2016 SDQL Plays

[Alex Vaile]

Play Twins - 114

A and A(starter whip@starter and season, N=3)<2.50 and A(o:starter whip@o:starter and o:season, N=3)>=2.25 and 2012<=season and line<=160 and rest=0 and 9.5>=total>=8 and month!=8

ROI 30%

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 4-2 + 1.66 units
Season to date: 171-40-3 + 28.16 units

Winners: Jays, Giants, Nats Under, and Marlins

Losers: Twins and Orioles

[InsaneStre4k]

Lamb making first career start@coors , Ump is overish and p:HR>=7 and 2007<=season . O/U is 66% 25%ROI

Chatwood is bad off a shut tout (starter=Tyler Chatwood and H and s:starter earned runs=0 and starter rest=5) opp TT=7.4 runs

like COL-CIN O1St5 and COL OTT.

[InsaneStre4k]

line<=-191 and A and division=o:division and rest=0 and total in [7.5,8] and o:team=po:team

36%ROI ML and 39%ROI RL

will take WAS -0.5 1st half and WAS OTT

[Alex Vaile]

WEDNESDAY:

Play Red Sox -113

p:errors = 0 and op:errors = 1 and (H or SG > 1) and SG < 5 and SGS > 2 and SGS - SG < 3 and (H or day != Saturday) and ((H and -215 < line < 142) or (A and -200 < line < 175)) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:HR < 3 and p:runs > 2 and p:margin > -2 and 12 > pp:margin > -9 and streak < 5 and -7 < o:streak < 3 and p:SO < 14 and game number > 13 and -21 < tS(margin, N=10) < 29 and -30 < oS(margin, N=10) < 26 and s:SHA > 1 and s:SWA < 6 and s:SSO < 11 and s:SIP > 1.9 and s:SHF > 21 and s:SPT < 121 and 4 < starter rest < 17 and os:SRA < 7 and os:SWA < 6 and 20 < os:SHF < 33 and os:SIP < 8.1 and o:starter rest < 10 and op:runs < 9 and opp:runs < 13 and oppp:runs < 11 and oS(runs, N=10) > 21 and tS(HR, N=10) < 19 and tS(walks, N=10) > 16 and 42 < tS(SO, N=10) < 86 and site streak > -10 and o:site streak > -8 and op:SII < 5 and p:RMAX > 1 and oss:SHF > 13 and oss:SPT > 73 and -5 < tS(W, N=10) - oS(W, N=10) < 6 and -8 < tS(errors, N=10) - oS(errors, N=10) < 6 and opp:RMAX < 5

ROI 24%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Marlins -111

s:SRA < 2 and 5 > ss:SRA > 0 and sss:SRA < 4 and ssss:SRA < 6 and 0 < sssss:SRA < 8 and os:SRA < 5 and SG < 4 and day != Tuesday and day != Thursday and 4 < starter rest < 10 and o:starter rest < 11 and 161 > game number > 27 and line > -165 and 2 > p:margin > -9 and 11.2 > tA(hits, N=10) > 6.7 and 6.2 < oA(hits, N=10) < 11.3 and STDSWHIP > .948 and ss:SPT > 67 and 40 < oss:SPT < 113 and tA(doubles, N=10) < 2.5 and tA(errors, N=10) > .1 and .3 < oA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.6 and tA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.8

ROI 25%

And

team=Marlins and line -120 <= line <=120 and p:BL>=2 and date>=20150901

Marlins 20-10 SU in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Lamb making first career start@coors , Ump is overish and p:HR>=7 and 2007<=season . O/U is 66% 25%ROI

Chatwood is bad off a shut tout (starter=Tyler Chatwood and H and s:starter earned runs=0 and starter rest=5) opp TT=7.4 runs

like COL-CIN O1St5 and COL OTT.

Nice finds InsaneStre4k

[Alex Vaile]

Play Royals - 117

team = Royals and H and po:BL > 0 and p:W and SG > 1 and date >= 20150707


Royals 15-2 SU in this spot

And

team=Rays and o:STL and season=2016

Rays 7-7 SU but have lost 4 of last 5 games against Left handed starters.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 7.5 -120 Rays vs Royals

HF and p:HD and p:margin > 4

ROI 13%

And

team=Rays and p:F and p:SII<po:SII and
date>=20150909

Rays 0/10/3 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Padres RL -130

team = Mariners and F and p:SII >= 5 and date >= 20140816

Mariners 0-12 against RL in this spot

And

team = Mariners and AF and o:STL and season=2016

1-2 against RL this season and with pitching change I think Pads should be able to keep it close.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Blue Jays - 106
Play Yankees vs Blue Jays Under 8 - 115

team=Blue Jays and H and SG=3 and o:team=Yankees

Jays 21-11 SU in this spot including 5 straight wins and 13 of last 16 in this spot

And

starter=Masahiro Tanaka and A and s:W and ss:W and date>=20140514

Yankees 0/10 o/u in this spot

[JBEX]

been following along past couple of weeks and even if it wasn't going well (which is not the case here) love the methodology ..keep up the great work and thanks for sharing!

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 5-2 + 2.67 units
Season to date: 176-142-3 + 30.83 units

Winners: Royals, Pads RL, Jays and Jays under, and Marlins

Losers: Royals under and Red Sox ML

[Alex Vaile]

been following along past couple of weeks and even if it wasn't going well (which is not the case here) love the methodology ..keep up the great work and thanks for sharing!

Right on bud thanks for the kind words!

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 12 + 100 Reds vs Rockies

team=Reds and line>=170 and SG=SGS and p:LOB <=op:LOB

Reds 4/26 o/u in this spot

And

team = Reds and line>160 and po:BL = 0 and p:W and SG > 1 and date >= 20080605

Reds 0/16 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Astros -135

team=Diamondbacks and SG>1 and p:AD and po:BPRA>po:SRA and p:runs <=12 and po:SIP<=7 and date>=20130606

Dbacks 2-18 SU in this spot

And

conference=NL and o:conference=AL and A and 230>=line>-105 and month<8 and 9.5>=total>=7

ROI 7% 950 game sample

[FUqer]

Nice job Alex.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 9.5 -113 Red Sox vs Orioles


team=Red Sox and LGS and STDSERA< o:STDSERA and season >=2015

Red Sox 14/4 o/u in this spot

And

Orioles:Adam Jones: p:hits>1 and date>=20150920

Orioles 11/0 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Red Sox -123
Play Red Sox RL + 135

AF and total>7 and p:SII>=4 and p:hits>12 and WP>50 and season>=2011 and pp:SII<4 and conference=AL and SG>1

ROI ML 31%
ROI RL 40%

And

A and A(starter whip@starter and season, N=3)<2.50 and A(o:starter whip@o:starter and o:season, N=3)>=2.25 and 2012<=season and line<=160 and rest=0 and 9.5>=total>=8 and month!=8

ROI 29%

And

team=Red Sox and p:AL and p:SF and date>=20140902

Red Sox 16-3 SU in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Nice job Alex.

Thanks Fuqer

[Alex Vaile]

Play Indians RL +115

HF and WP>44 and p:HWX and p:IL>5 and season>=2011

ROI RL 45%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Marlins + 112

(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7

ROI 27%

And

team=Pirates and p: D and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816

Pirates 0-11 SU in this spot

And

team=Marlins and line -120 <= line <=120 and p:BL>=2 and date>=20150901

Marlins 21-10 SU in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results: 2-5 - 3.46 units
Season to date: 178-147-3 + 27.37 units

Winners: Marlins and Red Sox over

Losers: Red Sox ML and RL, Reds under, Indians RL, and Astros

[Alex Vaile]

Friday:

Play Under 7 + 109 Mets vs Marlins
Play Marlins +175
Play Marlins RL +105

team = Marlins and D and p:HD and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20130821

Marlins 0/16 o/u in this spot

And

team=Marlins and D and p:HW and SG=1 and p:margin=1 and p:SIP>5 and date>=20070914

Marlins 15-1 SU in this spot And 15-1 against RL

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 8 -110 Yankees vs Orioles

H and month > 5 and season>2009 and 1.2 > tA(BPRA) > .6 and 8>(s:SRA-os:SRA)>-4 and (p:hits + os:walks)<15 and month!=8 and s:SRA<6 and os:SRA<5 and 30.7>(p:SIP + pp:SIP + ppp:SIP + pppp:SIP)>18.7 and (op:SIP + opp:SIP + oppp:SIP + opppp:SIP)>19.4 and total>6.4 and p: ou margin>-6.6 and streak<5 and o: streak<6 and -8 < o: ou streak<4 and os:SPT<123 and team!=Twins and team!=Red Sox and o:team!=Indians and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO + ssss:SSO)>9 and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO)<26 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO +ossss:SSO +osssss:SSO)>13 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO +ossss:SSO)<31

ROI 21%

And

HF and p:HD and p:margin > 4

ROI 12%

And

team=Yankees and SG=1 and A and WP<o:WP and date>=20150625

Yanks 0/10 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 7 + 100 Braves vs Dodgers

H and month > 5 and season>2009 and 1.2 > tA(BPRA) > .6 and 8>(s:SRA-os:SRA)>-4 and (p:hits + os:walks)<15 and month!=8 and s:SRA<6 and os:SRA<5 and 30.7>(p:SIP + pp:SIP + ppp:SIP + pppp:SIP)>18.7 and (op:SIP + opp:SIP + oppp:SIP + opppp:SIP)>19.4 and total>6.4 and p: ou margin>-6.6 and streak<5 and o: streak<6 and -8 < o: ou streak<4 and os:SPT<123 and team!=Twins and team!=Red Sox and o:team!=Indians and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO + ssss:SSO)>9 and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO)<26 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO +ossss:SSO +osssss:SSO)>13 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO +ossss:SSO)<31

ROI 21 %

[Alex Vaile]

Play Padres -142

Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=.250 and t:conference=NL and p:runs>=8 and pp:runs>=8 and 2006<=season and 150>=line>=-250 and SG<4

ROI 32%

And

team=Rockies and SG=1 and p:margin<=-5 and date>=20130927

Rockies 0-14 SU in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Astros -146
Play Astros RL +135

team = Astros and H and p:H and p:SII < po:SII and date >= 20150513

Astros 19-1 SU and 16-4 against RL

[Alex Vaile]

Play Giants -112
Play Giants RL + 160

p:RMAX > 5 and AF and month!=4 and p:A and n:series game<4 and total>7

ROI ML 13%
ROI RL 32%

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 16%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Angels + 146

AD and (SG = 1 or SG = 3) and playoffs = 0 and streak > -4 and -8 < o:streak < 6 and -7 < p:margin < 10 and -10 < op:margin < 9 and p:runs < 13 and op:runs != 0 and p:hits > 1 and 3 < op:hits < 15 and op:doubles < 6 and p:triples < 3 and op:triples < 2 and p:SO > 3 and 2 < op:SO < 17 and 3 < p:ground balls < 21 and 2 < op:ground balls < 24 and p:fly balls < 16 and 2 < op:fly balls < 16 and op:BPRA < 9 and 1.5 < p:SIP < 8.1 and 1.9 < op:SIP < 8.5 and 33 < p:SPT < 116 and 48 < op:SPT < 111 and op:SHF < 34 and 27 < p:batters faced < 46 and 28 < op:batters faced < 57 and p:at bats + p:walks < 48 and op:at bats + op:walks < 46 and 0 < p:TLOB < 12 and 0 < op:TLOB < 13 and (14 > site streak > 5 or -1 > site streak > -12) and (1 < o:site streak < 10 or -11 < o:site streak < -5) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:RMAX < 8 and op:R1 < 5 and op:R2 < 4 and op:R3 < 3 and p:errors < 3 and op:errors < 4 and os:SHA < 12 and os:SRA < 7 and 0 < os:SWA < 5 and s:SPT > 83 and starter rest < 12 and s:SIP > 4.9 and s:SHF > 21 and s:SSO < 10 and op:BL < 8 and 2 < p:PU < 7 and -39 < tS(margin, N=10) - oS(margin, N=10) < 32 and oS(HR, N=10) > 4 and 3 < tS(HR, N=10) < 19 and oS(doubles, N=10) < 29 and tS(hits, N=10) > 63 and 65 < oS(hits, N=10) < 105 and line < 225 and day != Sunday and oss:SHA < 11 and oss:SHRA < 3 and game number > 24 and tS(margin, N=20) - oS(margin, N=20) < 43 and tS(hits, N=20) - oS(hits, N=20) < 27

ROI 41%

[lanyard90]

I like the Angels as well.. Good luck

[lanyard90]

Also took Marlins & Astros TT

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 7-4 + 3.31 units
Season to date: 185-151-3 + 30.68 units

Winners: Giants ML and RL, Astros ML and RL, Padres, Angels and Dodgers under

Losers: Marlins ML, RL and under and Yankees under

[Alex Vaile]

I like the Angels as well.. Good luck

Angels and Houston TT solid plays. Nice day unfortunately Marlins bullpen blew it as usual.

[BOA12]

Great season. bol vaile