2016 SDQL Plays

[TechnicalTrader]

Yesterday's results: 3-4 - 1.65 units
Season to date: 426-402-14 + 3.82 units

Winners: Red Sox, Jays under and Phillies RL

Losers: Phillies ML, Phillies over, Angels blew it and Orioles too

Alex, I really really love your work and am a big fan of SDQL but do you think it would be possible to be a bit more selective with your picks and possibly filter out some of the losing bets? Have you gone through your past bets and noticed any trends? Do certain bets win more often than others?

You have put down around 800 bets but are only up 3.82 units. don't get me wrong, i love your thread and check in on it a few times a day, was just wondering if you could possibly get better results by dropping certain types of bets.

Anyway, keep up the great, dedicated work! I really, really appreciate it!

Cheers,
TT

[Alex Vaile]

Play Twins + 116

team = Twins and A and line<=120 and 6<= po:runs and p:A and date >= 20130527

Twins 14-4 SU 16-2 RL in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Athletics + 185
Play Athletics RL + 120
Play Cubs vs Athletics Over 8.5 -105

p:WADX and site = home and FGS and streak < 4 and o:streak > -2

57-22 SU in this spot
34-23 RL

And

t:team = Cubs and A and F and date >= 20160421

Cubs 24/12 o/u in this spot

And

H and not C and season>=2016

ROI 10% 200 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Alex, I really really love your work and am a big fan of SDQL but do you think it would be possible to be a bit more selective with your picks and possibly filter out some of the losing bets? Have you gone through your past bets and noticed any trends? Do certain bets win more often than others?

You have put down around 800 bets but are only up 3.82 units. don't get me wrong, i love your thread and check in on it a few times a day, was just wondering if you could possibly get better results by dropping certain types of bets.

Anyway, keep up the great, dedicated work! I really, really appreciate it!

Cheers,
TT

Hey TechnicalTrader thanks for the message. I've answered this before in post # 1293. In any case you're probably right. I could most likely be a little less up and down if I lessened the sheer number of plays. I play them all for 1 unit so I am still up after 800 plays been a good run. Hope I can press back up to + 10, 20 and 30 units!

[Alex Vaile]

Play Giants + 137

AD and (SG = 1 or SG = 3) and playoffs = 0 and streak > -4 and -8 < o:streak < 6 and -7 < p:margin < 10 and -10 < op:margin < 9 and p:runs < 13 and op:runs != 0 and p:hits > 1 and 3 < op:hits < 15 and op:doubles < 6 and p:triples < 3 and op:triples < 2 and p:SO > 3 and 2 < op:SO < 17 and 3 < p:ground balls < 21 and 2 < op:ground balls < 24 and p:fly balls < 16 and 2 < op:fly balls < 16 and op:BPRA < 9 and 1.5 < p:SIP < 8.1 and 1.9 < op:SIP < 8.5 and 33 < p:SPT < 116 and 48 < op:SPT < 111 and op:SHF < 34 and 27 < p:batters faced < 46 and 28 < op:batters faced < 57 and p:at bats + p:walks < 48 and op:at bats + op:walks < 46 and 0 < p:TLOB < 12 and 0 < op:TLOB < 13 and (14 > site streak > 5 or -1 > site streak > -12) and (1 < o:site streak < 10 or -11 < o:site streak < -5) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:RMAX < 8 and op:R1 < 5 and op:R2 < 4 and op:R3 < 3 and p:errors < 3 and op:errors < 4 and os:SHA < 12 and os:SRA < 7 and 0 < os:SWA < 5 and s:SPT > 83 and starter rest < 12 and s:SIP > 4.9 and s:SHF > 21 and s:SSO < 10 and op:BL < 8 and 2 < p:PU < 7 and -39 < tS(margin, N=10) - oS(margin, N=10) < 32 and oS(HR, N=10) > 4 and 3 < tS(HR, N=10) < 19 and oS(doubles, N=10) < 29 and tS(hits, N=10) > 63 and 65 < oS(hits, N=10) < 105 and line < 225 and day != Sunday and oss:SHA < 11 and oss:SHRA < 3 and game number > 24 and tS(margin, N=20) - oS(margin, N=20) < 43 and tS(hits, N=20) - oS(hits, N=20) < 27

ROI 41% 520 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Brewers + 105

team=Diamondbacks and SG=1 and p:BPRA>1 and date>=20160512

Dbacks 0-11 SU in this spot

And

team=Brewers and D and o:STDSSOPW<2 and SG=1 and date>=20130809

Brewers 10-2 SU 10-2 RL

[Alex Vaile]

Play Indians + 104

p:HL and p:hits > po:hits and 125 > line >= -160 and SG = 1 and rest = 0 and o:rest = 0 and 9 >= total >= 6.5

ROI 24% 180 game sample

[thekoreanmang]

Hey TechnicalTrader thanks for the message. I've answered this before in post # 1293

Don't think post #1293 really answers this. It just says you have good runs and bad runs. It doesn't respond to narrowing bet volume.

In any case, press on. Bets look good for tonight.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rangers + 169
Play Rangers RL -120

team=Astros and F and s:runs<3 and date>=20150815

Astros 12-20 SU 3-29 RL

[Alex Vaile]

Don't think post #1293 really answers this. It just says you have good runs and bad runs. It doesn't respond to narrowing bet volume.

In any case, press on. Bets look good for tonight.

I added a little answer.

[bking79]

Alex wat we got for today

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 2-9 - 7.37 units
Season to date: 428-411 - 3.55 units

Winners: As over and Twins

Losers: As ML and RL, Indians, Giants, Brewers, Rangers ML and RL, Dodgers ML and RL

[Alex Vaile]

Saturday:

Play Blue Jays -132

team = Blue Jays and SG > 1 and p:HR > po:HR and p:SRA<4 and p:line<=-125 and line<-120 and date >= 20150729

23-2 SU in this spot

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

8.9% 500 game sample

And

s:SRA < 2 and 5 > ss:SRA > 0 and sss:SRA < 4 and ssss:SRA < 6 and 0 < sssss:SRA < 8 and os:SRA < 5 and SG < 4 and day != Tuesday and day != Thursday and 4 < starter rest < 10 and o:starter rest < 11 and 161 > game number > 27 and line > -165 and 2 > p:margin > -9 and 11.2 > tA(hits, N=10) > 6.7 and 6.2 < oA(hits, N=10) < 11.3 and STDSWHIP > .948 and ss:SPT > 67 and 40 < oss:SPT < 113 and tA(doubles, N=10) < 2.5 and tA(errors, N=10) > .1 and .3 < oA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.6 and tA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.8

ROI 24% 570 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Giants vs Nationals Over 8 - 110

team = Nationals and line<=-135 and s:W and ss:W and date >= 20160424

Nats 19/2 o/u in this spot

And

team=Giants and AD and SG>1 and p:ADL and season =2016

Small sample but all went over 3/0 o/u

[Alex Vaile]

Play Cubs vs Athletics Under 7.5 - 113

team = Athletics and H and p:HD and p:TLOB < 5 and date >= 20130518

0/10 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Padres - 107

team = Phillies and line>-120 and p:hits<=6 and po:runs>3 and season=2016

Phillies 1-17 SU 4-14 RL in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rays - 141

H and -8 > (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -14 and day != Wednesday and day != Thursday and day != Friday and 6 > s:SRA > 0 and p:hits < 13 and total > 6.5 and (1.4 > STDSWHIP>1.1 or tA(runs) > 4.8)

ROI 22% 300 game sample

And

team=Rays and HF and SG>1 and p:L and p:BPRA>=2 and day=Saturday

12-5 SU including winning 9 of last 11 in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Nationals RL - 108

team=Giants and A and p:LOB<10 and date>=20150630


Giants 3-15 SU 5-13 RL in this spot

And

Strasburg 3-1 SU and RL and o/u against Giants

Cain 1-1 SU with loss coming against Strasburg

[Alex Vaile]

Play Red Sox vs Dodgers Under 8.5 -110

team=Dodgers and HF and season=2016

14/35 o/u this season at home as fav

And

team = Dodgers and H and 5 <= po:walks and p:L and date >= 20140425

o/u 4/11 in this spot Dodgers 5-10 SU 1-14 RL

[Alex Vaile]

'Play Dbacks - 137

Sum(hits@team and season) / Sum(at bats@team and season) <= .255 and 5.7 >= o:STDSERA >= 5.2 and day = Saturday and 2009 <= season and -145 < line <= 170 and conference = o:conference

ROI 18% 50-79

And

league = o:league and WP < 50 and o:WP < 50 and streak <= -2 and o:streak >= 1 and AWP > o:HWP and AD and season > 2010 and month > 4

ROI 26% 15-36 SU

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 4-3-1 + .23 units
Season to date: 432-414-15 - 3.32 units

Winners: Padres, As under, Dodgers under and Rays

Losers: Nats RL, Dbacks and Jays and Giants over pushed

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 7.5 + 105 Reds vs Pirates

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)

ROI 25% 650 game sample

And

team=Reds and line>=170 and SG=SGS and p:LOB <=op:LOB

Reds 6/28 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Cubs vs Athletics Over 8 +105

H and not C and season>=2016

ROI 10% 200 game sample. Wind blowing out to right

[Alex Vaile]

Play Blue Jays - 150

team=Blue Jays and line <-135 and p:SO>=10 and SG>1 and date>=20090925

Jays 27-3 SU in this spot

And

team=Royals and HD and date>=20160708

Royals 2-7 SU in this spot


I'm going with Jays to win the series.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Giants - 129

starter =Madison Bumgarner and AF and p:W and pp:L and LGS

Giants 6-1 in this spot winning last 6 in a row as away favorite in last game of series with Bum on mound

And

team=Nationals and LGS and -120 <=line <=120 and p:HF and p:BPRA>1 and date>=20040522

Nats 0-14 SU in this spot

[thekoreanmang]

Rough...

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 0-4 - 4.79 units
Season to date: 432-418-15 - 8.11 units

Losers: everyone!!

[Alex Vaile]

Rough...

Yup for sure. Rough lately!!

[Alex Vaile]

Monday:

Play Under 8 -105 Phillies vs Dodgers

team=Dodgers and F and p:MRI>1 and date>=20151009

Dodgers 2/27 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 10.5 -110 Rangers vs Rockies

starter= Cole Hamels and F and s:SIP>=6 and s:runs allowed <=3 and date>=20150902

Hamel's teams 12/0 o/u in this spot

And

H and not C and season>=2016

ROI 9.5% 220 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 9 + 105 Reds vs Cardinals

team=Reds and AD and total=9 and season =2016

0-7 SU 5-1-1 o/u

And

team=Cardinals and o:team=Reds and season =2016

Cards 5/3 o/u in this spot

Cards with total of 9 are 2/1 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Orioles - 147
Play Orioles RL + 115

team=Orioles and line <=-140 and Orioles:Chris Davis: p:HR>0 and date>=20140830

Orioles 15-0 SU in this spot

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 8.6% 500 game sample

And

p:RMAX > 5 and AF and month!=4 and p:A and n:series game<4 and total>7

ROI 13% ML
ROI 33% RL

[Alex Vaile]

Play Giants + 132
Play Giants RL - 160
Play Under 6.5 -120 Giants vs Marlins

team = Marlins and line<=-140 and p:MRI > 1 and SG = 1 and date >= 20090814

Marlins 8-9 SU 1-16 RL in this spot

And

total<=7 and Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=245 and conference=NL and (p:runs+po:runs)<=2 and 2011<=season

ROI 15% 250 game sample

And

team=Giants and AD and SG=1 and total=6.5

Giants 6-5 SU 8-3 RL 5/6 o/u including last 5 games in this spot went under total

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 2-5-1 -3.5 units
Season to date: 434-419-16 - 11.61 units

Winners: Giants ML and RL

Losers: Giants under, Orioles ML and RL, Rockies over and Dodgers under and Cards over pushed

[Alex Vaile]

Tuesday:

Play Blue Jays - 187
Play Jays RL + 110

team = Blue Jays and SG > 1 and H and line <= -135 and po:TLOB < p:TLOB and tS(1@month=7 and rest>2) = 1.0 and date>=20100912

Jays 25-1 SU 21-5 RL