iloseagain's' MLB thread

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 12:10 AM

cmon hembree you bum. I would bring someone in here for 1 pitch.. Just bring Layne in and toss a heater right down the middle and hope for the best

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 12:11 AM

GNIGHT!!

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 12:14 AM

4/24
Rays EV*
Cle -1.5 -105*
Tor -1.5 +105**
Tor TT o5.5 +110*
Pit/Ari u8.5 -115*
Rocks/LAD o11 -110*
Wash -1.5 +125*
Cws -2.5 +245 0.5x
Red Sox o9 -110**
Sox -110***
Sox -1.5 +160*
Sox TT o4.5 -105*

10-2 +12.88x

Overall 135-111 +20.09x

**Sandrone92** · 04-25-16, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

4/24
Rays EV*
Cle -1.5 -105*
Tor -1.5 +105**
Tor TT o5.5 +110*
Pit/Ari u8.5 -115*
Rocks/LAD o11 -110*
Wash -1.5 +125*
Cws -2.5 +245 0.5x
Red Sox o9 -110**
Sox -110***
Sox -1.5 +160*
Sox TT o4.5 -105*

10-2 +12.88x

Overall total before 4/24 135-111 +20.09x

Very good day ilose!!! GL

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 12:29 AM

Bal/TB o7.5 -120**
Bal +110*

Getting this in before it goes up.. Balt should tee off on archer.

Min/Cle u8 -120** (Cle struggle against lefties. Min struggles against everyone. Salazar should have no issue shutting these bums down)
Sea/Hou u8 -110*

**BOA12** · 04-25-16, 10:24 AM

Great day again playing BAL+1.5 bol

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 10:48 AM

Balt line actually moved to u7.5 -125. That is very surprising. They think archer gets it going finally against one of the best lineups in baseball? Weird.

Bal/TB o7.5 -120**
Bal +110*
Min/Cle u8 -120**
Sea/Hou u8 -110*

Adding
Det/Oak u8 -105*
SF/Tor parlay 2.5x to win 3.4x
Mets/Reds u6.5 -120**
Pit/Col o12 -125*
Cards EV**
Bos -1 EV*

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by BOA12

Great day again playing BAL+1.5 bol

thanks man. I think that definitely looks good. Gausman is a good pitcher, but it does worry me pitching in his first start. Gausman has really bad numbers against TB and at the Trop, but TB just isnt very good. Bad lineup. They have showed they can score some runs, but i think balt gets it done against archer. Archer will have another bad start and be put on the DL with an injury, watch. I cant imagine this game does not go over either. With gausmans bad numbers against TB and Archers awful numbers this year, i dont see this being a low scoring battle tonight.

Originally posted by Sandrone92

Very good day ilose!!! GL

Thank you

.. Seemed like a lot of people struggled yesterday, but i managed a good day.. Lets hope i can make it 2 in a row

**BOA12** · 04-25-16, 10:51 AM

Like them all except TOR playing under bol again

**BOA12** · 04-25-16, 10:54 AM

Played U7- TB in a par hard to score runs at tropicana

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by BOA12

Like them all except TOR playing under bol again

Tor finally got the bats going. Id be afraid of playing under with them in the next few games. Theyve scored 6, 9, 5 L3 games. Id be weary playing unders in toronto ATM as they are going to start exploding soon. GL on under.

Originally posted by BOA12

Played U7- TB in a par hard to score runs at tropicana

It is, but balt offense can score anywhere and Archer has been really bad. His velo is down and leaving balls over the plate constantly. He hasnt even had a decent start yet this year and i dont expect it to happen against balt. Career ERA vs Balt, 10 Games, 5.03 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. Combine that with how bad he has been this year and it doesnt look good for the under. Gausman career vs TB, 7 Games, 6.16 ERA, 1.76 WHIP. Good luck on the under is all I can say lol.

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 12:05 PM

Cant resist

Rocks TT o6.5 +110* (Locke awful numbers on the road and against the rocks. He should get ROCKED here. Huge number, but rocks been hitting lately and should continue today)
Jays TT o4.5 -110* (Jays bats are hot. Should continue vs Miguel Gonzalez)
Orioles TT o3.5 -105* (This line tells me I should avoid this, but Archers stats and form this year tells me i should play it. Im in.)

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 12:21 PM

Final

Bal/TB o7.5 -120**
Bal +110*
Min/Cle u8 -120**
Sea/Hou u8 -110*

Adding
Det/Oak u8 -105*
SF/Tor parlay 2.5x to win 3.4x
Mets/Reds u6.5 -120**
Pit/Col o12 -125*
Cards EV**
Bos -1 EV*
Rocks TT o6.5 +110*
Jays TT o4.5 -110*
Orioles TT o3.5 -105*

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 01:00 PM

Hmm looking at this toronto game more, Miguel Gonzalez has had great succes against toronto in quite a few starts. Mix that with the fact that stroman hasnt exactly been stellar, and White sox look like some great value here. Also, Stroman has some VERY bad numbers against the white sox (2 starts, 8.59 ERA). However, this game kind of reminds me of the Cws/Tex game where everyone was loving Texas, and White Sox won easy. Cws almost looks too good to be true here, and its crazy that Tor is so high of a line with White sox being one of the best teams in the MLB in the early going. Im sticking with my plays on toronto, but wouldnt be terribly shocked so see white sox get to stroman and win big.

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 01:01 PM

going to add this just in case

White Sox TT o3.5 -110**

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 01:12 PM

Hmmm 9/10 have gone under in Cws games.
7/10 have gone under for tor, but L3 have been Push/Over/Over.
Under is 9-2 in L11 meetings between the 2 teams in Tor.

Yet total has jumped up to 8.5 from 8... Hmmm.. Im gonna stick with my team total overs here regardless.

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 01:49 PM

Im actually hitting at a pretty good clip.. 135-111 is good for 54.8%

Lets see if i can keep it going.. Keep saying i am going to cut down on plays, yet i keep playing 8-12 per day. Argggg.. Im trying. Need to work harder at this

**ship2volk** · 04-25-16, 02:41 PM

nice run yesterday ilose

parlay Tor/SF = .5 = .64
Bos -140*

Ytd 24-32-1 -10.94u

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 03:10 PM

^^ thanks man! GL today

**Sandrone92** · 04-25-16, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Final

Bal/TB o7.5 -120**
Bal +110*
Min/Cle u8 -120**
Sea/Hou u8 -110*

Adding
Det/Oak u8 -105*
SF/Tor parlay 2.5x to win 3.4x
Mets/Reds u6.5 -120**
Pit/Col o12 -125*
Cards EV**
Bos -1 EV*
Rocks TT o6.5 +110*
Jays TT o4.5 -110*
Orioles TT o3.5 -105*

Bos -1 EV ( wht's Ev? lol)

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by Sandrone92

Bos -1 EV ( wht's Ev? lol)

even.. They were -130 and -1.5 +130. So to play the -1, you risk half unit on ML and half unit on RL. So, say 130/100 on ML, and 100/130 on RL. Bet comes out to 230/230, aka EVen, or +100.

**Sandrone92** · 04-25-16, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

even.. They were -130 and -1.5 +130. So to play the -1, you risk half unit on ML and half unit on RL. So, say 130/100 on ML, and 100/130 on RL. Bet comes out to 230/230, aka EVen, or +100.

thank you so much!!
BOL

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 05:09 PM

Cin TT u2.5 -115*

**mikefan1034** · 04-25-16, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Cin TT u2.5 -115*

U serious lol

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 05:39 PM

Bal/TB o7.5 -120**
Det/Oak u8 -105*
Bal +110*
Min/Cle u8 -120**
Sea/Hou u8 -110*
Mets/Reds u6.5 -120**
Pit/Col o12 -125*
Cards EV**
Bos -1 EV*
Rocks TT o6.5 +110*
Jays TT o4.5 -110*
Orioles TT o3.5 -105*
White Sox TT o3.5 -110**
Cin TT u2.5 -115*
SF/Tor parlay 2.5x to win 3.4x

I hate doing this, but im going to have to get myself out of some bets. I see some numbers now and theyre really screwing with me now. I see 72% on over in TB/Bal game, yet under has dropped. I see 73% on under in Det/Oak game, yet over went up. These dont make any sense and I think its better for myself to bet out of these and eat some juice as opposed to watch the Bal/TB game end 2-1 and Det/Oak game end 6-5. Im willing to eat a small amount of juice, considering i dont bet a ton on games. I mean its all relative because you should be playing what you can afford anyways, so sorry for this mistake. I am not going to be posting plays so early anymore, as i should be doing more research before i make them. Sometimes i dont do enough and force a couple plays because i dont have enough time to do the research.

Adding
Bal/TB u7.5 -120**
Det/Oak o8.5 -115*

I just dont know why the books have so much confidence in Archer tonight.. Its mind blowing to me right now. Im trying to figure out what the hell is going on. I can almost guarantee this is going to be a low scoring rays win. 4-2 rays probably.

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 07:29 PM

cash tor tt.. glad i bet out of balt/tb over.. 0-0 lol

EDIT: AND det/oak under.. both good calls by me.

**mikefan1034** · 04-25-16, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Bal/TB o7.5 -120**
Det/Oak u8 -105*
Bal +110*
Min/Cle u8 -120**
Sea/Hou u8 -110*
Mets/Reds u6.5 -120**
Pit/Col o12 -125*
Cards EV**
Bos -1 EV*
Rocks TT o6.5 +110*
Jays TT o4.5 -110*
Orioles TT o3.5 -105*
White Sox TT o3.5 -110**
Cin TT u2.5 -115*
SF/Tor parlay 2.5x to win 3.4x

I hate doing this, but im going to have to get myself out of some bets. I see some numbers now and theyre really screwing with me now. I see 72% on over in TB/Bal game, yet under has dropped. I see 73% on under in Det/Oak game, yet over went up. These dont make any sense and I think its better for myself to bet out of these and eat some juice as opposed to watch the Bal/TB game end 2-1 and Det/Oak game end 6-5. Im willing to eat a small amount of juice, considering i dont bet a ton on games. I mean its all relative because you should be playing what you can afford anyways, so sorry for this mistake. I am not going to be posting plays so early anymore, as i should be doing more research before i make them. Sometimes i dont do enough and force a couple plays because i dont have enough time to do the research.

Adding
Bal/TB u7.5 -120**
Det/Oak o8.5 -115*

I just dont know why the books have so much confidence in Archer tonight.. Its mind blowing to me right now. Im trying to figure out what the hell is going on. I can almost guarantee this is going to be a low scoring rays win. 4-2 rays probably.

Archer is due and he's still a stud that's why. U obviously don't watch baseball enough

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 09:00 PM

^^Dude i promise you i dont read your posts. Like i dont read them. Just stop. Youre being reported again.

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Hmm looking at this toronto game more, Miguel Gonzalez has had great succes against toronto in quite a few starts. Mix that with the fact that stroman hasnt exactly been stellar, and White sox look like some great value here. Also, Stroman has some VERY bad numbers against the white sox (2 starts, 8.59 ERA). However, this game kind of reminds me of the Cws/Tex game where everyone was loving Texas, and White Sox won easy. Cws almost looks too good to be true here, and its crazy that Tor is so high of a line with White sox being one of the best teams in the MLB in the early going. Im sticking with my plays on toronto, but wouldnt be terribly shocked so see white sox get to stroman and win big.

Damn i called it and still put toronto in parlays and they are going to cost me a $10/$505 parlay and 2 other parlays that would pay out $130

**iloseagain** · 04-25-16, 10:06 PM

Pit/Col o12 -125*

^^Worst bet in the history of gambling?? Locke with a nice 9 ERA on the road and he throws a fukkin gem @ Colorado, go figure.

**iloseagain** · 04-26-16, 12:39 AM

pretty friggen ugly day after a good day yesterday. I will not be posting any fukkin leans or anything until i watch the lines anymore. Fukk this shit

**ship2volk** · 04-26-16, 12:04 PM

parlay Tor/SF = .5 = .64
Bos -140*

Ytd 25-33-1 -10.94u

Tor is an amazing team

**Capybara** · 04-26-16, 02:38 PM

Damn, homie, you play so much! Totaling your units up must be an ultimate pain in the ass!

Rough one yesterday, hope u bounce back hard! I dropped a few last night too.

**mikefan1034** · 04-26-16, 03:42 PM

Dam homie in sbr u was the man homie wtf happened to you?

**ship2volk** · 04-26-16, 04:25 PM

Pit -160*
Mia/LAD o6.5 -115**
Phi/Was o7 -120*

parlay Was/WSox .5 = .78