Monday - Pair of 5's Sir

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  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #1
    Monday - Pair of 5's Sir
    Let's recap yesterday's selections:

    Royals +137 (L)
    White Sox +151 (L)
    Under Yankees 9.5 +110 (W)

    A big congrats to my comrade, Vonnegut. He killed them today by showing off with a 6-0 day.
  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #2
    Contrarian Radar

    The Rockies go on the radar screen for tonight's card. The Rockies opponent batting average is perhaps some of the woes they have been experiencing. As that simmers down and the Rockies heat up, there will be ample opportunity to cash in on the Rockies. I will report back as gametime approaches. Oh yea, the Rockies are the favorite, wildly contrarian.
    Comment
    • Pair of 5s Sir
      SBR MVP
      • 04-20-08
      • 4960

      #3
      Contrarian Radar II

      The D'Backs have Haren going tonight in the "low scoring, we might have a perfect game tonight" contest. The world is on the Under, guess where we will be. Looking to carefully select a plus odds situation in taking the Over. +107 is the best thus far, will probable move better in our direction. Sit tight as gametime approaches.
      Comment
      • jellobiafra
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-08-09
        • 6291

        #4
        Straight out of left field as usual 5's. I'm not a big fan of playing overs, but I'll trust you if you like it. Also playing CLE tonight. Good spot for them with Lee due for a good outing, BOS due for a loss and a letdown, and the line movement seems odd unless people are really loading up on the Tribe (which I doubt). I'll play that and probably roll with whatever else you are on today.
        Comment
        • TheLock
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-06-08
          • 14427

          #5
          Love CLE tonight.

          Also like over in the "No Way This Game Goes Over" match up.
          Comment
          • Pair of 5s Sir
            SBR MVP
            • 04-20-08
            • 4960

            #6
            Selection

            I was able to land the Over D'Backs 8.5 at +116. That's about as good as I think the line will get in my direction.

            Over D'Backs 8.5 +116.
            Comment
            • Pair of 5s Sir
              SBR MVP
              • 04-20-08
              • 4960

              #7
              Selection II

              Rockies are clearly the contrarian play with SDG getting about 65% of the ML play.

              Rockies -109
              Comment
              • Pair of 5s Sir
                SBR MVP
                • 04-20-08
                • 4960

                #8
                Selection III

                We take another total to this evenings card with the high flying, scoring tandem of the Rangers/Orioles. The linesmakers are pushing you in an Over situation to take the Over even up. Nonetheless, the Under play requires a big lay around -114.

                Under Rangers 11 -114
                Comment
                • Pair of 5s Sir
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-20-08
                  • 4960

                  #9
                  Selection Recap

                  Let's recap tonight's selections:

                  Over D'Backs 8.5 +116
                  Rockies -109
                  Under Rangers 11 -114

                  Good Luck Contrarios
                  Comment
                  • Vonnegut
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-08-09
                    • 1499

                    #10
                    Thanks for the shout out Pair. Good luck tonight.
                    Comment
                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-20-08
                      • 4960

                      #11
                      Selection

                      Cubs +138 is great value for Lilly with the squares all over Haren. Need I say anymore.

                      Cubs +138
                      Comment
                      • jellobiafra
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-08-09
                        • 6291

                        #12
                        Good luck 5's. I played the COL and the over in that Cubs game. I also played CLE which would have been nice if CLE could have managed more than ONE hit vs Wakefield in 8 innings. That one counts as two losses to my bankroll. I'm also on the Rangers and Astros and those two look promising. I'm cutting myself off there. Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • jellobiafra
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-08-09
                          • 6291

                          #13
                          I seem to be having some bad luck with you. It appears the games I get on don't do so well and the one's I miss hit. COL is shxtting their pants as I type. But your under in TEX/BAL looks like a possibility. I didn't catch that one. I am half expecting you to hit the CHC winner and miss the total, the one I'm on with you.

                          If it works out like that I might have to try a new approach tomorrow. The only game I really liked coming into today was HOU. I saw good reason to take CLE and your picks. But I can't help realizing I'd have been better off just playing the one game I liked the most on the board.
                          Comment
                          • Pair of 5s Sir
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-20-08
                            • 4960

                            #14
                            Originally posted by jellobiafra
                            I seem to be having some bad luck with you. It appears the games I get on don't do so well and the one's I miss hit. COL is shxtting their pants as I type. But your under in TEX/BAL looks like a possibility. I didn't catch that one. I am half expecting you to hit the CHC winner and miss the total, the one I'm on with you.

                            If it works out like that I might have to try a new approach tomorrow. The only game I really liked coming into today was HOU. I saw good reason to take CLE and your picks. But I can't help realizing I'd have been better off just playing the one game I liked the most on the board.
                            Let the night develop, it is early yet. You are talking as if every game is critical. It's about the long term return. Unit accumulation with sound money management.
                            Comment
                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-20-08
                              • 4960

                              #15
                              It's Official

                              The Contrarians cash the Under in the Orioles/Rangers 11. They scored ten runs after 5.5 innings, making this a sweet under. None of the contrarians were worried about this one after 5.5, yea right! We will take it anyway.

                              Under Rangers 11 -114 (W)
                              Comment
                              • jellobiafra
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-08-09
                                • 6291

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                Let the night develop, it is early yet. You are talking as if every game is critical. It's about the long term return. Unit accumulation with sound money management.
                                Well what's the point of betting these if you don't give a rip whether they cash or not?

                                The Rockies have come back. Looks like a wild one in Colorado tonight. Not that you care of course....

                                Comment
                                • Pair of 5s Sir
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-20-08
                                  • 4960

                                  #17
                                  It's Official

                                  The Rockies are breakin open the Coors Light tonight after its hitting brigade started to rock. The contrarian angle played out in a game where the squares were pounding SDG with 63% of the money as a dog.

                                  The monetary wager was a load up play, about twice the kelly parameter.

                                  Rockies -109 (W)

                                  In the "no way this game can go over" match, the contrarian put us on the stoned cold Over play. And yes for the record, Over did come true with a healthy +116 to boot.

                                  Over Cubs/D'Backs 8.5 +116 (W)

                                  Beware O Contrare
                                  Comment
                                  • jellobiafra
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-08-09
                                    • 6291

                                    #18
                                    Bravo. I posted my plays for tomorrow in a separate thread. I'll be tailing you as well though (unless they conflict).

                                    Shhh. Don't tell anybody.
                                    Comment
                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-20-08
                                      • 4960

                                      #19
                                      Let's review tonight's selections:

                                      Over D'Backs/Cubs 8.5 +116 (W)
                                      Rockies -109 (W)
                                      Under Rangers/Orioles 11 -114 (W)
                                      Cubs +138 (L)

                                      3-1 on the night, should of stayed away on the Cubbies but the value with Lilly was super. The load up play was on the Rockies.

                                      Vegas on Thursday boys, hopefully a heater will erupt.

                                      The Contrarian
                                      Comment
                                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-20-08
                                        • 4960

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jellobiafra
                                        Bravo. I posted my plays for tomorrow in a separate thread. I'll be tailing you as well though (unless they conflict).

                                        Shhh. Don't tell anybody.
                                        What was all the whining earlier? I go 3-1, you should be groovin.
                                        Comment
                                        • jellobiafra
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-08-09
                                          • 6291

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                          What was all the whining earlier? I go 3-1, you should be groovin.

                                          Sorry you took it for whining. Hard to translate tone on a message board. I assure you my posts were meant to be read in the most manly voice imaginable.
                                          Comment
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