DapperDan Baseball 2016

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Red Sox (+125) Risking 1 unit to win 1.25 units
Atlanta +1.5 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Why Detroit?

Sorry bud was real busy today with work couldnt post writeup but obviosuly was a bad pick

another freaking 1-2 day....fml....knew atl was gonna win too but couldnt pull the trigger on the ml....fml....

yesterday results: 1-2 -1 units

[Smutbucket]

Chacin +190 again? forcing me to bet the braves again

dog day afternoon

5/4
Pirates (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Oakland (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Braves (+190) Risking .5 units to win .95 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday results: 0-3 -2.5 units :-(

Gonna go to betting one game a day until I can start to turn this ship around

Thread Total: 39-42 -5.8 units

[Smutbucket]

5/5
Tigers (+121) Risking 1 unit to win 1.21 units

[Smutbucket]

5/5 Results : 0-1 -1 units

Okay a few things, Im getting the fuk out of this slump. Luckily I have actually been killing draftkings lately despite my regular wagering slump. Been hardcore number crunching all last night and all day today. Fuk betting just one game a day I cant stand that as I had a few winners circled yesterday but just went with detroit. Got to just adapt and readjust and stick to the numbers. Need to pay more attention to certain red flags and focus on the situational angles as well. Going to try to put out more writeups for all you as I feel like it also helps me with my picks visualizing and putting on paper the angles I like (also for future refrence .i.e. what angles worked well and which did not)

5/6

Detroit (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Although I have been riding Hamels a lot this year, I feel like this is a good spot to fade him. He was not himself at all last game coming back from a groin injury and he could still be feeling the effects. Not only is this Tiger lineup familiar with him, but they have hit him well. Hamels has also struggled with his control, having his career low zone % at 40 and a terrible 21% in his last outing. We all know how well this Tigers team has hit lefties last year and they continue to hit them hard this season sporting the second best hard % at 37.3%. Tigers also have an edge in bullpen as Rangers have a bottom 5 bullpen in regards to WHIP at 1.4 this season and 1.31 over the last 2 seasons. If youve been reading this thread then you already know how I feel about Zimm.

Athletics FF (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Jiminez as usual is struggling with control sporting the league lowest zone % at 39.4%. The scouting report for him is in on this and teams are only swinging at 40% of his pitches. The A's are not ones to swing at pitches outside of the zone with an o-zone% of 26.7% . Last year when they faced jimeniz they only swung at 37% of his pitches and 22% outside the zone. In 2014, it was even less swinging at just 27.5% of his pitches and 10% outside of the zone. In those two games he pitches a total of 7.1 innings, gave up 11 hits, 7 walks and 10 earned runs. Rich hill on the other side has been fantastic. His curveball and slider have a 13-16 mph differential from his fastball and they have been dominant. Orioles active roster has struggled he most against the curve over the last 2 years as they hit are the 2nd lowest at hitting it with a -.82 wCB/c. Lets take them in the FF as I feel like its an easier cash than the full game.

LAD/Tor Under 8 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
I watched all of Maeda last game and really liked what I saw from him. Both these pitchers have an arsenal of different pitch types and ways to throw them that will leave the hitters guessing. Nor has either team faced either pitcher so I think this will be a low scoring affair. I think the power of these two lineups are keeping this line higher than it should be.

[Smutbucket]

No time for writeups today but lots of action...heres just early ones

5/7
Oakland Gm 1 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Yanks (+145) Risking .5 units to win .73 units

[Smutbucket]

2-0 +1.73 start

adding
Cin/Milw Over 9 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Rays (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

much needed 4-0 day +3.73 units

the beginning of a win streak

Thread Total: 44-44 -3.32 units

[Smutbucket]

5/8
Nationals +1.5 (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
Red Sox (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Phils (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday Results: 3-0 +3.25 units ....thats back 2 back

lets go for 3 days straight of no losses

5/9
Yankees -1 RL (+105) Risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units
Texas (-122) Risking 1.22 units to win 1 units

[blackeyeshamus]

⚾️🔮🍀

[Smutbucket]

What up Shamus!

yesterday results : 1-1 -.17 units

5/10 :
Ari/Col Over 11 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Detroit (+170) Risking 1 unit to win 1.7 units
Yanks -1 RL (-133) Risking 1.33 units to win 1 units
Sea/TB FF Under 3.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

5/10 : 2-2 +.5 units

5/11
Det/Wash Over 7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
LAD/NYM FF under 3.5 (-130) Risking 1.3 units to win 1 units
Oakland +1.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

ugh shiity day my own damn vault

5/11 : 0-3 -3.45 units

5/12:
Houston (+135) Risking 1 unit to win 1.35 units
KC/NYY under 7.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
Dodgers -1 (-190) Risking 1.9 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

yesterday: 1-2 -1.05 units

Thread Total: 50-50 -3.45 units

5/13
Oakland (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
SFG -1 RL (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

yesterday results: 2-0 +2.1 units

5/14
Athletics (+125) Risking 1 unit to win 1.25 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Royals -1.5 (-110) risking 1.1 u to win 1 u
Det/bal over 9 (-120) risking 1.2 unit to win 1 unit

[Smutbucket]

yesterday results :1-2 -1.1 units

5/15
Angels (+145) Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units
Twins (+132) Risking 1 unit to win 1.32 units
2 team parlay: Yanks and Orioles (+144) Risking 1 unit to win 1.44 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday results: 2-1 +1.77 units

5/16
Twins (+145) Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units
Marlins -1 RL (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team Parlay: Pirates and Dodgers (+131) Risking 1 unit to win 1.3 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday Results: 5/16: 1-2 -1 units

Thats it! no more two team parlays, im like 0-10 on the season and its driving me nuts


Last time Detroit played Hughes a few weeks ago they made 96% contact with all his pitches. 100 % contact with those out of the zone.

5/17
Detroit (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Blue Jays (-140) Risking 1.4 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Padres (+165) risking 1 to win 1.65
Braves (+170) risking 1 to win 1.7

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday Results: 1-3 -2.4 units
liking this card a lot


5/18
Boston Gm1 (+100) Risking 1.5 units to win 1 units
Phil (+100) Risking 1 unit to win 1 units
Det/Min Over 9 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Hou/CWS Over 9 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Washington (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

yesterday results: 2-2-1 -.75 units

Feel like the bookies have been doing a real good job mind penetrating me with their lines and line movements, scaring me off plays and baiting me on bad ones. Need to just focus on the numbers and not look too much into the numbers the bookies put out there, its just not my forte. . just need to focus on winners

two big bets for me tmrw, might add one tmrw after lineups released

5/19
Seattle (+115) Risking 2 units to win 2.3 units
Colorado (+115) Risking 2 units to win 2.3 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Oakland TT over 4 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday results: 1-2 -.85 units


5/20
Braves/Phil FF Under 3.5 (110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Rays (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Seattle (-142) Risking 1.42 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday Results: 3-0 +4 units

5/21
Rockies (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
Diamondbacks (+145) Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Texas (+165) Risking 1 unit to win 1.65 units
Miamia -1 RL (+108) Risking 1 unit to win 1.08 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday Results : 2-1-1 +1.75 units

BACK IN THE BLACK BABBYYY

Thread Total: 65-63 +.07 units

[Smutbucket]

5/22
White Sox (-124) Risking 1.24 units to win 1 units
Houston -1 RL (-102) Risking 1.02 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday Results: 1-1 -.02

5/23
Reds +1.5 (+140) Risking 1 unit to win 1.4 units
Padres +1.5 (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 units
Padres (+165) Risking .5 units to win .83 units
Phil (-107) Risking 1.07 units to win 1 units
KC (-130) Risking 1.3 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Yesterday Results : +1.83

5/24
Toronto (+120) Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units
Colorado +1.5 (+125) Risking 1 unit to win 1.25 units
Colorado TT over 3.5 (+115) Risking .5 units to win .58 units
Colorado ML (+260) Risking .5 units to win 1.3 units
Royals (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Clev/CWS FF Under 4 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units

[BKLYN921]

Good luck!

With you on the Royals 😂

[Smutbucket]

Thanks Bklyn, you were on top of my only winner

5/25

Marlins/TB FF under 4.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Arizona TT over 4 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units