Fade the Brewers thread

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  • PrinceD
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-08-15
    • 388

    #1
    Fade the Brewers thread
    Live in the area & this team is god awful. I'm looking to fade every single game this year. Let's do this!!

    SF-138

    Samardzija vs Jungman today
  • jimminn
    SBR MVP
    • 04-23-11
    • 1176

    #2
    On it, even if the brewers lost the first two games and maybe due for a win , I just don't think they will win too many this year.
    Comment
    • JohnD25
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-01-11
      • 395

      #3
      With Jeff on the mound I'm alittle hesitant just because of the bad spring he had. I especially don't like it with it being -138. My bookie has it at -140 and I am not touching it. If there was more value I may had considered it.
      Comment
      • tatddy
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-02-10
        • 10779

        #4
        Well let's assume the brewers will lose 92 games this year which is a bit more than projected by oddsmakers. Fading the crew ever game you'll be correct roughly 56 percent of the time. You'll also most likely be laying juice 90 percent of the time. To break EVEN fading the Crew every game you'll need to average opposing team juice of -127 for the year.

        Just something to keep in mind. You can fade Crew every game but if you're laying -140 to -150 on average you'll still lose.

        That said I'm sure you were kidding about fading every game.
        Comment
        • PrinceD
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-08-15
          • 388

          #5
          If the juice gets to be too much I probably wouldn't bet as much. Or just play it by what I'm feeling. What about playing the spread when it gets to be over -150??

          Thanks for the input!
          Comment
          • NJsportsGuy732
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-13-16
            • 146

            #6
            Back to back K's for Samardzija. Hopefully he's starting to settle in.
            Comment
            • meader99
              SBR MVP
              • 10-30-10
              • 4223

              #7
              Brewers used to hit Sammy hard when he was a cub.
              Comment
              • NJsportsGuy732
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-13-16
                • 146

                #8
                Posey sac fly ties it up. Let's go boys! #BrewersFade
                Comment
                • PrinceD
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-08-15
                  • 388

                  #9
                  Brewers bullpen is terrible.
                  Comment
                  • irish1
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-25-12
                    • 4837

                    #10
                    Braves, brewers and phillies worst teams in the game. Fade when opposing teams aces are on the mound! Even then, nothing is a lock. Look at the Nationals, Scherzer pitched against the Braves and they won but it went to extra innngs. That must have been a real sweat job for alot of people that day.
                    Comment
                    • JohnD25
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-01-11
                      • 395

                      #11
                      Actually like the Phillies today at +115, should had won on Monday if it wasn't for the bullpen. Nola pitching today!
                      Comment
                      • PrinceD
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-08-15
                        • 388

                        #12
                        Of course they win.

                        Back at it against the Astros Friday.
                        Comment
                        • PrinceD
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-08-15
                          • 388

                          #13
                          Here we go! Another crack at it!!

                          Houston -123
                          Comment
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