Hey guys,hope all is well out there. Going to do another thread this season. For the newer cappers at SBR: I power weight the games between 1 - 6 units, with 6 unit games being very rare.( prob 4-5 games for the season) I will do a write up on the games that are 3-6 units. All games will be listed pitchers. I bet a lot of dogs,when I bet a fav. I really don't like laying much more than - 135! When it comes to totals, for the most part,prefer to look at unders for AL games and overs for NL games. See no need to bet more than 2 units on a game until early May. Ideas,thoughts, are welcomed.Win or loose will up date record on Daily basis. And as always feel free to tail,fade or pass............Hope all have a profitable season!!.......................GL
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Balt. / Minn. - under 9 -110....1 unit.................................... ....glComment -
REVERSE: SEA -105 and OVER 8.5 -115(same)....1 unit
LAD / SD - UNDER 7.5 -115................................1.5 UNITS................................... ........GL
MLB: 1-0
YTD: +1.00 UNITSComment -
clev. -105 ff...................1 unit.................................... ......glComment -
Hey guys, just something to mention since it came up. Had a push today with Clev. FF. For the purpose of record keeping any push or tie,will not be part of the won,loss record............................BOLComment -
SEA / TX - OVER 9.5 -110....2 UNITS - Lewis in 17 starts at home (last year) has a 5.07 ERA.Miley in just 2 starts there has a 4.63 ERA,this will be his 1 st start for SEA. Both teams have the bats.....worth a small play.................................... gl
Hit the reverse and total play on LAD/SD,Push on Tribe total, for a 3-0 day,+5.50 units.
MLB: 4-0
YTD: +6.50 UNITS
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Anybody out there on ATL. +180 ??? Yea,know Braves are bad and have lost 15 of last 20 games vs Nats. But Strasburg has a high 4.79 ERA in 9 starts at Turner Field. Can not pull trigger,ideas guys ??Comment -
I'm on them. Strasburg is 8-11 career vs Bravos. 3.77 era though which isn't awful. Strictly a value play here for me as Norris is 2-1 vs Nats. If braves were +160 or lower it wouldn't be a play. However, I'm 4-7 to start this year, so tread my intelligence lightly.Originally posted by CappinTerp
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I was eyeing the braves team total over 3 quite heavily...but decided to lay off...word is strasburg is dealing right now and in great form....last year when he came back from injury he faced the braves twice and shut them out twice, thats what off put meComment -
Originally posted by slam77
I'm on them. Strasburg is 8-11 career vs Bravos. 3.77 era though which isn't awful. Strictly a value play here for me as Norris is 2-1 vs Nats. If braves were +160 or lower it wouldn't be a play. However, I'm 4-7 to start this year, so tread my intelligence lightly.<br>Originally posted by Smutbucket
<br>yea guys one thing about Strausburg he is over rated and there for over priced. Both you guys thanks 4 the feedback....still don't know may pass.....................guys lets make money this year!!!Comment -
Smutbucked I go 2 ur thread....I don't know how u do it with using saber metrics,it seem so hard (2 me) 2 know what comes into play.!!!!!Comment -
CappinTerp = Monsta !!!! Over comes threwComment -
Yea, but would have,should have, could have.................................... ..I was 2 tepid...I WAS going 2 do a 2 unit reverse: SEA+ OVER,would have made 8 units!!Originally posted by MecStarComment -
Plenty of time brotha plenty of time !!!! Let's enjoy that win and keep rolling!!! Anything later to hammer ?Comment -
You r right on!! did u know,when there is a full slate of games on a day,there r over 250 + 2 bet baseball!!!!Originally posted by MecStarComment -
What u think bout the cards ? Can't see that team getting sweptComment -
Got no option on Cards. See no other plays tonight.Just going to ring the register. And call it a day,don't want to press or give anything back........As they say, no one goes broke taking a profit!!!............................... .......................glOriginally posted by MecStarComment -
AMEN TO THAT... tomorrow another day to get this money keep rolling and always appreciated for your winners 👍🏻Originally posted by CappinTerpComment -
Ya its tricky, always kinda adapting and evolving tickering to find out what works best, sucks cuz I really struggled last year for the first time and all the time put into it can be disheartening....Originally posted by CappinTerp
anyways keep killing it dude! glad to see ya back. what was that streak you had in spring training a few years back ? 13/14 in a row?!? UNREAL!Comment -
Well with all that data to consume,ur a better man than me, I would not know whats worth,what ?.....Yea, 3 years ago I started out baseball going 15 - 0 !!...A little luck never hurts!!!Originally posted by SmutbucketComment -
PHIL + 116 FF...2 UNITS - Both teams will be bad this year. Reds starter Stephenson will make his Major League debut!! This guy was the Reds first round pick back in 2011, he was even cut from spring training roster last month!!! But was told to be ready,Homer Bailey can not go today,so Stephenson with his 9.58 ERA,this spring,will get a spot start. Don't trust Phil. bullpen,that is why the bet is for the first five innings. Vet. Morton making 1st start with new team. I can hear the Reds starter knees shaking already!!...We will see what happens................................. .............GL
MLB: 5-0
YTD: +8.50 UNITSComment -
Lost the first game of the season yesterday, and plenty more where that came from!
DET -111....2 UNITS
SD + 124....1.5 UNITS
CLEV/CWS UNDER 8 +100...........1 UNIT.................................... ....GL
MLB:5-1
YTD: + 6.50 UNITSComment -
Nice start terpComment -
Nice going broComment -
Gotta run, prob. back later....good luck guys!
R.SOX +114......1.5 UNITS
CLEV/CWS - UNDER 7 -20........1 UNIT
MLB:7-1
YTD:+10.36 UNITS
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Wow! Great run.Comment -
Damn, Rick Porcello is garbage, but you're the man. Best of luck buddyOriginally posted by CappinTerpComment -
Hey Raven,how is it going for you??...Yea Porcello had a bad season LY, and has a career 5.29 ERA vs Jays.Don't understand why the line is not higher??.............we will see what happens...................BOLComment -
Goodluck broComment -
Hey, trobin,Aye,conqueror, thanks for the feedback. I do all this work(win or loose) and share it with everyone,it is a good thing,knowing that someone appreciate's it!..................................BOLComment -
Any plays left for today?? What's your play on SF vs DodgersComment -
Will not play the LAD game,still looking at others.Comment -
Hence why I say you're the man...excellent call. I didn't play it, but I was on CinciOriginally posted by CappinTerpComment -
laa/tx - over 8-120................2 units.................................gl
mlb:8-2
ytd:+10.87 units................FYI- Weaver may have a "dead arm" and still struggling to find his velocity,Perez is wild and has control problems.
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