-17-16, 03:50 PM

would you still take it at -140

lep · 06-17-16, 04:19 PM

I don't know why my book is so off but I just went and checked again now it went from -125 to -135. Never really seen a big jump with props like these

TanBanana · 06-17-16, 05:41 PM

I'm in at -120.

Bmoredd · 06-17-16, 05:52 PM

To high juice

Heritage has it -150, I can't pull the trigger on that Good Luck !!

boss_of_um · 06-17-16, 06:13 PM

2 batters and already a win. Nice!

TanBanana · 06-17-16, 06:13 PM

$$$

MrHappy · 06-17-16, 06:15 PM

Hangoverblack · 06-17-16, 06:15 PM

Man, I got on this for a nickel at 7:09:58.

So glad I saw it!! Thanks for all the plays man, only thread I check daily

BIG · 06-17-16, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by lep

I don't know why my book is so off but I just went and checked again now it went from -125 to -135. Never really seen a big jump with props like these

Lep there is probably more followers on this than u know and that could change the line. I try to find the post early and get on it. I got -130....And it doesn't matter you don't pay juice when ya win lol.

rc86 · 06-17-16, 06:25 PM

thank you big dawg lep! put 3 units on this one

RetardStrength · 06-17-16, 06:26 PM

Lep prime minister of Vegas!!!!!!

MrHappy · 06-17-16, 06:29 PM

I jump on it the second I see it because you are moving lines.

Capybara · 06-17-16, 06:35 PM

Crap, I missed this one!

So to make up for it, I just did a live "2nd inning over 0.5 runs" bet. Same bet, just 2nd inning, lol! Better juice, -118.

mrlif1 · 06-17-16, 06:46 PM

gracias. don't even check the scores. just the thread. lol

Capybara · 06-17-16, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by Capybara

Crap, I missed this one!

So to make up for it, I just did a live "2nd inning over 0.5 runs" bet. Same bet, just 2nd inning, lol! Better juice, -118.

Don't try this at home. Nott only did it lose, but the first batter of the next inning goes deep. Now a two-unit swing from missing Lep's play, lol.

unique7685 · 06-17-16, 07:27 PM

U the man

iloseagain · 06-17-16, 08:05 PM

Originally posted by Capybara

Don't try this at home. Nott only did it lose, but the first batter of the next inning goes deep. Now a two-unit swing from missing Lep's play, lol.

I did this last night when the 1st inning lost and i lost the 2nd inning haha.. Didn't play 3rd inning and adam jones went deep with no outs top 3 shocker

JayDr3am · 06-18-16, 12:36 AM

good shit lep

lep · 06-18-16, 10:06 AM

Thanks guys glad we bounced back with a winner!

lep · 06-18-16, 10:08 AM

75-45 +2551

lep · 06-18-16, 12:59 PM

Yes -120 cin/hou 1u

iloseagain · 06-18-16, 03:14 PM

thought i was gona see you on sox/sea YES again.. Loaded no outs for Sea here. I took it. I very rarely take any of these bets besides the ones you take, but these Boston games have been too good to pass up

brellis23 · 06-18-16, 03:22 PM

You're the man lep

iloseagain · 06-18-16, 03:23 PM

another winnner!!!! Thanks lep!

MrHappy · 06-18-16, 03:25 PM

mohye1980 · 06-18-16, 03:26 PM

Cash money. That should be your name man. Keep it up.

JayDr3am · 06-18-16, 03:27 PM

he schmaked that shit good stuff lep

lep · 06-19-16, 10:45 AM

76-45 +2651

lep · 06-19-16, 10:46 AM

Thanks guys a nice 2 run homer for us to hit woo

lep · 06-19-16, 11:31 AM

Yes -130 laa/oak 1u

TechnicalTrader · 06-19-16, 01:23 PM

Hi lep,

first and foremost thank you for your time and picks. I've been following this thread quietly for a few weeks now and have put a lot of thought behind a strategy which filters out high % chances of teams scoring in the first. As you can see by my user name, I place bets strictly (or almost strictly) based on technical indicators. I follow trends, I look for breakouts and this has a lot to do with my experience trading fx.

I also (in my 30's) still play the game at a "higher" level overseas. I'm a catcher and I understand the game and how it is played.

With that said, I'd like to share my last few "trades". I don't gamble and I consider every bet a trade or an investment. I manage my payroll like a pro would in the fx or stock market. Here ya go:

Ticket

383007414-1	6/19/16 11:38am	$15.00	$12.50	$27.50	Win	6/19/16 1:30pm Props Baseball 2965 TOR/BAL score 1st inn yes -120* vs TOR/BAL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382845336-1	6/18/16 2:08pm	$15.00	$13.04	$28.04	Win	6/18/16 4:05pm Props Baseball 2925 CIN/HOU score 1st inn yes -115* vs CIN/HOU no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382831399-1	6/18/16 12:34pm	$15.00	$17.25	$32.25	Win	6/18/16 10:05pm Props Baseball 2909 WAS/SDG score 1st inn yes +115* vs WAS/SDG no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382831399-2	6/18/16 12:34pm	$15.00	$13.64	$0.00	Loss	6/18/16 4:00pm Props Baseball 2919 LAA/OAK score 1st inn yes -110* vs LAA/OAK no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382831399-3	6/18/16 12:34pm	$15.00	$14.29	$0.00	Loss	6/18/16 4:10pm Props Baseball 2929 TEX/STL score 1st inn yes -105* vs TEX/STL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382723843-1

	6/17/16 6:55pm	$15.00	$11.54	$26.54	Win	6/17/16 7:05pm Props Baseball 2967 SEA/BOS score 1st inn yes -130* vs SEA/BOS no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382671146-1	6/17/16 11:26am	$12.00	$12.60	$24.60	Win	6/17/16 2:15pm Props Baseball 2951 PIT/CUB score 1st inn yes +105* vs PIT/CUB no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382559153-1

6/16/16 5:11pm

$11.00

$7.33

$0.00

Loss

6/16/16 7:05pm Props Baseball 2913 BAL/BOS score 1st inn yes -150* vs BAL/BOS no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382509670-1

	6/16/16 10:33am	$11.00	$12.10	$23.10	Win	6/16/16 1:05pm Props Baseball 2909 SEA/TAM score 1st inn yes +110* vs SEA/TAM no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382507095-1	6/16/16 9:59am	$11.00	$10.48	$21.48	Win	6/16/16 12:05pm Props Baseball 2901 CIN/ATL score 1st inn yes -105* vs CIN/ATL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)


382383244-1	6/15/16 11:13am	$11.00	$12.10	$23.10	Win	6/15/16 7:05pm Props Baseball 2959 PIT/NYM scores 1st inn yes +110* vs PIT/NYM no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382378407-1

	6/15/16 10:35am	$11.00	$9.57	$20.57	Win	6/15/16 3:35pm Props Baseball 2951 MIA/SDG score 1st inn yes -115* vs MIA/SDG no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382378407-2	6/15/16 10:35am	$11.00	$12.10	$0.00	Loss	6/15/16 3:35pm Props Baseball 2953 LOS/ARI score 1st inn yes +110* vs LOS/ARI no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382378407-3	6/15/16 10:35am	$11.00	$10.48	$21.48	Win	6/15/16 7:05pm Props Baseball 2961 CIN/ATL score 1st inn yes -105* vs CIN/ATL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382378407-4

	6/15/16 10:35am	$11.00	$10.78	$0.00	Loss	6/15/16 7:05pm Props Baseball 2965 SEA/ TAM score 1st inn yes -102* vs SEA/ TAM no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382378407-5	6/15/16 10:35am	$11.00	$8.15	$19.15	Win	6/15/16 8:05pm Props Baseball 2967 DET/CWS score 1st inn yes -135* vs DET/CWS no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382378407-6	6/15/16 10:35am	$11.00	$10.48	$0.00	Loss	6/15/16 7:00pm Props Baseball 2977 TOR/PHI score 1st inn yes -105* vs TOR/PHI no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382247971-1	6/14/16 12:03pm	$8.00	$6.40	$14.40	Win	6/14/16 12:30pm Props Baseball 2925 PHI/TOR score 1st inn yes -125* vs PHI/TOR no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382241811-1	6/14/16 10:59am	$10.00	$9.09	$19.09	Win	6/14/16 7:05pm Props Baseball 2905 CIN/ATL score 1st inn yes -110* vs CIN/ATL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

382124095-1

	6/13/16 2:52pm	$10.00	$7.69	$17.69	Win	6/13/16 7:00pm Props Baseball 2952 CUB/WAS no score 1st inn -130* vs CUB/WAS score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
382124095-2	6/13/16 2:52pm	$10.00	$9.09	$19.09	Win	6/13/16 7:05pm Props Baseball 2953 CIN/ATL score 1st inn yes -110* vs CIN/ATL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382124095-3	6/13/16 2:52pm	$10.00	$10.50	$20.50	Win	6/13/16 10:05pm Props Baseball 2957 MIA/SDG score 1st inn yes +105* vs MIA/SDG no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382124095-4	6/13/16 2:52pm	$10.00	$8.00	$18.00	Win	6/13/16 10:00pm Props Baseball 2965 MIN/LAA score 1st inn yes -125* vs MIN/LAA no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
382124095-5	6/13/16 2:52pm	$10.00	$10.00	$20.00	Win	6/13/16 10:00pm Props Baseball 2967 TEX/OAK score 1st inn yes +100* vs TEX/OAK no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

381960640-1

6/12/16 12:37pm

$12.00

$9.60

$21.60

Win

6/12/16 2:05pm Props Baseball 2923 BOS/MIN score 1st inn yes -125* vs BOS/MIN no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

381786863-1

	6/11/16 12:14pm	$9.00	$7.20	$0.00	Loss	6/11/16 7:10pm Props Baseball 2960 LOS/SFO no score 1st inn -125* vs LOS/SFO score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
381786863-2	6/11/16 12:14pm	$9.00	$7.83	$16.83	Win	6/11/16 7:10pm Props Baseball 2962 STL/PIT no score 1st inn -115* vs STL/PIT score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)
381786863-3	6/11/16 12:14pm	$9.00	$7.50	$16.50	Win	6/11/16 2:05pm Props Baseball 2970 KAN/CWS no score 1st inn -120* vs KAN/CWS score 1st inn yes (Fixed Price)

381647175-1

6/10/16 5:27pm

$12.00

$9.60

$0.00

Loss

6/10/16 8:05pm Props Baseball 2921 BOS/MIN score 1st inn yes -125* vs BOS/MIN no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

These are all front testing results. I've backtested randomly over the last three years with almost the exact same hit rate of 69-73%. It looks like your hit rate is about the same, interesting stuff!

Well, good luck with your picks and keep them coming!!!

Cheers,
TT

intermission · 06-19-16, 03:15 PM

Winner again wow!!!!!!!

mohye1980 · 06-19-16, 03:16 PM

Cash money son!!!!

TanBanana · 06-19-16, 03:17 PM

Lep is other worldly.