2016 SDQL Plays

[Alex Vaile]

Play Twins vs White Sox Over 9 -105

team=Twins and D and 6<=o:starter rest<=7 and 20160415<=date

13/5 o/u in this spot

And

team=White Sox and H and o:team=Twins and date>=20140331

15/7 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 9 -110 Reds vs Nationals

team=Nationals and H and -170>line and season=2016

Nats 10/2 o/u in this spot as big favs at home this year.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Dodgers -135

team=Brewers and LGS and HD and p:W and o:team=Dodgers

Brewers 0-4 SU in this spot to Dodgers

And

team = Brewers and LGS and D and po:runs = 0 and
date >= 20040926

0-17 SU in this spot not great spot for them after shutting out opponent. Davies has been on fire 6-2 last 8 starts but Maeda just as hot except last outing

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 9 -105 Indians vs Blue Jays

team=Blue Jays and HD and o:team=Indians

Jays 2/6 o/u in this spot

And

starter=Carlos Carrasco and AF

Indians 8/13 o/u in this spot

And

starter=RA Dickey and HD

Dickey 15/21 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Cubs -127

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 13%

And

team =Mets and D and p:A and p:SO>p:hits and date>=20150512

Mets 0-19 SU in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Orioles + 101
Play Orioles RL-200
Play Orioles vs Mariners Over 8 -105

team = Orioles and A and 12 <= p:hits and p:AW and SG = 1 and date >= 20080815

Orioles 17-0 RL 13-3 SU and 13/3/1 o/u in this spot

And

team=Orioles and Adam Jones: p:hits>1 and date>20150920

Orioles 14-7 SU 13-8 RL And 16/5 o/u in this spot

And

team = Mariners and F and po:runs>=6 and SG = 1 and date >= 20140825

Mariners 3-9 SU and 1-11 RL in this spot

And

team = Mariners and HF and p:HPR>=3 and p:L and SG = 1 and date >= 20110912

Mariners 6-8 SU and 2-12 RL in this spot. Orioles swinging the bats well and Walker coming off DL

[FlyinAir]

I like 'em , best of luck

[Alex Vaile]

Thanks Flyin

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results: 5-4 - .27 units
Season to date: 286-256-11 + 19.29

Winners: White Sox ML and over, Dodgers, Jays under and Nats over

Losers: White Sox RL, Orioles ML and RL, Cubs and Orioles Over pushed

[snapperman2]

I don't think that you can win with this kind of analysis. You can always find what look like patterns even in random data if you look long enough, if you try enough combinations. Your sample sizes are too small to be meaningful.

[Alex Vaile]

I don't think that you can win with this kind of analysis. You can always find what look like patterns even in random data if you look long enough, if you try enough combinations. Your sample sizes are too small to be meaningful.

Thanks for your opinion. If you look beyond certain queries w small samples you ll see some with 500 to 1000 games. Also I seem to be doing just fine and have for last 2.5 years. Not sure what made you pop in this thread but you can contribute or find another place to be negative in. Up 20 Units currently and have been up to 30 and up and down. I think it's doing just fine. Best of luck to u! Also with over 40000 views your opinion doesn't seem to be reflective of most.

[BiffTFinancial]

I'll chime in. While i get the point about small sample size for some queries, the sample size that is not small is the one that involves making roughly 550 plays and being quite profitable in the process. Good day all and of course BOL Alex and great work maintaining a solid thread that is both profitable and transparent. There are about 10 places i visit daily and this thread is one (LT's thread is another).

[Alex Vaile]

let's have a great day!

[Alex Vaile]

Friday:

Play Indians + 126

team = Indians and SG > 1 and A and p:F and p:TLOB<7 and -3 <=p:margin<=3 and date >= 20130721

Indians 15-2 SU in this spot

And

starter=Josh Tomlin and s:runs>6 and
date>=20150830

Indians 10-0 SU after scoring 6 + runs in his last start

Also Indians on 13 game winning streak so tough to go against that even on Canada Day

[Alex Vaile]

Play Braves -114

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 9% 1200 game sample!!!!!

[Alex Vaile]

Play Cubs -113

s:SRA < 2 and 5 > ss:SRA > 0 and sss:SRA < 4 and ssss:SRA < 6 and 0 < sssss:SRA < 8 and os:SRA < 5 and SG < 4 and day != Tuesday and day != Thursday and 4 < starter rest < 10 and o:starter rest < 11 and 161 > game number > 27 and line > -165 and 2 > p:margin > -9 and 11.2 > tA(hits, N=10) > 6.7 and 6.2 < oA(hits, N=10) < 11.3 and STDSWHIP > .948 and ss:SPT > 67 and 40 < oss:SPT < 113 and tA(doubles, N=10) < 2.5 and tA(errors, N=10) > .1 and .3 < oA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.6 and tA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.8

ROI 24% 566 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Giants - 162
Play Giants RL + 100

team=Giants and line <=-120 and p:runs>=6 and p:MRI>=1 and date>=20150627

Giants 22-2 SU 16-8 RL in this spot

And

p:RMAX > 5 and AF and month!=4 and p:A and n:series game<4 and total>7

ROI ML 13%
ROI RL 33%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Tigers - 118

p:RMAX > 5 and AF and month!=4 and p:A and n:series game<4 and total>7

ROI ML 13%
ROI RL 33%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Orioles - 111

team=Mariners and H and -120 <=line<=120 and po:BL=0 and p:W and date>=20130927

Mariners 4-17 in this spot

And

team=Mariners and H and p:W and op:BL=0 and season>2012

Mariners 19-47 SU after a home win in which their opponent never lead

Gausman terrible on the road but I think after yesterday Orioles should bounce back.

[Alex Vaile]

I'll chime in. While i get the point about small sample size for some queries, the sample size that is not small is the one that involves making roughly 550 plays and being quite profitable in the process. Good day all and of course BOL Alex and great work maintaining a solid thread that is both profitable and transparent. There are about 10 places i visit daily and this thread is one (LT's thread is another).

Thanks Biff! I have also enjoyed your thread and have picked up some good insights. Cheers!

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 4-3 + .9 units
Season to date: 290-259-11 + 20.19 units

Winners: Giants ML and RL, Tigers and Indians in a marathon

Losers: Orioles, Braves and Cubs

[Alex Vaile]

Play Tigers -125
Play Tigers RL + 140

AF and total>7 and p:SII>=4 and p:hits>12 and WP>50 and season>=2011 and pp:SII<4 and conference=AL and SG>1

ROI ML 27%
ROI RL 32%

And

A and A(starter whip@starter and season, N=3)<2.50 and A(o:starter whip@o:starter and o:season, N=3)>=2.25 and 2012<=season and line<=160 and rest=0 and 9.5>=total>=8 and month!=8

ROI ML 26%
ROI RL 12%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Nationals -200
Play Nationals RL + 102

team=Nationals and HF and p:SO>=10 and date>=20140914

21-4 SU
13-12 RL

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI ML 9%
ROI RL 5% 1300 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Reds vs Nationals Under 8.5 -102

H and tS(o:runs<5,N=3) = 3 and op:margin = -1 and total > 8 and season>2009

ROI 17% under w 200 game sample

And

H and 10 >= total >= 8 and po:runs <= 4 and ppo:runs <= 4 and pppo:runs < 4 and op:L and op:margin = -1 and 2010<=season and rest = 0 and month!=8

ROI 15% under 200 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 8 -110 Brewers vs Cardinars

team = Cardinals and H and p:F and po:BL = 0 and date >= 20150801 and p:runs>2

Cards 13/1 o/u in this spot

And

team = Cardinals and F and p: F and Cardinals:Matt Carpenter: p:hits > 1 and date >= 20150830 and Cardinals:Matt Carpenter: p:at bats<5

Cards 11/3 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 9.5 -105 Rangers vs Twins

team = Rangers and p:SO >= 10 and p:A and SG > 1 and date >= 20150520

Rangers 2/16 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rockies vs Dodgers Under 8 -120

team=Dodgers and H and season=2016

Dodgers 11/27 o/u in this season at home

And

team = Dodgers and H and DIV and WP > o:WP
and date >= 20160412

Dodgers 0/10/1 o/u when playing a divisional opponent with a lower winning percentage

[Alex Vaile]

Play Marlins -265
Play Marlins RL -140

starter =Lucas Harrell and date>=20130504

Harrell just trash 3-16 SU since 2013

And

team=Braves and 6<=po:runs and SG>1 and date>=20150819

Braves 4-25 in this spot

And

team = Braves and p:H and 12 <= po:hits and date
>= 20150829

Braves 0-10 SU in this spot

[FlyinAir]

Keep plugging these away Alex, you are not ignored!

[Alex Vaile]

Marlins getting whooped. Nice 4 unit loss

[Alex Vaile]

Keep plugging these away Alex, you are not ignored!

Hey flyin!

[Alex Vaile]

Play Pirates + 142


team=Athletics and F and p:SO>p:hits and date>=20150619 (SDQG)

As 0-15 SU in this spot

And

team=Athletics and HF and SG>1 and p:L and date>= 20150822

As 3-6 SU in this spot
As as fav not great. Pirates also not great as AD afterms an away dog win. Rich Hill coming off DL I'm thinking Pirates get it together

[Alex Vaile]

Play Giants -105

team=Giants and A and o:STL and o:team=Diamondbacks

Giants have won 4 of last 5 against Diamondbacks lefties and 12 of last 14 at Arizona.

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 13% 19-6 last 25 games

[Alex Vaile]

3-9 damn. Those big - 200s killing me lately. I think I'll take a break from those. Well it happens to me you guys have seen that.

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results: 3-9 - 7.85 units
Season to date: 293-268-11 + 12.34 units

Winners: Tigers ML, Pirates and Dodgers Under

Losers: Marlins RL and ML, Nats RL and ML, Nats Under, Rangers under, Giants another bullpen meltdown, Cards over and Tigers RL.

Today were some dumb picks no other way around it. On to the next 1!